Taro T Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 1 minute ago, rakish said: Oh, you're probably right. I'm not trying to predict what the Buffalo Sabres are going to do, I merely meant Asplund as a placeholder for a (about a) one million contract. I wonder what Pilut's status is. Sabres retained his rights by making the QO last season and it's been reported he could buy out of his KHL deal. So, he'll be available for Seattle to draft, but it's hard to come up with a scenario where Seattle would bite on him. Sabres would not only have to want to keep all of Ristolainen, Dahlin, Borgen, & Jokiharju (very plausible) but also want to keep Miller enough to add to the offer to get Pilut chosen or Seattle would want to avoid Miller enough that Larry gets asked for instead along w/ a pick to let the Sabres keep the other 4.
Taro T Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 Just now, Thwomp! said: Contract plays a big part. Borgen makes less than a million and is a RFA after this year. You're probably saving ~$4 million in cap by trading Risto for Borgen. Without sweeteners, I think Seattle takes Borgen or Bjork if they can. My goal would be to set it up so they'd have to take Miller, Risto, Girgensons, or Eakin. Okposo would be great too, but not very likely. If Seattle takes Bjork without any other enticement from the Sabres, the Hall trade looks better as it becomes Hall for a 1/2 salary retain & a 2nd with Seattle effectively taking Lazar letting the Sabres keep everybody else they care about. Yes, Bjork could become a player, but so could Borgen & Jokiharju worked well w/ Scandella, did NOT work well w/ Dahlin under Krueger but is looking better w/ him post Krueger. 1
PerreaultForever Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 Well this is why we should have traded Risto at the deadline but no matter, leaving him exposed is nuts and won't happen. What they get from us is probably not a high priority for them and will depend on what positions they've already filled from other teams. Maybe Adams picked up Bjork as the man to dangle in front of them? Hard to say. I wouldn't give them incentives on anyone. Let them have whoever and move on. Nobody that valuable at issue. 1
Thwomp! Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Taro T said: If Seattle takes Bjork without any other enticement from the Sabres, the Hall trade looks better as it becomes Hall for a 1/2 salary retain & a 2nd with Seattle effectively taking Lazar letting the Sabres keep everybody else they care about. Yes, Bjork could become a player, but so could Borgen & Jokiharju worked well w/ Scandella, did NOT work well w/ Dahlin under Krueger but is looking better w/ him post Krueger. Good point about the Hall trade. Bjork could become a player. I'm trying to keep Bjork over all the others that we already know are NOT players on a successful future Sabres team, but I'd rather lose him than Borgen any day. 1
Weave Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 3 hours ago, GASabresIUFAN said: Y'all are nuts. Leave VO exposed. Leave Risto exposed. All to save a 24 year D with 8 games of NHL experience. I like Borgen also, but if management really really wants to keep him, either work a deal for them to take Miller or someone else. Do what Jbot did with Carrier and Ullmark. There is some way over thinking going on. Honestly Samuelsson is a better version of Borgen, but from the other side. My guess is Seattle will want some vets and someone to run their PP. Miller is a perfect candidate. A PP asset and on a not unreasonable 1 year contract. They may take Miller anyway without incentive (although I'd squeeze us for something if I were Seattle's GM). Remember that have to take some veteran contracts. You protect Eichel, Reinhart, Skinner, Asplund, VO, Mitts and Thompson up front. Risto, Dahlin and Jokiharju on defense. You expose KO, Bjork, Torgarski, Borgen, Girgensons, Eakin, and Miller. KA should then work a deal with Sea to take Miller and give them a 5th to do it. If Seattle goes a different direction and takes Girgensons. Borgen is going to have to work hard to beating out Miller for the 3rd RD spot. The folks looking to protect Borgen are projecting a more balanced defence. There is significant value in that. He’s also a player that still has room to grow. Risto is wysiwyg. 3 1
