PTS Posted April 16, 2006 Report Posted April 16, 2006 No more numbers to compute ... just FOUR more wins against the Flyers.
PromoTheRobot Posted April 16, 2006 Report Posted April 16, 2006 Don't want to play the Devils. Flyers for sure. PTR
JujuFish Posted April 16, 2006 Report Posted April 16, 2006 I think we play the Rangers. Also, if there is a three way tie, NJ will get the division.
PTS Posted April 16, 2006 Author Report Posted April 16, 2006 Yep, you're right, I wasn't sure what the tiebreaker rule was for more than two teams but it's still the same.
Bring Back Sanderson Posted April 16, 2006 Report Posted April 16, 2006 Tuesday is going to be really interesting...at 7:30 it might look like we're playing the Flyers, at 8:30 like it'll be the Devils, and at 9:30 like the Rangers are coming here next weekend, or vice versa. The Sabres finally get another OLN game (what's that, only 3 this year?) and of course it's on a night when I would just assume they telecast the Montreal-NJ game which has much more significance at both ends of the playoff race. My gut feeling, which goes against the trends of how teams have been playing, is that the Rangers put together a decent effort and beat an uninterested Ottawa team, the Flyers beat the Islanders, and Montreal beats NJ in a game that Montreal likely will have to win/ lose in OT to make the playoffs...in that case Philly comes in. We'll see.
JujuFish Posted April 17, 2006 Report Posted April 17, 2006 Assuming no OT games: We face NJ if: Everyone wins Everyone loses NYR wins, Phi and NJ lose NYR and NJ win, Phi loses We face NY if: Phi wins, NYR and NJ lose NJ wins, Phi and NYR lose We face Phi if: NYR and Phi win, NJ loses NJ and Phi win, NYR loses So, if NYR loses, 3 of the 4 possible outcomes have us NOT playing NJ.
gregkash Posted April 17, 2006 Report Posted April 17, 2006 I think Philadelphia gives us the best matchup.. Questionable goaltending and a slower team. Forsberg and Gagne are dangerous, no doubt. But I think we can match them if we use our speed.
Corp000085 Posted April 17, 2006 Report Posted April 17, 2006 I think Philadelphia gives us the best matchup.. Questionable goaltending and a slower team. Forsberg and Gagne are dangerous, no doubt. But I think we can match them if we use our speed. I'll be willing to bet that forsberg is close to being done for the playoffs. He participated in the pregame skate yesterday but his groin was too injured for him to play. Sure, he'll play in the playoffs, but i wouldn't expect any skating speed from the guy.
PTS Posted April 17, 2006 Author Report Posted April 17, 2006 Bump ... updated the original post of this thread.
JujuFish Posted April 17, 2006 Report Posted April 17, 2006 There are 27 possible combinations. They end up NJ ~40.7% NYR ~33.3%, Phi ~%26% We face NJ if: NYR W, NJ W, Phi W NYR L, NJ L, Phi L NYR OTL, NJ OTL, Phi OTL NYR W, Phi L, NJ L NYR W, NJ W, Phi L NYR W, NJ W, Phi OTL NYR W, NJ OTL, Phi L NYR W, NJ OTL, Phi OTL NYR L, NJ OTL, Phi W NYR OTL, NJ L, Phi L NYR OTL, NJ OTL, Phi L 11/27 We face NY if: NYR L, NJ L, Phi W NYR L, NJ W, Phi L NYR L, NJ W, Phi OTL NYR L, NJ OTL, Phi L NYR L, NJ OTL, Phi OTL NYR OTL, NJ W, Phi L NYR OTL, NJ W, Phi OTL NYR OTL, NJ OTL, Phi W NYR OTL, NJ L, Phi W 9/27 We face Phi if: NYR W, NJ L, Phi W NYR L, NJ W, Phi W NYR W, NJ L, Phi OTL NYR W, NJ OTL, Phi W NYR L, NJ L, Phi OTL NYR OTL, NJ L, Phi OTL NYR OTL, NJ W, Phi W 7/27
PTS Posted April 17, 2006 Author Report Posted April 17, 2006 Thanks JuJu. I thought they said 36 on the news last night and I figured that number wasn't right.
Taro T Posted April 17, 2006 Report Posted April 17, 2006 There are only 27 possible combinations, although they do end up NJ ~40% NYR, Phi ~%30 We face NJ if: NYR W, NJ W, Phi W NYR L, NJ L, Phi L NYR OTL, NJ OTL, Phi OTL NYR W, Phi L, NJ L NYR W, NJ W, Phi L NYR W, NJ W, Phi OTL NYR W, NJ OTL, Phi L NYR W, NJ OTL, Phi OTL NYR L, NJ OTL, Phi W NYR OTL, NJ L, Phi L NYR OTL, NJ OTL, Phi L 11/27 We face NY if: NYR L, NJ L, Phi W NYR L, NJ W, Phi L NYR L, NJ W, Phi OTL NYR L, NJ OTL, Phi L NYR L, NJ OTL, Phi OTL NYR OTL, NJ W, Phi W NYR OTL, NJ W, Phi L NYR OTL, NJ W, Phi OTL 8/27 We face Phi if: NYR W, NJ L, Phi W NYR L, NJ W, Phi W NYR W, NJ L, Phi OTL NYR W, NJ OTL, Phi W NYR L, NJ L, Phi OTL NYR OTL, NJ L, Phi W NYR OTL, NJ L, Phi OTL NYR OTL, NJ OTL, Phi W 8/27 Are you sure about the ones where NY OTL's and Philly wins? That would give Rangers and Philly both 101 points, but Philly would have 45 wins and NY would have 44. Philly should win the tie breaker w/ NY and end up the #3 seed, and NY end up the #5 seed in the cases where NJ ends up with less than 101 and would give Philly #5 and NY #6 when NJ gets 101. Or am I missing something here? That scenario explains my discrepancy with the D&C and with your calcs.
