rakish Posted October 15, 2013 Report Posted October 15, 2013 I'm wanting to get a bit better at handicapping, so I've been looking at some stats What interests me about this game is tired vs. fresh. The Sabres played last night, the Islanders have had two nights off. In the last 15 years, against a team with two days off, the back to back road team with a worse team points per game is 193-420. Early in season (first 20 games), before the tired team is really tired, the win loss is a bit better 64-103. Replacing goal differential for team points per game gets similar numbers. You may argue that the reason for the back to back poor play involves the backup goaltender, which isn't an issue here. Previous total: 1000 Today's bet: 150 Islanders Quote
Captain Caveman Posted October 15, 2013 Report Posted October 15, 2013 Wow. So is anyone just betting against every night? You could really clean up here. Quote
MattPie Posted October 15, 2013 Report Posted October 15, 2013 Wow. So is anyone just betting against every night? You could really clean up here. Until you don't clean up! :) Quote
Assquatch Posted October 15, 2013 Report Posted October 15, 2013 At $700. I'll ride this streak (skid mark?) until it ends: $150 on Isles. Quote
Captain Caveman Posted October 15, 2013 Report Posted October 15, 2013 Until you don't clean up! :) Well, you just jeep betting ~50% each game. This team does not look like they will be winning 2 in a row. Quote
LGR4GM Posted October 16, 2013 Report Posted October 16, 2013 @750 but so stoked to see the Sabres come from behind and win. Quote
Taro T Posted October 16, 2013 Report Posted October 16, 2013 Now that they're off the schneid I'll actually consider going in again. (But probably after the Nucks game.) No way I was touching either of these last 2 games. Quote
nobody Posted October 16, 2013 Report Posted October 16, 2013 Down to 1150. But happy kinda. But not so much since winning doesn't lead to #1 picks. So confused. Quote
Ghost of Dwight Drane Posted October 16, 2013 Author Report Posted October 16, 2013 For anyone who loves to rail me for "negativity".....let the record show I was the ONLY person to wager on the Sabres tonight.....while close to a dirty dozen of you went against them. Haters be Hatin'......or whatever the heck it is..... I will take my imaginary $130 and make it rain on all you haters! :P Quote
wjag Posted October 16, 2013 Report Posted October 16, 2013 For anyone who loves to rail me for "negativity".....let the record show I was the ONLY person to wager on the Sabres tonight.....while close to a dirty dozen of you went against them. Haters be Hatin'......or whatever the heck it is..... I will take my imaginary $130 and make it rain on all you haters! :P It was easy to bet when they were losing. Now it gets more difficult. @1950 Quote
Ghost of Dwight Drane Posted October 16, 2013 Author Report Posted October 16, 2013 OK...I have 3 conflicts... Rico7...I have you at $450. I think where you missed the extra $100 is when you bumped your Sabres bet on the Ottawa game from 200 to 300 after the line came out. Nobody....I have you at 1050. You were at 1500 and put 450 on the Isles. TomWebster.....I have you at 200. You were at 800 and put 300 on the Sabres twice and lost. Please double check and tell me if I am missing something......and to make it easier, everyone doublecheck their totals on the current toteboard and give your total as you bet each game. You don't have to subtract the bet until after the game. Just say, "At 1000, 260 on Ottawa"...or whatever the amount. It is easier to wait until after the game than to subtract the bet and add it back with any winnings. As we go along and I update the totals, I am going to use the total of the most recent toteboard as your official total unless you can point out a mistake in timely fashion. I can't go through 30 pages in January. Thanks!!! Standings after Game #7: wjag $1950 Rayzer32 $1500 GhostofDD $1430 TrueBluePhD $1400 Cereal $1400 nobody $1050 ClaudeVeret $900 wyldnwoody44 $1200 Eleven $1000 ChileanSeaBass $960 RCentered $850 Hank $400 LGR4GM $750 mustacheofgod $900 ThirtyEight $800 tomwebster $200 TM8-PL16 $600 TaroT $680 qwksndmonster $460 cwchze $700 MattiePie $710 BuffFansR_Crazy $340 Rico7 $450 SwampD $60 Assquatch $550 thesportsbuff $600 Eliminated: GlassPommerFan, skaught, sabresnipe, weave, deluca67 Quote
TrueBlueGED Posted October 16, 2013 Report Posted October 16, 2013 I started off hot, and then blew the last two bets. You could almost say I'm regressing to the mean :flirt: Quote
Wyldnwoody44 Posted October 17, 2013 Report Posted October 17, 2013 I started off hot, and then blew the last two bets. You could almost say I'm regressing to the mean :flirt: Hey ur still near the top, and above me lol Quote
Ghost of Dwight Drane Posted October 17, 2013 Author Report Posted October 17, 2013 Vancouver -140 Buffalo +120 I'm at $1430 and will be throwing 140 on Vancouver. Let's see if this team is just bad, or disgusting. We will find out over the next 5 games. Quote
rakish Posted October 17, 2013 Report Posted October 17, 2013 Previous balance 850 Both teams playing poorly, I'll skip this one Quote
LGR4GM Posted October 17, 2013 Report Posted October 17, 2013 (edited) at 750... 280 on Van... I am not sure if they can always put forth the effort they did against a defensively weak Isles team. Edited October 17, 2013 by LGR4GM Quote
TrueBlueGED Posted October 17, 2013 Report Posted October 17, 2013 Vancouver -140 Buffalo +120 I'm at $1430 and will be throwing 140 on Vancouver. Let's see if this team is just bad, or disgusting. We will find out over the next 5 games. Only one unit on your boyfriend and adopted son? For shame! Anyway, I've got 280 on Vancouver. Quote
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