Randall Flagg Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 (edited) There's obviously no guarantee he hits it or even comes close, but I believe Borgen's ceiling is Parayko. Physical edge, snuff literally anything out before it starts, decent in transition Edited April 15, 2021 by Randall Flagg 2
sweetlou Posted April 15, 2021 Author Report Posted April 15, 2021 6 hours ago, dudacek said: Like LGR said, this contradicts what I have seen, can you show where you found this? This is from cap friendly web site and Seattle expansion draft simulator. I can not tell if this is updated each day or was status at the beginning of year. checked players are eligible and GR means games remaining to be eligible. FORWARDS AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY 27/54 Eichel, Jack 24 C $10,000,000 UFA (2026) ✔ NMC-Waived Skinner, Jeff 28 LW $9,000,000 UFA (2027) ✔ Okposo, Kyle 32 RW $6,000,000 UFA (2023) ✔ Reinhart, Sam 25 RW $5,200,000 RFA (2021) ✔ Olofsson, Victor 25 LW $3,050,000 RFA (2022) ✔ Eakin, Cody 29 C $2,250,000 UFA (2022) ✔ Girgensons, Zemgus 27 C $2,200,000 UFA (2023) ✔ Bjork, Anders 24 LW $1,600,000 RFA (2023) ✔ Thompson, Tage 23 C $1,400,000 RFA (2023) 3 GR Mittelstadt, Casey 22 C $874,125 RFA (2021) ✔ Asplund, Rasmus 23 C $845,000 RFA (2021) 11 GR Oglevie, Andrew 26 C $750,000 UFA (2022) 27 GR Dea, Jean-Sébastien 27 C $700,000 UFA (2021) 26 GR Caggiula, Drake 26 LW $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Rieder, Tobias 28 RW $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Sheahan, Riley 29 LW $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Fogarty, Steven 27 C $700,000 UFA (2021) 19 GR Smith, C.J. 26 LW $700,000 UFA (2021) 26 GR DEFENSE AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY 27/54 Ristolainen, Rasmus 26 RD $5,400,000 UFA (2022) ✔ Miller, Colin 28 RD $3,875,000 UFA (2022) ✔ McCabe, Jake 27 LD $2,850,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Dahlin, Rasmus 21 LD $925,000 RFA (2021) ✔ Jokiharju, Henri 21 RD $925,000 RFA (2021) ✔ Borgen, William 24 RD $864,166 RFA (2021) 23 GR Irwin, Matt 33 LD/RD $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Davidson, Brandon 29 LD $700,000 UFA (2021) 21 GR Pilut, Lawrence 25 LD $925,000 RFA (2020) 27 GR GOALTENDER AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY Hutton, Carter 35 G $2,750,000 UFA (2021) Ullmark, Linus 27 G $2,600,000 UFA (2021) Tokarski, Dustin 31 G $725,000 UFA (2022) EXEMPT AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY Ruotsalainen, Arttu 23 C $925,000 RFA (2022) Quinn, Jack 19 RW $925,000 RFA (2023) Biro, Brandon 23 LW $925,000 RFA (2022) Cozens, Dylan 20 C $894,167 RFA (2023) Murray, Brett 22 LW $775,000 RFA (2022) Pekar, Matej 21 C $764,167 RFA (2023) DiPietro, Dawson 25 C $750,000 RFA (2021) Weissbach, Linus 22 LW $0 RFA (2023) Samuelsson, Mattias 21 LD $925,000 RFA (2023) Bryson, Jacob 23 LD $889,166 RFA (2022) Fitzgerald, Casey 24 RD $858,750 RFA (2021) Laaksonen, Oskari 21 RD $853,333 RFA (2023) Luukkonen, Ukko-Pekka 22 G $778,333 RFA (2022) Houser, Michael 28 G $700,000 UFA (2021)
dudacek Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 18 minutes ago, Randall Flagg said: There's obviously no guarantee he hits it or even comes close, but I believe Borgen's ceiling is Parayko. Physical edge, snuff literally anything out before it starts, decent in transition Are we really so stupid that we kept a player that good on the taxi squad and in the minors? Honest question. (And for the record, Parakyo is three inches taller and 25 pounds heavier, and his least productive season in the past nine years was 17 points in 33 games as a college freshman. Borgen's most productive at any level was 15 points in 36 games as a college junior)
