Suspect Moneypuck Expected Goal Model

[JoeSchmoe]

I'll admit I use the Moneypuck stats quite a bit. Tonight it says we had 2.645 expected goals for. That is ridiculously low IMO. We had sooooo many golden chances... That's how we got 7 GF.  I'd say we should have at least been 4 xGF. 

I get that not all our shot attempts got through and/or we missed the net, but we were buzzing all night.  

Stats nerds... Any thoughts?

[Pimlach]

Their goalie sucked 

Edited March 3, 2024 by Pimlach

[Doohicksie]

14 minutes ago, Pimlach said:

There goalie sucked 

Yeah.  Thompson had two go in off him (Okposo and Cozens).  Skinner's goal from the high slot is usually saved; Power's goal from the point should have been saved.  That's the first time this decade Girgs looked like a sniper.  Two goals were legit:  The first Cozens goal (clean breakaway) and the Mitts goal (pp with a screen).

There have been games where the Sabres were unlucky on shots to the net.  This was not one of them.

Edited March 3, 2024 by Doohickie

[Sabres Fan in NS]

Who ??

[Doohicksie]

You asking me?  Logan Thompson, VGK goalie.