LTS Posted January 8 Report Posted January 8 22 hours ago, JohnC said: The issue isn't whether he is telling the truth or not. He's giving an opinion that I consider to be unrealistic. You make the point that he is writing to attract more attention. That's true and shouldn't be surprising. It's not surprising. He's right in stating how many points they are out by, but he's certainly mischaracterizing the chances of the team. And it certainly is accomplishing what he set out to do.. which is have people discuss just how bad his take his. My issue is that the general populace loves to prop up these idiots and thus reinforce the behavior. Not surprising, again... Quote
WhenWillItEnd66 Posted January 8 Report Posted January 8 We are NOT in the hunt. 6 or 8 points out does not mean crap when you have to jump 6 teams. Not happening. We cannot even win 4 in a row! I guess i should just be happy we can win 3 in a row 1 Quote
JohnC Posted January 8 Report Posted January 8 3 hours ago, LTS said: It's not surprising. He's right in stating how many points they are out by, but he's certainly mischaracterizing the chances of the team. And it certainly is accomplishing what he set out to do.. which is have people discuss just how bad his take his. My issue is that the general populace loves to prop up these idiots and thus reinforce the behavior. Not surprising, again... I'm not here to defend anyone. People can make up their own minds. But it has to be acknowledged that covering this lowly and decrepit franchise and the foolishness that is associated with it has to be a very unpleasant endeavor. Quote
Porous Five Hole Posted January 8 Report Posted January 8 21 hours ago, GASabresIUFAN said: Anyone have the odds of the Sabres making the playoffs vs finishing last in the NHL standings? Sure do. 2.6% to make the playoffs, and 8.1% to win the lottery. https://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm Quote
Porous Five Hole Posted January 8 Report Posted January 8 (edited) 6 hours ago, MattPie said: This is the math I was looking for. 122-point pace? That'll sure happen, lol. Until it doesn't, it'll always take 93-96 points, lol. Sure it doesn't look like it right now, but a couple teams get hot every year and the points end up in the same place in the end. Moneypuck is predicting 84 points for the last wildcard spot in the East. Imagine that? All it takes is 85 pts and the Sabres still couldn’t break the drought. Edited January 8 by Porous Five Hole 1 Quote
DarthEbriate Posted January 9 Report Posted January 9 (edited) 25 minutes ago, Porous Five Hole said: Sure do. 2.6% to make the playoffs, and 8.1% to win the lottery. https://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm Never tell me the ... oh, it's the Sabres, what's the point? Edited January 9 by DarthEbriate 1 Quote
Dreams Burn Down Posted January 9 Report Posted January 9 2 hours ago, Porous Five Hole said: Moneypuck is predicting 84 points for the last wildcard spot in the East. Imagine that? All it takes is 85 pts and the Sabres still couldn’t break the drought. It's somewhat reminiscent of the expanded 24 team playoff field in 2020 in which we also failed to qualify. 1 Quote
GASabresIUFAN Posted January 9 Report Posted January 9 2 hours ago, Porous Five Hole said: Sure do. 2.6% to make the playoffs, and 8.1% to win the lottery. https://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm That's what I thought. I'm feeling much better about winning the Power Ball now. Quote
Archie Lee Posted January 10 Report Posted January 10 Working somewhat in the favor of all the teams scuffling along in the East, is that there are only 6 teams having a good season. With Boston collapsing, WC1 is currently on pace for 86 points and WC2, currently Ottawa, in on pace for 84. I’m by no means suggesting that will hold, but there is no single team, let alone two teams, obviously poised for a big surge in points. 24-14-2 would get the Sabres to 87 points. For me, it isn’t so much that it is in any way likely that the Sabres will or can get there. What’s frustrating is the lack of clear willingness to prioritize it. None of the scuffling teams in the East are better positioned by cap space and assets, to make a move than are the Sabres. And yet… Quote
inkman Posted January 10 Report Posted January 10 15 minutes ago, bob_sauve28 said: Not really. They need to win 3 out of 4 for the remainder of the season. Columbia doesn’t have enough drugs to make me think that’s going to happen. Quote
PerreaultForever Posted January 11 Report Posted January 11 In the Florida Boston game they put up a standings graphic and the Sabres were the only team in the division not included as "in the hunt". 1 Quote
LGR4GM Posted January 12 Report Posted January 12 This team sucks and is only in the hunt for the 1st overall pick. 1 Quote
GASabresIUFAN Posted January 12 Report Posted January 12 19 minutes ago, LGR4GM said: This team sucks and is only in the hunt for the 1st overall pick. No question. No courageous run for the 8th overall pick this time. Quote
Wyldnwoody44 Posted January 12 Report Posted January 12 In the Hunt. Yeah, this is the only hunt the sabres are in. And they lose 1 Quote
Pimlach Posted January 12 Report Posted January 12 On 1/8/2025 at 11:35 AM, mjd1001 said: Here is a good example of the '7 points back' thing being worse than it sounds. Just last night...in ONE Night, The Ottawa played Detroit and it ended in OT (3 points awarded), Columbus and Pittsburg went to overtime (3 points awarded) and even the Rangers lost but it went to OT and they got a point. 5 teams above them, including 4 that played each other, ALL got points. Some one will counter with the improbable "all they need to do is win 10 in a row!" Quote
Stoner Posted January 12 Author Report Posted January 12 6 minutes ago, Pimlach said: Some one will counter with the improbable "all they need to do is win 10 in a row!" 7+3=10. 2 Quote
mjd1001 Posted January 12 Report Posted January 12 1 hour ago, Pimlach said: Some one will counter with the improbable "all they need to do is win 10 in a row!" The bad thing is if they DID win the next 10 games in a row, that puts them at .537 point percentage....so 10 in a row would BARELY put them in the 8th spot. But that still would only be an 88 point pace. At the moment the middle of the conference is kinda weak, but odds are it would still take more than that to make the final spot in the east by the end of the year. Of course, 10 in a row is moot point with this team (wins that is, I'm sure they COULD do 10 losses in a row again) Quote
GASabresIUFAN Posted January 12 Report Posted January 12 (edited) On 1/8/2025 at 6:47 PM, Porous Five Hole said: Sure do. 2.6% to make the playoffs, and 8.1% to win the lottery. https://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm Hard to believe, but the odds of both the playoffs and winning the lottery just got worse. Playoffs 2.5% and Lottery 7.6%. Only the Sabres can F-up both ways. Points prediction down to 76.4. https://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm Edited January 12 by GASabresIUFAN Quote
Thorner Posted January 13 Report Posted January 13 On 1/11/2025 at 6:26 PM, GASabresIUFAN said: No question. No courageous run for the 8th overall pick this time. Oh we can and will draft 8th and we will in fact find ourselves slated to “draft a good player no matter what” who some call the steal of the draft shortly after 2 Quote
GASabresIUFAN Posted January 13 Report Posted January 13 39 minutes ago, Thorner said: Oh we can and will draft 8th and we will in fact find ourselves slated to “draft a good player no matter what” who some call the steal of the draft shortly after and he'll be 5'10 165 pounds but have unlimited upside and a great hockey iQ. Quote
mjd1001 Posted January 13 Report Posted January 13 8 minutes ago, GASabresIUFAN said: and he'll be 5'10 165 pounds but have unlimited upside and a great hockey iQ. So, in many regards sounds LIKE Benson and the OPPOSITE of Cozens....doesn't sound all that bad to me from that perspective. Quote
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