Beer Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 I can't tell you how happy I am to see the Oilers at #10, if they would have won, I might have lost it. Go Sabres! Quote
Randall Flagg Posted April 29, 2018 Author Report Posted April 29, 2018 There is a 60% chance we won Dahlin. If Carolina wins Dahlin, then there is a 66% we have Svechnikov. If Montreal wins Dahlin, there's an 86% chance we have Svechnikov. Quote
Kruppstahl Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 Did it happen? Where it it on? This thread sucks. They showed the spots of everyone but the "Final 3". They are revealing the order of the final 3 during the 2nd intermission of Vegas vs. Sharks. IT's on NBC, the big network, not NBCSN. Quote
WildCard Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 Are they showing it the first or the second intermission? Quote
Iron Crotch Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 (edited) So this is definitely not on NBC I'm with you. Was reading through this thread wondering what the hell was going on and where. ;) Edited April 29, 2018 by Iron Crotch Quote
Stoner Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 This isn't right anymore. The pool of possible combinations is down to 310. We have 185 combinations. Come on Vogl. Yessir. I'm with John. But neither one of us is smart, so there's that. Quote
inkman Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 They showed the spots of everyone but the "Final 3". They are revealing the order of the final 3 during the 2nd intermission of Vegas vs. Sharks. IT's on NBC, the big network, not NBCSN. Where were the other picks shown, because nothing NHL wise was on NBC in Rochester at 730, only 8pm. Quote
Derrico Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 There is a 60% chance we won Dahlin. If Carolina wins Dahlin, then there is a 66% we have Svechnikov. If Montreal wins Dahlin, there's an 86% chance we have Svechnikov. Always nice having a mathematician in the draft lottery thread. Odds look good but who know. I think I'm optimistic lol. Quote
ubkev Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 Where were the other picks shown, because nothing NHL wise was on NBC in Rochester at 730, only 8pm. NBC sports Quote
bob_sauve28 Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 You were watching bizKid$, too? Lol Quote
Randall Flagg Posted April 29, 2018 Author Report Posted April 29, 2018 I'm with John. But neither one of us is smart, so there's that. John's percentages add up to 31%, which means there's a 69% chance that none of these teams won Dahlin. But one of them did, because we just watched the rest of the teams get eliminated. Quote
inkman Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 NBC sports Right. Which was not presented until now, by you. Give me the deets people. (I think I have them all now, more like, when you start threads include all the info so idiots like me don't spend a half an hour scrambling around to figure out what the hell is going on) Quote
Stoner Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 John's percentages add up to 31%, which means there's a 69% chance that none of these teams won Dahlin. But one of them did, because we just watched the rest of the teams get eliminated. Right. Which was not presented until now, by you. Give me the deets people. (I think I have them all now, more like, when you start threads include all the info so idiots like me don't spend a half an hour scrambling around to figure out what the hell is going on) You could have checked nhl.com. Quote
Derrico Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 So Randall, what are our odds to win if each of the other teams show up as picking third? Odds say we want to see Montreal pick third? Or does it not matter Quote
bob_sauve28 Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 If Montreal wins this the system is totally fixed Quote
Randall Flagg Posted April 29, 2018 Author Report Posted April 29, 2018 So Randall, what are our odds to win if each of the other teams show up as picking third? Odds say we want to see Montreal pick third? Or does it not matter If we see Montreal at 3rd, then our odds of Dahlin go to 86%. If we see Carolina at 3rd, they only jump to 66%. Quote
Radar Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 One things certain and that's we're going to get a good hockey player. Quote
inkman Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 You could have checked nhl.com. Why buy the cow when I'm getting the milk for free. :beer: Quote
Iron Crotch Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 If Montreal wins this the system is totally fixed My long-time conspiracy theory is the league favors the Original-6 teams. ;) Quote
Billznut Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 So Randall, what are our odds to win if each of the other teams show up as picking third? Odds say we want to see Montreal pick third? Or does it not matter If Montreal comes up as pick 3 I believe that means our odds went up even more. Quote
Kruppstahl Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 Where were the other picks shown, because nothing NHL wise was on NBC in Rochester at 730, only 8pm. They did the first part of it on NBCSN. It was from 7:30 to 8:00pm. You haven't missed anything, now that we know we still have a shot at it. Watch the 2nd intermission of the Sharks/Knights game...that's when it will get exciting. I guess we have like a 6 in 10 shot at it now? That's a hell of a lot better than 18.5 in 100. Quote
miles Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 (edited) My long-time conspiracy theory is the league favors the Original-6 teams. ;) my guess #1 will be montreal and the sabres will be #3 deep down i really think the league is punishing the sabres secretly for the year they purposely tanked Edited April 29, 2018 by lehner_gives_up_another Quote
bunomatic Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 my guess #1 will be montreal and the sabres will be #3 deep down i really think the league is punishing the sabres secretly for the year they purposely tanked The lotto isn't fixed. Quote
Iron Crotch Posted April 29, 2018 Report Posted April 29, 2018 deep down i really think the league is punishing the sabres secretly for the year they purposely tanked Ahhh... I like that conspiracy theory too! Quote
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