JujuFish Posted April 17, 2006 Report Posted April 17, 2006 Are you sure about the ones where NY OTL's and Philly wins? That would give Rangers and Philly both 101 points, but Philly would have 45 wins and NY would have 44. Philly should win the tie breaker w/ NY and end up the #3 seed, and NY end up the #5 seed in the cases where NJ ends up with less than 101 and would give Philly #5 and NY #6 when NJ gets 101. Or am I missing something here? That scenario explains my discrepancy with the D&C and with your calcs. You're right. I figured I'd make a mistake somewhere, but I didn't have time to check as I had to get to class. I've updated the errors you pointed out.
Taro T Posted April 18, 2006 Report Posted April 18, 2006 My gut feel is that the Flyers will beat the Isles tonight. If that happens, the Sabres only play the Devils if NJ and NYR both win or if NJ loses in OT and NYR loses in regulation. There are 4 scenarios (of 9) that the Sabres play the Flyers and 3 where they play the Rangers if Philly wins tonight. It pains me to say it, but Let's Go Flyers and Let's Go Habs. We should know what to be rooting for in the Jersey game by the time that one gets into the 3rd, as it's a 7:30 start and all the others that we care about are 7:00 starts. In 3 of the 9 possible combinations of Flyers and Rangers outcomes, it doesn't matter what NJ does as far as Buffalo having to play them in the 1st round. If the Rangers win and Philly loses, Buffalo plays NJ no matter what NJ does. If the Flyers win and Rangers lose in OT, the Sabres will play NY or Philly no matter what NJ does, w/ Buffalo playing Philly w/ a Devils win and playing NYR with a Devils loss or OTL. If the Rangers lose in regulation and the Flyers lose in OT, the Sabres will play NY or Philly no matter what NJ does, w/ Buffalo playing Philly w/ a Devils loss and playing NYR with a Devils win or OTL. In any of the other 6 possible Philly / NYR combinations, the Sabres may end up playing NJ.
Taro T Posted April 19, 2006 Report Posted April 19, 2006 With about 10 minutes left in the Devils game, the Sabres can still end up playing any of the Atlantic boys. If NJ ends up losing outright (they are down 3-1), Sabres will play the Rangers. If NJ wins, Sabres will play the Flyers. An OTL for NJ, and the swamprats are heading to Buffalo.
Monkeygirl Posted April 19, 2006 Report Posted April 19, 2006 Aghhhh, I just told my nephew we're going to play the rags, and now NJ tied with 6 minutes left. OK, now I hope they winnnnnnn.
bills_fan_in_raleigh Posted April 19, 2006 Report Posted April 19, 2006 Aghhhh, I just told my nephew we're going to play the rags, and now NJ tied with 6 minutes left. OK, now I hope they winnnnnnn. well they are now up 4 -3
Monkeygirl Posted April 19, 2006 Report Posted April 19, 2006 so we'd play philly.....ok I can handle that too. anything but nj, not because they're scary....well sort of, but they are dreadfully boring and i'm going to game 5 (hopefully) so i really dont want my first playoff game to be nj, reallllllllly don'tt....
Taro T Posted April 19, 2006 Report Posted April 19, 2006 so we'd play philly.....ok I can handle that too. anything but nj, not because they're scary....well sort of, but they are dreadfully boring and i'm going to game 5 (hopefully) so i really dont want my first playoff game to be nj, reallllllllly don'tt.... Devils win 4-3. They will host the Rangers. Sabres host Flyers.
haseoke Posted April 19, 2006 Report Posted April 19, 2006 you knew it was coming. it was karma. there wasnt a choice in the matter. j
Eleven Posted April 19, 2006 Report Posted April 19, 2006 Devils win 4-3. They will host the Rangers. Sabres host Flyers. I'm happy enough with that. The Flyers have looked good lately (at least what little I've seen), but GAME ON!
sabre31_98 Posted April 19, 2006 Report Posted April 19, 2006 I am not sure how crazy I am playing Philly right now. I am thinking the Rangers would have been a better fit. Oh well, hopefully history repeats itself and we send Philly to the golf course once again. In any event, what a season. A total success. Go Sabres!
The_Swannie_House Posted April 19, 2006 Report Posted April 19, 2006 Bring on the Flyers....any word on the gametimes yet?
Swedesessed Posted April 19, 2006 Report Posted April 19, 2006 Devils win 4-3. They will host the Rangers. Sabres host Flyers. For the 6th time since 1995 too...unreal GO SABRES!!!!!!!!!!
Larry Playfair Posted April 19, 2006 Report Posted April 19, 2006 For the 6th time since 1995 too...unreal GO SABRES!!!!!!!!!! Czechmate - what is our record in thse 6 series? Bring on the injured slow no goaltending flyers.
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