dudacek Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 7 minutes ago, sweetlou said: This is from cap friendly web site and Seattle expansion draft simulator. I can not tell if this is updated each day or was status at the beginning of year. checked players are eligible and GR means games remaining to be eligible. FORWARDS AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY 27/54 Eichel, Jack 24 C $10,000,000 UFA (2026) ✔ NMC-Waived Skinner, Jeff 28 LW $9,000,000 UFA (2027) ✔ Okposo, Kyle 32 RW $6,000,000 UFA (2023) ✔ Reinhart, Sam 25 RW $5,200,000 RFA (2021) ✔ Olofsson, Victor 25 LW $3,050,000 RFA (2022) ✔ Eakin, Cody 29 C $2,250,000 UFA (2022) ✔ Girgensons, Zemgus 27 C $2,200,000 UFA (2023) ✔ Bjork, Anders 24 LW $1,600,000 RFA (2023) ✔ Thompson, Tage 23 C $1,400,000 RFA (2023) 3 GR Mittelstadt, Casey 22 C $874,125 RFA (2021) ✔ Asplund, Rasmus 23 C $845,000 RFA (2021) 11 GR Oglevie, Andrew 26 C $750,000 UFA (2022) 27 GR Dea, Jean-Sébastien 27 C $700,000 UFA (2021) 26 GR Caggiula, Drake 26 LW $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Rieder, Tobias 28 RW $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Sheahan, Riley 29 LW $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Fogarty, Steven 27 C $700,000 UFA (2021) 19 GR Smith, C.J. 26 LW $700,000 UFA (2021) 26 GR DEFENSE AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY 27/54 Ristolainen, Rasmus 26 RD $5,400,000 UFA (2022) ✔ Miller, Colin 28 RD $3,875,000 UFA (2022) ✔ McCabe, Jake 27 LD $2,850,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Dahlin, Rasmus 21 LD $925,000 RFA (2021) ✔ Jokiharju, Henri 21 RD $925,000 RFA (2021) ✔ Borgen, William 24 RD $864,166 RFA (2021) 23 GR Irwin, Matt 33 LD/RD $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Davidson, Brandon 29 LD $700,000 UFA (2021) 21 GR Pilut, Lawrence 25 LD $925,000 RFA (2020) 27 GR GOALTENDER AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY Hutton, Carter 35 G $2,750,000 UFA (2021) Ullmark, Linus 27 G $2,600,000 UFA (2021) Tokarski, Dustin 31 G $725,000 UFA (2022) EXEMPT AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY Ruotsalainen, Arttu 23 C $925,000 RFA (2022) Quinn, Jack 19 RW $925,000 RFA (2023) Biro, Brandon 23 LW $925,000 RFA (2022) Cozens, Dylan 20 C $894,167 RFA (2023) Murray, Brett 22 LW $775,000 RFA (2022) Pekar, Matej 21 C $764,167 RFA (2023) DiPietro, Dawson 25 C $750,000 RFA (2021) Weissbach, Linus 22 LW $0 RFA (2023) Samuelsson, Mattias 21 LD $925,000 RFA (2023) Bryson, Jacob 23 LD $889,166 RFA (2022) Fitzgerald, Casey 24 RD $858,750 RFA (2021) Laaksonen, Oskari 21 RD $853,333 RFA (2023) Luukkonen, Ukko-Pekka 22 G $778,333 RFA (2022) Houser, Michael 28 G $700,000 UFA (2021) That GR doesn't represent how many games left until you have to protect him. I think it's how many games left until he counts as towards the number of players you must expose. (Teams have to expose a minimum number of "NHL" vets) 1
rakish Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, sweetlou said: This is from cap friendly web site and Seattle expansion draft simulator. I can not tell if this is updated each day or was status at the beginning of year. checked players are eligible and GR means games remaining to be eligible. </snip> Ok, here's my theory. May be a bad theory, here goes: What the list is telling you is you need to make available certain number of players at each position. That eligibility depends on the number of games played. Now that is different than whether a player is eligible or not. Bryson is not eligible because he is a second year player. Borgen is eligible because he is a third year player. Although Bryson signed 2 years ago today, he doesn't become a third year player because he didn't play 10 games in 2018-2019. Since Borgan is eligible, you (the GM) need to consider whether he counts toward the number of required defensemen you need to expose. This is a different calculation Just now, dudacek said: That GR doesn't represent how many games left until you have to protect him. I think it's how many games left until he counts as towards the number of players you must expose. (Teams have to expose a minimum number of "NHL" vets) Dude, I was not typing yet
Randall Flagg Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, dudacek said: Are we really so stupid that we kept a player that good on the taxi squad and in the minors? Honest question. (And for the record, Parakyo is three inches taller and 25 pounds heavier, and his least productive season in the past nine years was 17 points in 33 games as a college freshman. Borgen's most productive at any level was 15 points in 36 games as a college junior) Didn't realize Parayko had some offense. I don't care about Borgen's offense
Drag0nDan Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 1 hour ago, Randall Flagg said: Didn't realize Parayko had some offense. I don't care about Borgen's offense I think paraykos a big boy too - i thought borgen looked smaller.
