Getting to know Devon Levi

[Broken Ankles]

1 hour ago, tom webster said:

Some Christmas Day trivia:

How are “The Weight,” Gordon Lightfoot’s “Sundown,” and the death of John Belushi related.

Catherine Smith.  Concubine to The Band, mistress to Gordie and the muse of the lyrics for Sundown, and drug dealer who injected the speedball to Belushi. 

[Dreams Burn Down]

My natural reaction to the Devon Levi news is muted only because most times the next "big things" on the Sabres don't pan out for whatever reasons. The kid does seem like a diamond in the rough, though. Whoever it will be, I'll be so relieved when we finally find a true franchise starting goaltender. It's only been a few years since Ryan Miller left, but it feels like an eternity. I miss not having to worry about it.

[tom webster]

4 hours ago, Broken Ankles said:

Catherine Smith.  Concubine to The Band, mistress to Gordie and the muse of the lyrics for Sundown, and drug dealer who injected the speedball to Belushi. 

Nicely done 

[Doohicksie]

8 hours ago, Dreams Burn Down said:

My natural reaction to the Devon Levi news is muted only because most times the next "big things" on the Sabres don't pan out for whatever reasons. The kid does seem like a diamond in the rough, though. Whoever it will be, I'll be so relieved when we finally find a true franchise starting goaltender. It's only been a few years since Ryan Miller left, but it feels like an eternity. I miss not having to worry about it.

Welcome to the forum and I have say you may have the most Buffalo Sabres username ever.

[Eleven]

Two shutouts in two days.  This trade is starting to look very good.

[ddaryl]

That is an old video from earlier this year (2nd video) .... But what stood out to me is how well Devon tracks the puck. He makes it look effortless

I had to post the tweet cause I couldn't find a copy on youtube.

[JoeSchmoe]

3 hours ago, Eleven said:

Two shutouts in two days.  This trade is starting to look very good.

Sam who? 

[LGR4GM]

4 hours ago, Eleven said:

Two shutouts in two days.  This trade is starting to look very good.

Levi is a full .01% above the next closest sv%

.958

.948

FYI the guy at .948 has played 7 less games or 35% less games than Levi at 20gp

Edited January 9, 2022 by LGR4GM

[Sabres Fan in NS]

2 minutes ago, LGR4GM said:

Levi is a full .01% above the next closest sv%

.958

.948

That does not look like that big a deal.

Is it?

[Doohicksie]

3 minutes ago, The Ghost of Doohickie said:

That does not look like that big a deal.

Is it?

It means the difference of a goal about every three games (assuming ~30 shots a game).

[SwampD]

4 hours ago, Eleven said:

Two shutouts in two days.  This trade is starting to look very good.

Definitely makes losing Sam hurt less.

I’m just glad Florida already had Spencer Knight in their system. How good is their goalie scout.

[LGR4GM]

13 minutes ago, The Ghost of Doohickie said:

That does not look like that big a deal.

Is it?

It is. That's 10 goals every 1k shots.  That doesn't sound like much but that's pretty significant when you consider the number of 1 goal games. Would you rather a guy give up 52 goals per 1k shots or 42 goals?

Portillo is at .919 btw

8 minutes ago, SwampD said:

Definitely makes losing Sam hurt less.

I’m just glad Florida already had Spencer Knight in their system. How good is their goalie scout.

Spencer knight was an easy pick impo. But getting Levi is like getting Wolf. Drafting talent even if it is imperfect (size)

Edited January 9, 2022 by LGR4GM

[Curt]

47 minutes ago, The Ghost of Doohickie said:

That does not look like that big a deal.

Is it?

It’s a difference of roughly 0.31 goals per game.

Over an 82 game season, it would be a difference of about 26 goals.

Thats a huge gap between Levi and the next best guy in the NCAA.

[DarthEbriate]

3 minutes ago, Curt said:

It’s a difference of roughly 0.31 goals per game.

Over an 82 game season, it would be a difference of about 26 goals.

Thats a huge gap between Levi and the next best guy in the NCAA.

Yup. Those tenths all add up.

Now, I don't expect Levi to roll a .958 in the NHL.

