Sabre fan Posted April 16, 2017 Report Posted April 16, 2017 Mark this date on your calendar, Saturday April 29,2017. It is then the NHL will do their big hooplah and pick who will draft first overall. At this point we sit with pick number 6 position and any number of good looking prospects will be there on the board.Do we sit and wait til this day, see what we get, then shop the pick if we do not move up? At 6 we will get someone who no doubt has talent but is years away from helping this team. At the same time if we can trade the pick for immediate help on the blueline that seems to make much more sense. So, do we keep it or trade it? I say to heck with it trade it and get us immediate help on the blueline which would go a long way towards making thi steam a playoff contender next year. Otherwise, we will add another good young prospect to our large pool but the defense will remain a problem moving forward Quote
bob_sauve28 Posted April 16, 2017 Report Posted April 16, 2017 The Bruins picked much later last year and got a defenseman that is playing a key role on their team in the playoffs. If you really like the top defenseman that will be available we take him. If a can't miss forward is there I'd probably go with the better player, but I'd probably use the pick is what I'm saying. Quote
Sabres Fan in NS Posted April 16, 2017 Report Posted April 16, 2017 The Bruins picked much later last year and got a defenseman that is playing a key role on their team in the playoffs. If you really like the top defenseman that will be available we take him. If a can't miss forward is there I'd probably go with the better player, but I'd probably use the pick is what I'm saying. I tend to agree with this. Draft the best available player whenever we draft ... can we move down as a result of the draw? I don't think so. For immediate help we will need to go the trade / FA route, IMO. Quote
Taro T Posted April 16, 2017 Report Posted April 16, 2017 I tend to agree with this. Draft the best available player whenever we draft ... can we move down as a result of the draw? I don't think so. For immediate help we will need to go the trade / FA route, IMO. If all 3 lottery winners currently sit in slots 7-15, the Sabres would move down to 9. That is extremely unlikely. Most likely scenario is they end up 6 or 7 but w/ luck they could be sitting in 1, 2 or 3. Quote
Sabre fan Posted April 17, 2017 Author Report Posted April 17, 2017 no hope in hell the NHL will let us move up...they made sure we haven't yet and it won;t start now...pretty sure they'll let Vegas win top pick as they paid Bettman a truck load of cash for the honor of playing in his league Quote
Cereal Posted April 17, 2017 Report Posted April 17, 2017 They are treating Vegas as if they were the third-worst team this past season, so the Avs and 'nucks have better odds than Vegas does. Since the NHL will draw 1st, 2nd, and 3rd overall in the lottery, the Sabres could end up with #1, #2, #3, #6, #7, #8, or #9. I would look at it this way: The Sabres have a 59.6% chance of drafting 7th or 8th. From wikipedia (hopefully formatting is good with line-wrapping): Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th Colorado 18.0% 16.0% 14.1% 52.0% Vancouver 12.1% 11.8% 11.3% 34.0% 30.7% Vegas 10.3% 10.3% 10.1% 11.8% 39.3% 18.1% Arizona 10.3% 10.3% 10.1% 2.1% 22.8% 34.6% 9.7% New Jersey 8.5% 8.7% 8.8% 7.2% 33.0% 28.7% 5.2% Buffalo 7.6% 7.8% 8.0% 14.3% 38.2% 21.4% 2.6% Detroit 6.7% 7.0% 7.2% 23.4% 39.7% 14.8% 1.2% Dallas 5.8% 6.1% 6.4% 33.7% 37.9% 9.5% 0.5% Florida 5.4% 5.7% 6.0% 44.7% 32.7% 5.4% 0.2% Los Angeles 4.5% 4.8% 5.1% 56.5% 26.4% 2.7% 0.1% Carolina 3.2% 3.4% 3.7% 67.8% 20.7% 1.3% <0.1% Winnipeg 2.7% 2.9% 3.2% 76.4% 14.3% 0.5% <0.1% Philadelphia 2.2% 2.4% 2.7% 84.3% 8.3% 0.1% Tampa Bay 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 91.2% 2.9% NY Islanders 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 97.0% Quote
PromoTheRobot Posted April 17, 2017 Report Posted April 17, 2017 (edited) http://nhllotterysimulator.com/ My first try: First Los Angeles Kings Second Buffalo Sabres Third Detroit Red Wings Edited April 17, 2017 by PromoTheRobot Quote
Sabres Fan in NS Posted April 17, 2017 Report Posted April 17, 2017 On my 5th try the Sabres won the lotto. The first four tries they ended up 7th 3 times and 6th once. Quote
Courier-Express Posted April 17, 2017 Report Posted April 17, 2017 One and done. Winners First Buffalo Sabres Second Dallas Stars Third Florida Panthers Quote
North Buffalo Posted April 17, 2017 Report Posted April 17, 2017 http://nhllotterysimulator.com/ LNV Buff Colorado Ill take another number 2 Quote
French Collection Posted April 17, 2017 Report Posted April 17, 2017 13 tries to get Sabres #1. 6 out 13 we got a top 3 pick. Quote
Crusader1969 Posted April 17, 2017 Report Posted April 17, 2017 The Bruins picked much later last year and got a defenseman that is playing a key role on their team in the playoffs. If you really like the top defenseman that will be available we take him. If a can't miss forward is there I'd probably go with the better player, but I'd probably use the pick is what I'm saying. I think we are learning that it doesn't take Dmen 3 years to become NHLers anymore. Quote
Ducky Posted April 17, 2017 Report Posted April 17, 2017 (edited) We finished 6th and lucked out with 2nd last year. If you are picking 6th, you should be able to get a LHD that will play in the NHL in 2 or so years depending on how the early picks go. I think it is a good year to move down if you are not picking in the top 3 or 4. Just stay away from Alzner, I want him on the Jets playing with Buff next year. Edited April 17, 2017 by Ducky Quote
Cereal Posted April 17, 2017 Report Posted April 17, 2017 (edited) "All About Each Individual Poster's Results When Playing With The Lottery Simulator" Edited April 17, 2017 by Cereal Quote
sabresouth Posted April 18, 2017 Report Posted April 18, 2017 I don't know, I just did it Buffalo came up number one on third try, then didn't hit top three for four times then Buffalo hit number one next four out of five. Quote
Huckleberry Posted April 18, 2017 Report Posted April 18, 2017 One thing that simulator doesn't take into account; LV is guaranteed a #4 spot. Quote
Sabres Fan in NS Posted April 18, 2017 Report Posted April 18, 2017 One thing that simulator doesn't take into account; LV is guaranteed a #4 spot. I don't think that is the case. Could be wrong, but I think they are guaranteed no worse than 6th and highest % chance of drafting 5th, but an almost equal chance of drafting at 1 through 4 and a 18% chance of drafting 6th. Looking at the odds it seems that the fix is going to be in again ... :ph34r: Good thing I have all that Alcoa stock. Quote
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