rakish Posted February 3, 2019 Report Posted February 3, 2019 Who's line matching? Is it working for them? We're half-way through the 2018-2019 season, and we are going to examine the players that have very different usage at home as opposed to playing on the road. Maybe we'll find some hidden truths, some inner meaning, or maybe not. <br><br> The metric we're using is the even strength power-play time of the opponent forwards. Lets say you are on the ice against Eichel, who gets 4.5 minutes of PP time/game, Skinner, who gets 4.0 minutes of PP time/game, and Mittelstadt, who gets 1.2 minutes of PP time/game, for that segment your metric would be 9.7. Goaltenders usually have about 5.5 or 6.0, so that's the average. If the other team really wants their best offensive players to play against Eichel, his metric might be 8.0, if your coach is trying to hide you at home, it might be 3.0 or 4.0. <br><br> Sabres: At home, they play RISTOLAINEN (7.12) MCCABE (6.99) SCANDELLA (6.70) GIRGENSONS (6.67) against the other teams best forwards. At home they hide DAHLIN (5.21) HUNWICK (5.07) GUHLE (5.00) BEAULIEU (4.59) TENNYSON (2.94). The Sabres record at home is good, but they are being killed on the road. Accumulated metrics, CJ Smith is highest on the road, his one game against Boston was only 6.06, which isn't really that high for one game. The second highest is Skinner, who has better stats at home, but not to the level that would be killing the Sabres. Third is Erod, who scores a lot more on the road than at home, and his goal differential isn't why the Sabres lose on the road. The team has terrible results when Pilut plays on the road, but it doesn't seem to be him as his goal differential isn't that bad. I think it has to do more with the calendar. Pilut joined the Sabres after they won ten games in a row, since then they've been the worst team in hockey. He faces the same strength of opponent at home as on the road. The team wins at home with the recently released Remi Elie, and loses on the road, and while he's on the ice for some road goals, the other team doesn't play a stronger level of competition against him on the road. Dahlin faces the same level of competition, and has better goal results on the road. <br><br> Home Team -- Who their played the opponents best offensive forwards (2) Least offensive forwards played (2) -- Result <br><br> ARI: THOMPSON 8.09 BERGLUND 7.68 NELSON 3.58 BEAULIEU 3.29 BUF 3, ARI 0 <br> <b>VGK: EICHEL 6.68 REINHART 6.63 RODRIGUES 3.99 THOMPSON 3.98 VGK 4, BUF 1 </b><br> SJS: SOBOTKA 5.83 BEAULIEU 5.65 MITTELSTADT 2.32 OKPOSO 2.25 SJS 5, BUF 1 <br> LAK: EICHEL 6.62 SKINNER 6.45 LARSSON 4.69 GIRGENSONS 4.57 BUF 5, LAK 1 <br> ANA: BERGLUND 6.81 GIRGENSONS 6.81 EICHEL 3.22 SKINNER 3.20 BUF 4, ANA 2 <br> CBJ: LARSSON 7.24 BERGLUND 7.17 REINHART 5.52 EICHEL 5.45 CBJ 5, BUF 4 (OT) <br> OTT: BERGLUND 6.41 LARSSON 6.14 EICHEL 4.24 NELSON 3.93 OTT 4, BUF 2 <br> NYR: SKINNER 7.53 EICHEL 7.43 SOBOTKA 4.15 SHEARY 4.05 NYR 3, BUF 1 <br> MTL: BOGOSIAN 6.90 GIRGENSONS 6.35 MITTELSTADT 3.80 SHEARY 3.79 BUF 6, MTL 5 (OT) <br> WPG: LARSSON 7.96 THOMPSON 7.95 SOBOTKA 3.66 POMINVILLE 3.38 BUF 2, WPG 1 (SO) <br> MIN: DAHLIN 6.42 BERGLUND 6.36 THOMPSON 4.33 MCCABE 4.25 BUF 3, MIN 2 <br> PIT: SKINNER 6.66 EICHEL 6.30 SHEARY 3.64 BERGLUND 3.54 BUF 5, PIT 4 (OT) <br> DET: MITTELSTADT 5.42 BOGOSIAN 5.41 REINHART 4.62 RISTOLAINEN 4.49 BUF 3, DET 2 (SO) <br> TBL: EICHEL 8.35 REINHART 8.26 LARSSON 4.74 GIRGENSONS 4.62 TBL 5, BUF 4 <br> FLA: SKINNER 8.83 EICHEL 8.70 THOMPSON 3.98 OKPOSO 3.81 FLA 3, BUF 2 (OT) <br> NSH: THOMPSON 5.83 RODRIGUES 5.77 EICHEL 3.24 REINHART 3.18 NSH 2, BUF 1 <br> WSH: GIRGENSONS 9.16 RODRIGUES 8.72 BEAULIEU 4.97 TENNYSON 2.51 WSH 4, BUF 3 (SO) <br> BOS: RODRIGUES 6.72 POMINVILLE 6.62 SKINNER 3.15 REINHART 2.23 BUF 4, BOS 2 <br> WSH: REINHART 7.79 SKINNER 7.75 THOMPSON 5.21 GIRGENSONS 5.10 WSH 2, BUF 1 <br> STL: RODRIGUES 7.89 SOBOTKA 7.89 LARSSON 4.69 THOMPSON 4.31 STL 4, BUF 1 <br> BOS: SKINNER 8.53 REINHART 8.34 SOBOTKA 3.02 SHEARY 2.96 BOS 2, BUF 1 <br> CAR: SKINNER 8.43 EICHEL 8.32 MITTELSTADT 3.60 GIRGENSONS 3.23 CAR 4, BUF 3 <br> EDM: REINHART 9.04 SKINNER 8.93 THOMPSON 3.12 SHEARY 3.12 EDM 7, BUF 2 <br> CGY: RODRIGUES 8.00 POMINVILLE 7.94 BOGOSIAN 4.82 OKPOSO 4.81 BUF 4, CGY 3 (OT) <br> VAN: RODRIGUES 7.95 POMINVILLE 7.95 EICHEL 3.40 REINHART 3.33 VAN 4, BUF 3 <br> CBJ: GIRGENSONS 8.05 LARSSON 7.77 SCANDELLA 4.59 HUNWICK 4.54 BUF 5, CBJ 4 <br> DAL: MITTELSTADT 6.32 SHEARY 6.30 SOBOTKA 4.08 THOMPSON 3.98 DAL 1, BUF 0 <br> Quote
RonHextallsShoulderPads Posted February 3, 2019 Report Posted February 3, 2019 Does this data come with its own Rosetta Stone? 3 Quote
rakish Posted February 3, 2019 Author Report Posted February 3, 2019 Rosetta Stone: In Buffalo, at even-strength, Housley plays Risto against the other teams power play forwards. On the road, teams play their power play forwards against Skinner or Erod (or many other strategies, see the game by game list). Buffalo has a good record at home, they have a bad record on the road, you would think that Skinner's and Erod's stats would show some responsibility for the gap between home results and road results. They don't. 1 Quote
rakish Posted February 3, 2019 Author Report Posted February 3, 2019 Just now, Cascade Youth said: Raw data yeah, going through all the teams to see if I can learn anything. I thought you guys would be interested in how teams are trying to attack Buffalo (I posted such data each game last year) Quote
North Buffalo Posted February 3, 2019 Report Posted February 3, 2019 Great can you write a synopsis... not sure I can figure it out on my own... at least at this stage of my life. Quote
rakish Posted February 3, 2019 Author Report Posted February 3, 2019 I really don't have an opinion yet. My best synopsis you can read 4 posts up, the one that begins with rosetta stone. Quote
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