bob_sauve28 Posted July 13 Report Posted July 13 Florida was like 11th in goals scored last season. So, while important, its not everything. Playing a total game is really what matters 1 Quote
JoeSchmoe Posted July 13 Report Posted July 13 2 hours ago, LGR4GM said: No it doesn't. It tells the number of pts a player scored per 60 of ice time last year. But points don't win games. Goals do. 1 Quote
jad1 Posted July 13 Report Posted July 13 6 hours ago, LGR4GM said: The point of looking at scoring rates was to see if we have enough scoring to make the playoffs. The answer is maybe kinda. It isn't too say we will score x amount of goals. Coaching matters for these and injuries do too. You're 13th forward is playing half the games, so if you bump someone into that spot who's better that helps. Likewise, we aren't accounting for the other side of the equation. We might have enough scoring, but will we prevent enough goals against? That's part 2 of this and more difficult to predict. I suppose we could pull every players xga and average them and see where it goes. Either way, this team had just enough to get into the playoffs and technically is better than last years team, but just barely. Again, Lindy Ruff is the great unknown. He manages to impart a system that isn't crap and make the pp even average, Buffalo can make the playoffs. The board is set. The pieces are moving. The margins are thin. Yep. Ruff definitely has a heavy lift this season, and we haven't even really discussed the defense yet. Adams definitely can and should do more. Especially since we're only focusing on finishing 8th in the conference. As a fanbase, we've totally shelved the idea, five years under Adams,that the Sabres should be challenging for a championship. 2 1 Quote
GoPuckYourself Posted July 16 Report Posted July 16 So what us non math nerds take from this: * If we score more than the other team we win the game? * If we win enough games we can possibly make the playoffs? About right? 1 Quote
PickaPecaPickles Posted July 16 Report Posted July 16 Do those stats account for the difference in PPG? 63 vs 37 Quote
That Aud Smell Posted July 16 Report Posted July 16 On 7/13/2024 at 8:48 AM, bob_sauve28 said: Florida was like 11th in goals scored last season. So, while important, its not everything. Playing a total game is really what matters I think if Ruff can get this group to be top half of the league in Goals For, they probably make the playoffs. On 7/13/2024 at 9:32 AM, JoeSchmoe said: But points don't win games. Goals do. Points are predictive of goals. Goals are predictive of wins. And so on. Quote
JoeSchmoe Posted July 16 Report Posted July 16 2 hours ago, That Aud Smell said: Points are predictive of goals. Goals are predictive of wins. And so on. But as I said before, if the number of secondary assists per goal is not constant, it's an inferior metric to goals themselves. 1 Quote
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