Taro T Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 2 hours ago, sweetlou said: This is from cap friendly web site and Seattle expansion draft simulator. I can not tell if this is updated each day or was status at the beginning of year. checked players are eligible and GR means games remaining to be eligible. FORWARDS AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY 27/54 Eichel, Jack 24 C $10,000,000 UFA (2026) ✔ NMC-Waived Skinner, Jeff 28 LW $9,000,000 UFA (2027) ✔ Okposo, Kyle 32 RW $6,000,000 UFA (2023) ✔ Reinhart, Sam 25 RW $5,200,000 RFA (2021) ✔ Olofsson, Victor 25 LW $3,050,000 RFA (2022) ✔ Eakin, Cody 29 C $2,250,000 UFA (2022) ✔ Girgensons, Zemgus 27 C $2,200,000 UFA (2023) ✔ Bjork, Anders 24 LW $1,600,000 RFA (2023) ✔ Thompson, Tage 23 C $1,400,000 RFA (2023) 3 GR Mittelstadt, Casey 22 C $874,125 RFA (2021) ✔ Asplund, Rasmus 23 C $845,000 RFA (2021) 11 GR Oglevie, Andrew 26 C $750,000 UFA (2022) 27 GR Dea, Jean-Sébastien 27 C $700,000 UFA (2021) 26 GR Caggiula, Drake 26 LW $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Rieder, Tobias 28 RW $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Sheahan, Riley 29 LW $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Fogarty, Steven 27 C $700,000 UFA (2021) 19 GR Smith, C.J. 26 LW $700,000 UFA (2021) 26 GR DEFENSE AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY 27/54 Ristolainen, Rasmus 26 RD $5,400,000 UFA (2022) ✔ Miller, Colin 28 RD $3,875,000 UFA (2022) ✔ McCabe, Jake 27 LD $2,850,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Dahlin, Rasmus 21 LD $925,000 RFA (2021) ✔ Jokiharju, Henri 21 RD $925,000 RFA (2021) ✔ Borgen, William 24 RD $864,166 RFA (2021) 23 GR Irwin, Matt 33 LD/RD $700,000 UFA (2021) ✔ Davidson, Brandon 29 LD $700,000 UFA (2021) 21 GR Pilut, Lawrence 25 LD $925,000 RFA (2020) 27 GR GOALTENDER AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY Hutton, Carter 35 G $2,750,000 UFA (2021) Ullmark, Linus 27 G $2,600,000 UFA (2021) Tokarski, Dustin 31 G $725,000 UFA (2022) EXEMPT AGE POS CAP HIT EXPIRY Ruotsalainen, Arttu 23 C $925,000 RFA (2022) Quinn, Jack 19 RW $925,000 RFA (2023) Biro, Brandon 23 LW $925,000 RFA (2022) Cozens, Dylan 20 C $894,167 RFA (2023) Murray, Brett 22 LW $775,000 RFA (2022) Pekar, Matej 21 C $764,167 RFA (2023) DiPietro, Dawson 25 C $750,000 RFA (2021) Weissbach, Linus 22 LW $0 RFA (2023) Samuelsson, Mattias 21 LD $925,000 RFA (2023) Bryson, Jacob 23 LD $889,166 RFA (2022) Fitzgerald, Casey 24 RD $858,750 RFA (2021) Laaksonen, Oskari 21 RD $853,333 RFA (2023) Luukkonen, Ukko-Pekka 22 G $778,333 RFA (2022) Houser, Michael 28 G $700,000 UFA (2021) Here's what was written on a SBNation post back in '17 heading into the Vegas draft and the rules for eligibility are supposed to be identical (though obviously, the salary cap targets will be different). Apologies for not crediting the original author, don't still have that info. Also, my comments are in (parenthesis). Quote: Each team can protect up to seven forwards, three defensemen, and one goaltender, or nine players regardless of position. (Almost positive that should be 8+1, not 9 as am almost positive 2 or more goalies can not be protected in any case.) All players with no-movement clauses must be protected unless they’ve agreed to waive.. (Pretty sure players w/ partial NMC / NTC DON'T have to be protected, but not 100% sure on that either.) Any player with two or fewer years of NHL/AHL experience is exempt. (So, Thompson is not exempt from the draft. That games remaining to status change refer to whether they meet the vriteria to count towards having a minimum # available as others here have stated.) Teams must expose players who meet certain criteria. There must be at least one defensemen and two forwards who are under contract for 2017-18 (2020-21) and played at least 40 NHL games in 2016-17 (2020-21) or 70 NHL games total since the start of 2015-16 (2019-20). (No data on how the shortened seasons effect the games played #'s.) Teams must also expose a goaltender who is either under contract for the 2017-18 (2021-22, Tokarski fulfills this requirement for the Sabres.) season or about to enter restricted free agency. Golden Knights selection rules Vegas must select one player from each franchise. The final roster must include at least 14 forwards, nine defensemen, and three goaltenders. At least 20 of the 30 players selected have to be under contract for the 2017-18 (2021-22) season. The total cap hit of players selected must be between $43.8 million and $73 million. (No data on actual #'s for Seattle.)
