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Sabres scoring rates and the 2024 season


LGR4GM

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6 hours ago, LGR4GM said:

The point of looking at scoring rates was to see if we have enough scoring to make the playoffs. The answer is maybe kinda. It isn't too say we will score x amount of goals. 

Coaching matters for these and injuries do too. You're 13th forward is playing half the games, so if you bump someone into that spot who's better that helps.

Likewise, we aren't accounting for the other side of the equation. We might have enough scoring, but will we prevent enough goals against? That's part 2 of this and more difficult to predict. I suppose we could pull every players xga and average them and see where it goes. 

Either way, this team had just enough to get into the playoffs and technically is better than last years team, but just barely. Again, Lindy Ruff is the great unknown. He manages to impart a system that isn't crap and make the pp even average, Buffalo can make the playoffs. 

The board is set. The pieces are moving. The margins are thin. 

Yep.  Ruff definitely has a heavy lift this season, and we haven't even really discussed the defense yet.

Adams definitely can and should do more.  Especially since we're only focusing on finishing 8th in the conference.  As a fanbase, we've totally shelved the idea, five years under Adams,that the Sabres should be challenging for a championship.

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On 7/13/2024 at 8:48 AM, bob_sauve28 said:

Florida was like 11th in goals scored last season. So, while important, its not everything. Playing a total game is really what matters 

I think if Ruff can get this group to be top half of the league in Goals For, they probably make the playoffs.

On 7/13/2024 at 9:32 AM, JoeSchmoe said:

But points don't win games. Goals do.

Points are predictive of goals. Goals are predictive of wins. And so on.

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2 hours ago, That Aud Smell said:

Points are predictive of goals. Goals are predictive of wins. And so on.

But as I said before, if the number of secondary assists per goal is not constant, it's an inferior metric to goals themselves.

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