North Buffalo Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 Yes, I thought about that also Don't they pick the balls for three first, then two, then 1 and if the Sabres are not the last one they pick 4th? Or do they do it the other way around? Quote
Derrico Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 Don't they pick the balls for three first, then two, then 1 and if the Sabres are not the last one they pick 4th? Or do they do it the other way around? I don't think so. I think that's how they announce it with those dumb cards. But they actually select it beforehand from one to three. Quote
Taro T Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 Don't they pick the balls for three first, then two, then 1 and if the Sabres are not the last one they pick 4th? Or do they do it the other way around? No, that is not how they do it. 1 is the 1st combo selected, then 2, then 3. Quote
shrader Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 Pretty much. That ensures the highest possible amount of re-draws we could have So 1001 combinations, that means the Sabres get 185 of those (or just about), and the Sens get 135 of those. 1001-135 = 866 185/866 = 21.4%, Which would be our odds for choosing 2nd overall at that point. Though Eleven's link is telling me otherwise, so I'm probably missing something here Your numbers are fine. 11's link shows the probability as of today. It accounts for all possible combinations. What you've just typed up shows the probability assuming that the draw for the first pick has already happened. Think of it this way. If you flip two coins, the probability of getting two heads is 1/4. Now if you've flipped the first coin and it landed heads, what is the probability of getting that second head? 1/2. Quote
North Buffalo Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 Thanks guys. So, it seems I can vent before my Ramadan break. Nice as long as you dont whine or be bitter like other religions Quote
Sabres Fan in NS Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 Nice as long as you dont whine or be bitter like other religions Deal. Actually, I'm not concerned with what happens in the lotto draw. Quote
LGR4GM Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 We're winning this stupid thing. Just for once we're winning it. Quote
WildCard Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 We're winning this stupid thing. Just for once we're winning it. Feel like you and I are on the same page/optimism level for both of these Buffalo drafts and we're the only ones :lol: Quote
jsb Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 We're winning this stupid thing. Just for once we're winning it. Feel like you and I are on the same page/optimism level for both of these Buffalo drafts and we're the only ones :lol: No I'm with you guys also. I'm expecting another Bills trade but I'm in on Dahlin Quote
WildCard Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 No I'm with you guys also. I'm expecting another Bills trade but I'm in on Dahlin We're finally getting that QB and we're finally gonna win a lottery. 2018: The year of the Buffalo Quote
Sabres Fan in NS Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 We're finally getting that QB and we're finally gonna win a lottery. 2018: The year of the Buffalo I am pretty sure it is the Year of The Dog. Quote
rakish Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 Nah, judging from the reports from Syria, it's the year of the buffalo (again) Quote
jsb Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 I am pretty sure it is the Year of The Dog. My Vietnamese buddy just said, YUP Quote
Weave Posted April 18, 2018 Report Posted April 18, 2018 I am pretty sure it is the Year of The Dog. So, Phoenix wins the lottery. Quote
Crusader1969 Posted April 19, 2018 Author Report Posted April 19, 2018 What's your perfect draft day result? Mine: If they pick #1. Dahlin and doesn't matter If #2. Svechnikov and Tychonic If #3 or #4. Hughes and Noel Quote
inkman Posted April 19, 2018 Report Posted April 19, 2018 My Vietnamese buddy just said, YUPSquirrel says it's the year of the cat Quote
Crusader1969 Posted April 19, 2018 Author Report Posted April 19, 2018 Dahlin and Sandin You are going d with both picks? I'm assuming Sandin is gone by 32. I would take him over tychonic and Noel as well Quote
LGR4GM Posted April 19, 2018 Report Posted April 19, 2018 You are going d with both picks? I'm assuming Sandin is gone by 32. I would take him over tychonic and Noel as well You told me to dream so I did. Yes I would go defense with both. Other teams will buy high on wingers even though it's a defense heavy draft. Quote
bunomatic Posted April 19, 2018 Report Posted April 19, 2018 We can manifest this thing. Put all negative thoughts out of mind and think Dahlin Dahlin Dahlin. Quote
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