Drag0nDan Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 2 hours ago, dudacek said: Are we really so stupid that we kept a player that good on the taxi squad and in the minors? Honest question. (And for the record, Parakyo is three inches taller and 25 pounds heavier, and his least productive season in the past nine years was 17 points in 33 games as a college freshman. Borgen's most productive at any level was 15 points in 36 games as a college junior) I think Borgen comparisons may be a tad overblown. He's 24 going on 25. He's played 8 NHL games and has registered 0 points. And he has 25 points in 140 AHL games. Any other team in the league is praying you pick this guy - he could be the next mike weber for all we know. I'm not saying I want to lose him, I just have no loyalty to a defenseman that couldn't crack this team the last few years, bad coaching or not.
Hoss Posted April 15, 2021 Report Posted April 15, 2021 10 hours ago, GASabresIUFAN said: Your exposing Ristolainen? Asplund isn’t exempt. Another case of bad asset management. Borgen is very replaceable. 8 NHL games at 24 screams replaceable player. If KA protects Bjork over Asplund and Borgen over anyone else he needs to have his head examined. We are losing one player off the worst team in the NHL. No biggie. I’m protecting Borden hard. I’m trading Risto before the expansion draft. 1
Curt Posted April 16, 2021 Report Posted April 16, 2021 11 hours ago, LGR4GM said: Seattle has a very good analytics department. They won't take him. This is probably true, but I don’t see how you could say this definitively. This is a team with no players.
Randall Flagg Posted April 16, 2021 Report Posted April 16, 2021 3 hours ago, LGR4GM said: For the record, Borgen is 6'3" 200lbs Bigger than I remember
LGR4GM Posted April 20, 2021 Report Posted April 20, 2021 On 4/15/2021 at 7:14 PM, Hoss said: I’m protecting Borden hard. I’m trading Risto before the expansion draft. Ppl are slowly convincing me to keep Ristolainen. I went from no way to maybe...
pastajoe Posted April 20, 2021 Report Posted April 20, 2021 On 4/15/2021 at 6:59 AM, sweetlou said: Barring any trades in off season before draft, whois on your Sabres protection list? my 7 forwards are: Eichel, Skinner(NMC), Reinhart, Mitts,Thomspon, Bjork, and Olofsson 3 defenseman are: Dahlin, Joker, Borgen goalie: Ullmark I would go with 8 players and protect Risto as the 4th D, and expose Thompson, Bjork, and Olofsson. Any one of them can be replaced easier than Risto as a veteran D, who also would have greater trade value if it comes to that. Ruotsalainen can replace Olofsson as the PP sniper if needed.
inkman Posted April 20, 2021 Report Posted April 20, 2021 1 hour ago, LGR4GM said: Ppl are slowly convincing me to keep Ristolainen. I went from no way to maybe... Yeah with Donny Meatballs breaking down how Risto mentored Bryson and now Samuelsson, coach definitely is on team Risto. The only way I’d want to see him go is if it makes the team better.
dudacek Posted April 20, 2021 Report Posted April 20, 2021 Here's another way of looking at it: Is Will Borgen really one of this team's 8 or even 10 best players?
North Buffalo Posted April 20, 2021 Report Posted April 20, 2021 Hmm do you protect Skinner? His contract is prohibitive?
dudacek Posted April 20, 2021 Report Posted April 20, 2021 Just now, North Buffalo said: Hmm do you protect Skinner? His contract is prohibitive? His NMC means he is automatically on your protected list. He does have the option of waiving, which would allow the Sabres to use that spot for another player.
North Buffalo Posted April 20, 2021 Report Posted April 20, 2021 Just now, dudacek said: His NMC means he is automatically on your protected list. He does have the option of waiving, which would allow the Sabres to use that spot for another player. Sorry meant to add that in 1
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