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2018 - 2019 Sabres Prospects


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36 minutes ago, MakeSabresGrr8Again said:

According to Amerks site Pilut and Redmond are tied @ 7pts each. The big difference between the two is that while Pilut is a +5 ...Redmond is a -3. 

Meanwhile, Matt Donovan is tearing up the AHL with 3 points in 4 games.   

Significantly out pacing his former teammate Rasmus Dahlin in ppg in north american pro hockey.... just sayin'.  

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40 minutes ago, Eleven said:

4 Amerks in the AHL top ten in scoring

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As it should be.  Anything less would be a disappointment. 

I expect a number of these guys to see some time in Buffalo during the season, but return to Rochester for the playoffs along with Thompson.

Is Dahlin eligible to be sent down for an Amerks playoff run?

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https://theathletic.com/584111/2018/10/12/ranking-the-top-100-ahl-prospects-from-last-season-based-on-their-statistical-performance/

This list is based on last season’s AHL players heading into 2018-19. It doesn’t list newcomers like Olofsson or Pilut or Asplund.

Sabres: 

18: Guhle - he projects him as a 5/6 D

26: Nylander - bottom 6 forward (although he is 20 years old this season) - says numbers similar to Marek Zagrapan. Ouch!

49: Ullmark - projects as a career backup with the possibility of becoming a starter.

(there are 4 Leafs - 4 Liljegren, 42 Sparks, 45 Johnsson and 65 Bracco)

The reason I posted the article was the discussion of a prospect’s age and how that changes their ability to transfer their AHL production to the NHL. He calls it the aging curve.  Basically the younger a prospect is when they average a pt a game in thr AHL the more likely they’ll become successful in the NHL.  

He concludes:

Quote

Consider this: historically, a forward who scores at a point-per-game rate in the AHL at age 20 has about a 50/50 shot at a career as an NHL middle-six forward. A player who does it at 22 has about a 50/50 shot at a couple of years on an NHL fourth line. Do it at 23 and the odds are that you’ll never play a full season in the majors.

He also states that there almost no exceptions. For D use .5 pts/g or better by age 20 leads to a solid NHL career. Save % used for goalies. Food for thought.

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I would add that Olofsson doing it at 23 doesn't necessarily exclude him from the NHL since we don't know what he would have done at 20 or 21 in the AHL. We know that in the SHL, he was very productive last year, so it is good to see that carry over. Good article, thanks for posting. 

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With Olofsson all you need to do is look at the goals he's scoring.    Sure he's 23, but his goals are pure skill, not rebound/deflection type goals using his size, strength or positioning around the net.    That matters in the overall evaluation.     The quick release, accuracy and velocity will translate well the NHL.   

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41 minutes ago, pi2000 said:

With Olofsson all you need to do is look at the goals he's scoring.    Sure he's 23, but his goals are pure skill, not rebound/deflection type goals using his size, strength or positioning around the net.    That matters in the overall evaluation.     The quick release, accuracy and velocity will translate well the NHL.   

This is why he's the perfect litmus test for if things have actually changed in organizational development abilities, which have been abysmal for well over a decade. 

You have a guy with an NHL-elite skill set, and with good enough skating. He NEEDS to become a player that you can put out there in the NHL and not get tanked with, you NEED to develop him into a real player while he's down there, and everything that comes with that, so that he can come and score 30 next to Jack. There is zero doubt in my mind that this would happen in Tampa, in Toronto. 

We'll see if our guys can do that. I'm not asking them to turn water into wine, here. There is plenty to work with in Olofsson's case, now get it done for a change.

Edited by Randall Flagg
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