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Posted

my first ten clicks gave Buffalo zero McDavids, and gave Arizona four McDavids.

 

After 600 clicks, Buffalo only won 16.2% of the time. After 3,000, Buffalo won McDavid 590 times, for 19.7%.

 

"For the first selection in the 5015 NHL Conscription Draft, the Buffalo Megacity Sabres are proud and obligated to select Citizen 01000011 01101111 01101110 01101110 01101111 01110010 00100000 01001101 01100011 01000100 01100001 01110110 01101001 01100100."

Posted

"For the first selection in the 5015 NHL Conscription Draft, the Buffalo Megacity Sabres are proud and obligated to select Citizen 01000011 01101111 01101110 01101110 01101111 01110010 00100000 01001101 01100011 01000100 01100001 01110110 01101001 01100100."

 

Spelling out Connor McDavid in ASCII is a nice touch. :)

Posted

First go ... Oilers #1;  Sabres #2.

 

Did it 5 times .. Oilers #1 - 3 times;  Sabres #1 - twice.

 

After 10 times ... Oilers #1 - 4 times;  Coyotes #1 - 3 times;  Sabres #1 - twice and LA Kings once.

 

Sheesh ... NS out.

Posted

"For the first selection in the 5015 NHL Conscription Draft, the Buffalo Megacity Sabres are proud and obligated to select Citizen 01000011 01101111 01101110 01101110 01101111 01110010 00100000 01001101 01100011 01000100 01100001 01110110 01101001 01100100."

43 6F 6E 6E 6F 72 20 40 63 44 61 76 69 64?

Spelling out Connor McDavid in ASCII is a nice touch. :)

Ahh missed that. Well played IKP

Posted

I fully expect Toronto to win the lottery... it's fixed.  Do you really think the lottery for Crosby was legit?  I don't.  That's why we HAVE to finish last to get Eichel at #2.

 

but I did the simulator 100 times and Sabres got 21 first picks, followed by Carolina at 19...

Posted

I fully expect Toronto to win the lottery... it's fixed.  Do you really think the lottery for Crosby was legit?  I don't.  That's why we HAVE to finish last to get Eichel at #2.

 

 

I'm not sure Toronto will win.  They're still immensely profitable and marketable even when losing.

 

If the fix is in, I'd bet on a struggling team in a non-traditional market: ARI, FLA, CBJ, CAR, in that order.

Posted (edited)

Did it ten times, CBJ 4 TOR 3 FLA, EDM and CAR once each. Yeah I am done

 

 

 

Marek and Wyshynski did their M vs W Podcast yesterday and they talked about if they were members of the Orr Player Management Group where they would want their client Mc David to end up. Marek said Buffalo makes the most sense and Wyshynski agreed with him

Edited by BRAWNDO
Posted

I fully expect Toronto to win the lottery... it's fixed.  Do you really think the lottery for Crosby was legit?  I don't.  That's why we HAVE to finish last to get Eichel at #2.

 

but I did the simulator 100 times and Sabres got 21 first picks, followed by Carolina at 19...

 

Yeah, 20% McDavid, 80% Eichel sounds much better than 13.5% McDavid, 20% Eichel, 66.5% someone else.

 

Of course, there's another big drop-off from 29th to 28th.  While the chance of McDavid, specifically, doesn't fall much (11.5% vs. 13.5%), the chance of of getting either one is cut by 2/3 again:

 

30th: 100% chance of McDavid or Eichel

29th: 33.5% chance of McDavid or Eichel

28th: 11.5% chance of McDavid or Eichel

Posted

First click: Sabres win.

 

I'm not clicking any more times.  This is my reality now.

 

 

:thumbsup:

In truth I feel 99.9% sure Bettman will rig this draft to suit the needs of the teams like Toronto, Philadelphia or some other bigger market.  Just finish last and we get Jack Eichel and he will be a franchise player too.

Posted

I got it up to 30,000, and we still never hit 20% victories. Topped out at 19.8%. Edmonton was always at least a half percentage higher than their standing position indicates. Rigged.

 

 

That 0.2% is the Bettman vig...saved for one of 'his teams'. 

Posted

Did it ten times, CBJ 4 TOR 3 FLA, EDM and CAR once each. Yeah I am done

 

 

 

Marek and Wyshynski did their M vs W Podcast yesterday and they talked about if they were members of the Orr Player Management Group where they would want their client Mc David to end up. Marek said Buffalo makes the most sense and Wyshynski agreed with him

 

yup, I did it 10 times and zip for Buff. They better finish last.

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