Hoss Posted January 14, 2019 Report Posted January 14, 2019 6 hours ago, WildCard said: Turns out a first week bye is a pretty big advantage I don’t believe this is historically accurate. Quote
LGR4GM Posted January 14, 2019 Report Posted January 14, 2019 12 hours ago, TrueBlueGED said: Also, having a good offense. Top 4 offenses are the last 4 teams standing. Defense keeps you in games but Offense wins you Championships. #ModernNFL Quote
WildCard Posted January 14, 2019 Author Report Posted January 14, 2019 7 hours ago, Hoss said: I don’t believe this is historically accurate. • The first caste comprises the two teams that get first-round byes. I cannot stress enough how much of an advantage a first-round bye provides. Every participant in the Super Bowl dating back to the 2012 season has been a team that got a first-round bye. Every Super Bowl that has taken place since the playoffs expanded to four rounds in 1979 has featured at least one team that had a first-round bye. Since 1990, teams with first-round byes have accounted for 112 of 336 total playoff spots—33.3 percent. These teams have accounted for 44 of 56 total Super Bowl spots—78.5 percent. Over the 28 seasons under the current playoff format, teams with first-round byes have had a 39.2 percent chance of making the Super Bowl. https://www.theringer.com/nfl/2018/12/20/18149209/chargers-chiefs-patriots-divisions-playoff-format-first-round-bye Kind of a chicken and the egg thing; do good teams have that success because they are just good or because of the bye, but either way it looks like it doesn't hurt 34 minutes ago, LGR4GM said: Defense keeps you in games but Offense wins you Championships. #ModernNFL I think the Super Bowl is the exception to this however. IIRC the team with a significantly better defense will beat that of a significantly better offense some absurd 90>% of the time. There's a lot of articles like this one that explain it. I think a lot of it is that you get two weeks to prepare, and it's much easier to plan a defensive game than an offensive one https://www.stampedeblue.com/2018/1/29/16926880/tenacious-d-does-defense-really-win-championships-adjusted-points-against-super-bowl Quote
WildCard Posted January 14, 2019 Author Report Posted January 14, 2019 (edited) Adam Gase had some interesting moments at his presser today Edited January 14, 2019 by WildCard 2 Quote
Indabuff Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 That is creepy as hell. I googled him and saw an even creepier one. I may have to sleep with the light on tonight. Quote
Hoss Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 20 hours ago, WildCard said: Actually surprised a bit by that. I thought I remembered it being statistically insignificant or even a disadvantage for a bit. Maybe just a few snake-bitten teams had trouble with the bye. I actually had the Eagles as a Wild Card team in my brain last year but they were not. This is what I get for thinking I know more about the Wild Card than a guy named WildCard. 1 Quote
LGR4GM Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 Oh goody, another Panthers cast off. Quote
Brawndo Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 17 minutes ago, LGR4GM said: Oh goody, another Panthers cast off. Yep Quote
SDS Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 18 minutes ago, LGR4GM said: Oh goody, another Panthers cast off. Where do you see that he is a "cast off"? Quote
LGR4GM Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, SDS said: Where do you see that he is a "cast off"? Did they retain him? no, he was cast off. Once again the Bills go back to the well they know regardless of its quality. Maybe they will get lucky and he is great but we've seen them constantly return to Carolina for things regardless of their effectiveness. Quote
SDS Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 6 minutes ago, LGR4GM said: Did they retain him? no, he was cast off. Once again the Bills go back to the well they know regardless of its quality. Maybe they will get lucky and he is great but we've seen them constantly return to Carolina for things regardless of their effectiveness. https://www.panthers.com/team/coaches-roster/heath-farwell Retain him? He was employed by the Panthers as an assistant ST coach and got a promotion with the Bills. What exactly is the issue? Quote
LGR4GM Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, SDS said: https://www.panthers.com/team/coaches-roster/heath-farwell Retain him? He was employed by the Panthers as an assistant ST coach and got a promotion with the Bills. What exactly is the issue? I stated the issue. The Bills yet again went back to the Panthers for something. It is a pattern of behavior. They limit themselves. Quote
