Marvin Posted May 22, 2020 Report Posted May 22, 2020 4 hours ago, Xzy89c said: not even close. trying to compare those guys into the current NHL is equal to wondering if leather helmet NFL players could play in today's NFL. Guys like that do play still in the NHL. I just don't have them at my fingertips any more -- unlike the 1970's, I don't have the line-ups for the entire league memorised. Ah, youth. 1 Quote
Taro T Posted May 22, 2020 Report Posted May 22, 2020 10 hours ago, LGR4GM said: Calm down. I was simply asking it to be compared to really understand what the jump was. Okay, how many more ES minutes was he playing? If his pp time went down but his TOI stayed similar it had to be replaced with PK or ES time. What was his ES p/60? :rolleyes: So, we can take that as a 'no?' ? Quote
Thorner Posted May 22, 2020 Report Posted May 22, 2020 On 5/19/2020 at 11:28 PM, SwampD said: I don't even knife what to do with this post other than laugh. This is like saying, "See? Less is less than more!" Where's the wall bash emogi? Is Yashin still getting paid? What are you even talking about? Quote
SwampD Posted May 22, 2020 Report Posted May 22, 2020 1 hour ago, Thorny said: What are you even talking about? That’s a very good question. Going to have to go back and revisit that. I’m going to assume that know was autocorrected to knife. Okay, making a blanket statement on two years worth of one stat is silly enough. Isn’t expected goals an offensive stat? He went from scoring less than he “should have” to scoring more than he “should have”. What does that have to do with how the other team does against us when he is on the ice? Quote
Thorner Posted May 23, 2020 Report Posted May 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, SwampD said: That’s a very good question. Going to have to go back and revisit that. I’m going to assume that know was autocorrected to knife. Okay, making a blanket statement on two years worth of one stat is silly enough. Isn’t expected goals an offensive stat? He went from scoring less than he “should have” to scoring more than he “should have”. What does that have to do with how the other team does against us when he is on the ice? It’s the % of the expected goals scored while he’s on the ice. So if you put stock in the stat, and you see a player is below 50%, the stat is saying, when Risto is on the ice, his team is expected to score less than half of the total goals scored - ie, the other team is getting the better of the play. Again, if you put stock in the stat, Risto’s “better” results are a function of luck rather than an indication of a swing in play, based on his still poor expected goals stat. Everyone’s mileage may vary on advanced stats but I didn’t think the post was of the bash your head on the wall variety especially considering I followed up with more posts. Quote
SwampD Posted May 23, 2020 Report Posted May 23, 2020 (edited) 54 minutes ago, Thorny said: It’s the % of the expected goals scored while he’s on the ice. So if you put stock in the stat, and you see a player is below 50%, the stat is saying, when Risto is on the ice, his team is expected to score less than half of the total goals scored - ie, the other team is getting the better of the play. Again, if you put stock in the stat, Risto’s “better” results are a function of luck rather than an indication of a swing in play, based on his still poor expected goals stat. Everyone’s mileage may vary on advanced stats but I didn’t think the post was of the bash your head on the wall variety especially considering I followed up with more posts. Ah yes, the %. It was of the bash your head variety because for some reason with advstats, especially when it relates to a Sabre, the low number is always viewed as the truth and the high one is always just luck, soon to be reverted to the mean. It’s like stats folk never want me to be happy. Edited May 23, 2020 by SwampD Quote
dudacek Posted May 23, 2020 Author Report Posted May 23, 2020 (edited) 31 minutes ago, SwampD said: Ah yes, the %. It was of the bash your head variety because for some reason with advstats, especially when it relates to a Sabre, the low number is always viewed as the truth and the high one is always just luck, soon to be reverted to the mean. It’s like stats folk never want me to be happy. It’s like the “Botterill can’t draft” on the other thread. Casey was picked 8th and is 7th in games played, 8th in goals and 9th in points from his draft year. That doesn’t matter because he sucks. Dahlin is the 2nd highest scoring teen defenceman of all-time. That doesn’t matter, a donkey would have picked him. Cozens improves all his numbers to among the best in his league, plays 1st line on a gold medal team canada squad and gets universal acclaim for his effort and attitude. Doesn’t matter they’ll ruin him. And besides, have any of Botterill’s other picks done a thing? Well, nobody after pick 3 from 2019 has played a game in the NHL yet, nobody after pick 14 in 2018 (and only 6 players overall) has become a regular yet, and only two players picked after pick 21 in 2017 are regulars yet (one of them is Sabre Henri Jokiharju). So it’s kinda early to tell. Practically nobody’s picks have done anything. See! Nothing! He sucks! Edited May 23, 2020 by dudacek 1 Quote
Thorner Posted May 23, 2020 Report Posted May 23, 2020 40 minutes ago, SwampD said: Ah yes, the %. It was of the bash your head variety because for some reason with advstats, especially when it relates to a Sabre, the low number is always viewed as the truth and the high one is always just luck, soon to be reverted to the mean. It’s like stats folk never want me to be happy. I don’t really agree with this reading, personally. To me, it comes down to one’s personal preference for either the expected stat or the straight %, or both, or neither. I like the stat so I put a bit more weight on the expected stat, others don’t like it, but I don’t think I’m reading it with an anti-Sabres bias. For arguments sake, so what if I was reading it with an anti-Risto bias? I’m stating out right, by the metrics you prefer to evaluate by, that I don’t like Risto the player. The part of the stat I’m focusing on is a valid piece of information, regardless of if my choosing to focus on it is indicative of my bias. Bias, in other words, opinion. There are many admissible forms of information when one is constructing their own. Quote
Thorner Posted May 23, 2020 Report Posted May 23, 2020 (edited) 57 minutes ago, dudacek said: It’s like the “Botterill can’t draft” on the other thread. It’s really not. It’s funny. If I had come in and said, “don’t like Risto’s style of play, he’s got a low hockey IQ and he’s prone to gaffes, though he’s improved those a little. I’d like to move him.” It would go unchallenged because it didn’t incorporate a form of information that ruffles so many feathers. The stats are neutral. One’s interpretation of them is not. But don’t forget that *every* other metric you are using to formulate your opinion incorporates subjectivity in the interpretation process. Edited May 23, 2020 by Thorny Quote
dudacek Posted May 23, 2020 Author Report Posted May 23, 2020 48 minutes ago, Thorny said: It’s really not. It’s funny. If I had come in and said, “don’t like Risto’s style of play, he’s got a low hockey IQ and he’s prone to gaffes, though he’s improved those a little. I’d like to move him.” It would go unchallenged because it didn’t incorporate a form of information that ruffles so many feathers. The stats are neutral. One’s interpretation of them is not. But don’t forget that *every* other metric you are using to formulate your opinion incorporates subjectivity in the interpretation process. Sorry, wasn’t trying to draw an analogy between my scenario and your analytics. i was saying the draft thing makes me feel the same way that analytics scenario makes Swamp feel. 1 Quote
bob_sauve28 Posted May 23, 2020 Report Posted May 23, 2020 Risto’s contract should be extended now Quote
Curt Posted May 23, 2020 Report Posted May 23, 2020 1 hour ago, bob_sauve28 said: Risto’s contract should be extended now Not even possible. Can’t be done more than a year from the date of expiration. He has over two years remaining currently. 1 Quote
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