But, it puts in perspective how much goaltending means. A solid NHL goalie at a .915 is 20 goals better than a .905 (backup), and that's 20 more goals than a .895 (Hutton-level). Then, go the other direction .925. And then there's Hasek at .935. Over the course of an entire season, a Hasek is 80 goals better than a Hutton, all things else being equal.

[dudacek]

6 minutes ago, Curt said:

It’s a difference of roughly 0.31 goals per game.

Over an 82 game season, it would be a difference of about 26 goals.

Thats a huge gap between Levi and the next best guy in the NCAA.

 

6 minutes ago, Curt said:

It’s a difference of roughly 0.31 goals per game.

Over an 82 game season, it would be a difference of about 26 goals.

Thats a huge gap between Levi and the next best guy in the NCAA.

I’m not the best math guy out there, but if that’s the difference between .958 and .948, does that mean the difference between he and Portillo at a very respectable .919 would be like 100 goals a season?

.919 is easily a starter’s number in the NHL.

[K-9]

5 minutes ago, dudacek said:

 

I’m not the best math guy out there, but if that’s the difference between .958 and .948, does that mean the difference between he and Portillo at a very respectable .919 would be like 100 goals a season?

.919 is easily a starter’s number in the NHL.

Is there an NHLe stat for goalies like there is for skaters? 

[LGR4GM]

22 minutes ago, K-9 said:

Is there an NHLe stat for goalies like there is for skaters? 

Yes, goals saved above expected

[K-9]

1 hour ago, LGR4GM said:

Yes, goals saved above expected

Any idea where Levi projects?

[LGR4GM]

12 minutes ago, K-9 said:

Any idea where Levi projects?

Idk if there's a public model for the ncaa. There is for the nhl.

[JoeSchmoe]

With it looking more and more likely that UPL has a roster spot next year, where does this leave Levi?

Does he split time in the NHL with UPL after a good camp?

Does he start in Rochester as the #1?

Does he go back to school?

Any thoughts?

[LGR4GM]

9 minutes ago, JoeSchmoe said:

With it looking more and more likely that UPL has a roster spot next year, where does this leave Levi?

Does he split time in the NHL with UPL after a good camp?

Does he start in Rochester as the #1?

Does he go back to school?

Any thoughts?

Either back to school or Rochester. Depends on what the think of portillo tooo

[Dreams Burn Down]

2 hours ago, DarthEbriate said:

Yup. Those tenths all add up.

Now, I don't expect Levi to roll a .958 in the NHL.

But, it puts in perspective how much goaltending means. A solid NHL goalie at a .915 is 20 goals better than a .905 (backup), and that's 20 more goals than a .895 (Hutton-level). Then, go the other direction .925. And then there's Hasek at .935. Over the course of an entire season, a Hasek is 80 goals better than a Hutton, all things else being equal.

I am excited with Levi's NHL94esque numbers.  The performances he's stringing together are stratospheric.  However, the NHL is just a different animal.  So, I'm attempting to temper my zeal, but the kid is making it increasingly difficult on me.

[Brawndo]

3 hours ago, SwampD said:

Definitely makes losing Sam hurt less.

I’m just glad Florida already had Spencer Knight in their system. How good is their goalie scout.

https://www.sportsnet.ca/nhl/video/luongo-pushed-panthers-draft-devon-levi/?show_id=13373

 

It was Roberto Luongo that pushed for Bill Zito to draft Him

[Curt]

2 hours ago, dudacek said:

 

I’m not the best math guy out there, but if that’s the difference between .958 and .948, does that mean the difference between he and Portillo at a very respectable .919 would be like 100 goals a season?

.919 is easily a starter’s number in the NHL.

The difference in goals against between having 0.958 goaltending and 0.919 goaltending over an 82 game season, assuming roughly league average shots faced, would be roughly 100 goals, yes.

 

[LGR4GM]

15 minutes ago, Curt said:

The difference in goals against between having 0.958 goaltending and 0.919 goaltending over an 82 game season, assuming roughly league average shots faced, would be roughly 100 goals, yes.

 

Just keep in mind levi will not have a .958 in the NHL