That Aud Smell Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 Hiring people that you know, people you have worked with before is SOP throughout the NFL. The trick is making wise choices regarding people with whom you've previously worked. Quote
Huckleberry Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, LGR4GM said: I stated the issue. The Bills yet again went back to the Panthers for something. It is a pattern of behavior. They limit themselves. If he is good, and they know him well enough, why risk going for the unknown ? Quote
LGR4GM Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Huckleberry said: If he is good, and they know him well enough, why risk going for the unknown ? So companies should only ever hire people they know? Because by casting a wider net you can get to know someone who might be better. Again, it is a pattern of behavior. Further, you hire outside to increase your future pool. 7 degrees of Kevin Bacon it up. Quote
tbarg12 Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 Besides the Carolina connection, I like the hire as it is somebody fresh, not a retread hire. From the article it sounds like he is pretty hands on with the ST unit and actually had experience playing ST. Better than a dinosaur with outdated schemes and an upgrade over Crossman. Quote
SDS Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, LGR4GM said: So companies should only ever hire people they know? Because by casting a wider net you can get to know someone who might be better. Again, it is a pattern of behavior. Further, you hire outside to increase your future pool. 7 degrees of Kevin Bacon it up. or... you could decide to deal with facts: Career history As player: Minnesota Vikings (2005–2010) Seattle Seahawks (2011–2014) As coach: Seattle Seahawks (2016–2017) (Assistant special teams) Carolina Panthers (2018) (Assistant special teams) Buffalo Bills (2019–present) (special teams coach) He was with the Panthers for one year. Leslie Frazier knows him from his playing days. McDermott and Beane have no history with him. But, hey - great points! 4 Quote
Samson's Flow Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 26 minutes ago, SDS said: or... you could decide to deal with facts: Career history As player: Minnesota Vikings (2005–2010) Seattle Seahawks (2011–2014) As coach: Seattle Seahawks (2016–2017) (Assistant special teams) Carolina Panthers (2018) (Assistant special teams) Buffalo Bills (2019–present) (special teams coach) He was with the Panthers for one year. Leslie Frazier knows him from his playing days. McDermott and Beane have no history with him. But, hey - great points! Came here to post this. People complaining about the carolina connection didn't read past the headline Quote
inkman Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 43 minutes ago, LGR4GM said: So companies should only ever hire people they know? Because by casting a wider net you can get to know someone who might be better. Again, it is a pattern of behavior. Further, you hire outside to increase your future pool. 7 degrees of Kevin Bacon it up. I will hire somone I know 10 times out of 10. Working in an environment like I do (not fun), 99% of my work is done if I know the person won't wilt in a high pressure factory settings. New hires I'm unfamiliar with usually make it about 20% of the time. Which would you do? 1 Quote
LGR4GM Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 (edited) 45 minutes ago, SDS said: or... you could decide to deal with facts: Career history As player: Minnesota Vikings (2005–2010) Seattle Seahawks (2011–2014) As coach: Seattle Seahawks (2016–2017) (Assistant special teams) Carolina Panthers (2018) (Assistant special teams) Buffalo Bills (2019–present) (special teams coach) He was with the Panthers for one year. Leslie Frazier knows him from his playing days. McDermott and Beane have no history with him. But, hey - great points! Okay, that's all you had to say. Instead you went with you "you could deal with facts". You got people on here that don't deal with "facts" but hey, I like being held to a higher standard. Edited January 15, 2019 by LGR4GM Quote
LGR4GM Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Weave said: Someone needs a Snickers. It's probably me. I should just make a political joke and get banned again. Save everyone time and energy. Quote
Weave Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, LGR4GM said: It's probably me. I should just make a political joke and get banned again. Save everyone time and energy. In. Quote
LGR4GM Posted January 15, 2019 Report Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Weave said: In. Hmmm.... what is orange, stupid, likes Wendy's, and has Russian dressing all over its face? Quote
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