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Posted (edited)

With yesterday's win and a Boston loss, Bruins are now 1 point behind the Sabres and Sabres have a game in hand on them.

Sabres will also likely pass Pittsburgh and Philly soon as they are 1 point behind them but have 2 games in hand on Philly and 1 on Pittsburgh...

Time to celebrate being out of the basement! Let the sun in...uncork the champagne! 🍾 🍾 

Sabres are now tied for 5th in goals per game with 3.26 this season and are the only team in the top 9 with fewer than 91 points.

It's really, really hard to be this bad when you score like they do.

Edited by Big Guava
  • Like (+1) 1
Posted (edited)
  On 4/2/2025 at 4:17 PM, Hawerchuk said:

Upgrade this defense and they would be a lot closer to a playoff spot. An erratic UPL didn't help either.

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Upgrade UPL/Levi in games they played this year and they WOULD be a playoff team.  Their team save percentage is .872 which is a joke in today's NHL. If it was even .895, which is still terrible, they likely would be in the last wildcard spot at least.

Edited by matter2003
Posted
  On 4/2/2025 at 5:18 PM, Mr. Allen said:

Yep.  Pick 3 to pick 8.  I’m liking the way we’re playing and winning games.  But just stings a little watching us fall down the draft order. 

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We were never at pick 3 though. We went from pick 4 to pick 6. 

Posted
  On 4/2/2025 at 5:13 PM, matter2003 said:

Upgrade UPL/Levi in games they played this year and they WOULD be a playoff team.  Their team save percentage is .872 which is a joke in today's NHL. If it was even .895, which is still terrible, they likely would be in the last wildcard spot at least.

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Depends on which stat you're look at exactly, but I'm seeing Philly with the .872 and the Sabres at .878.

 

In recent years, .895 is fine as save percentages are lower in general. .895 is the mean in the league this season (15th FLA at .897; 16th CAR at .894). Only two teams have averages above .910 (WPG is 1st at .913).

Contrast that with the clutch-and-grab era. (Let's take 2002-03:  12 teams at .910 or higher, and the mean was .906-.905. In that season, .895 would have been 2nd to worst in the league, right above St. Louis... who finished second in their division and made the playoffs...?? Huh.) 

Posted
  On 4/2/2025 at 6:06 PM, Mr. Allen said:

I thought not long ago it was just Blackhawks and Sharks below us. 

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Nashville might have jumped over us for a minute but I don't think so? That would have been it. We have been in 4th for quite awhile. Boston imploding is something to see though, 9 straight losses. 

Posted (edited)
  On 4/2/2025 at 6:32 PM, LGR4GM said:

Nashville might have jumped over us for a minute but I don't think so? That would have been it. We have been in 4th for quite awhile. Boston imploding is something to see though, 9 straight losses. 

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Was bound to happen at some point...they kept trying to run it back as the team got older and older and never really replaced the aging vets. Pretty much the cautionary tale about holding onto aging players too long...should have taken a page from the Patriots book when Belichick was there and he would get rid of them a year too early rather than a year too late.

Edited by matter2003
Posted
  On 4/2/2025 at 5:18 PM, Mr. Allen said:

Yep.  Pick 3 to pick 8.  I’m liking the way we’re playing and winning games.  But just stings a little watching us fall down the draft order. 

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You think they would grab the right guy even with a higher pick?

Posted (edited)
  On 4/2/2025 at 9:14 PM, Thorner said:

Reimer very likely couldn’t have done this over a full season if we are being honest 

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You're probably right, but UPL's metrics are so far off league median that if Reimer gives you anywhere close to that, we get enough extra wins to be in the playoff race.

Edit: Stated otherwise, of goalies that have played 40 games or more, the median goals saved above expected is 13.4 (Dustin Wolf). UPL is -9.4. if we had 22 less goals against we're in positive goal differential at plus 3.

Edited by JoeSchmoe

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