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Magic Number


ntjacks79

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Posted

OK, here is the full shooting match.

 

Sabres magic # to finish in 7th is 0. The B's are in 8th 7th 8th and the best they can do is 94P 41W 92P 40W. Sabres win tie breaker w/ 42W's.

 

Sabres magic # to finish in 5th (and 6th) is 1 0. The Habs and Phlyers both top out at 92P and 94P w/ 43W 42W & 44W 43W respectively. Sabres lose either tie breaker w/42W's.

 

Sabres magic # to finish in 3rd is 6 4. The Otters top out at 99P w/ 47W. Otters win the tie break at any P total either w/ W's or HtH.

 

Sabres magic # to finish in 2nd is 14 11. The Pens top out at 107 w/ 50W. The Devils top out at 106 w/ 50W. Sabres lose tie break at 107 106 w/ 48W. So now Sabres must win game against NJ to control who finishes in 2nd as the Sabres only have 10 points directly available to them.

 

Sabres magic # to finish in 4th is a function of the Otters and Devils/Pens. Sabres take 1 from Habs & Phlyers, and <6 <4 from Otters and 13 11 from the Devils (or 14 10 from the Pens). Basically, for the Sabres to finish in 4th, they have to falter and so do at least 1 of the 2 leaders in the Patrick.

 

Sabres magic # to finish is 1st is 28 25 27. Unfortunately, there are only 26 24 20 left up for grabs between the Caps and Sabres.

Re-Updated.

You need a chart. :thumbsup:

Probably. But I'll leave that to you. You are the king. :worthy:

Posted

Re-Updated.

Devils lost in a SO last night.. so now both they & the Pens top out at 105. Both have more wins than the Sabres so we still need the full 10 points to make 106.. we do play the Devils and that should sort out a few issues.

 

Remaining schedules:

Sat Apr 3, 2010 - BUFFALO @ MONTREAL

Tue Apr 6, 2010 - NY RANGERS @ BUFFALO

Thu Apr 8, 2010 - BUFFALO @ BOSTON

Sat Apr 10, 2010 - BUFFALO @ OTTAWA

Sun Apr 11, 2010 - BUFFALO @ NEW JERSEY

 

Sat Apr 3, 2010 - NEW JERSEY @ CAROLINA

Tue Apr 6, 2010 - NEW JERSEY @ ATLANTA

Thu Apr 8, 2010 - NEW JERSEY @ FLORIDA

Sat Apr 10, 2010 - NY ISLANDERS @ NEW JERSEY

Sun Apr 11, 2010 - BUFFALO @ NEW JERSEY

 

Sat Apr 3, 2010 - ATLANTA @ PITTSBURGH

Tue Apr 6, 2010 - WASHINGTON @ PITTSBURGH

Thu Apr 8, 2010 - NY ISLANDERS @ PITTSBURGH

Sat Apr 10, 2010 - PITTSBURGH @ ATLANTA

Sun Apr 11, 2010 - PITTSBURGH @ NY ISLANDERS

 

on the face of it.. Joisey have the slightly easier schedule, three games against teams thinking of tee times, one against the Thrash who are fighting for a playoff spot and the last against us.

The Pens face the Thrash twice, by the second time around they might not even be in the reckoning any more. They also play the Isles, and then the Caps, which is always a hot-blooded affair.

Posted

Full update to EC Playoff scenarios:

 

Washington: 114/51 – 122/55 Locked into 1st

 

New Jersey: 97/45 – 105/49 Control their own destiny for 2nd, could fall to 5th

 

Buffalo: 96/43 – 104/47 Control their own destiny for 3rd, could take 2nd or fall to 5th, cannot finish in any other position. Most likely will finish 3rd.

 

Pittsburgh: 97/45 – 105/49 Currently in 4th, lose on tie-break to NJ, could finish in 2nd or 3rd

 

Ottawa: 91/43 – 97/46 Currently in 5th, could finish in 3rd, could finish in 6th or 7th by losing out w/ Montreal &/or Boston winning out.

 

Montreal: 86/39 – 92/42 Currently in 6th, could finish in 5th, could fall to any slot as low as 10th. Win a tie break against Boston, NY, and Atlanta. Lose tie break against Ottawa and Philadelphia. 3 very winnable games remaining, I expect they will stay in 6th. :angry:

 

Boston: 84/36 – 92/40 Currently in 7th 8th, could finish in 5th or 6th, could fall to any slot as low as 10th. Lose tie break against Ottawa, Montreal, Philadelphia, and NY. Win tie break against Atlanta. Tough schedule remaining. I expect they'll drop to 8th.

 

Philadelphia: 82/38 84/39 – 90/42 Currently in 8th 7th, could finish in 6th or 7th, could fall to any slot as low as 11th. Win tie break against anyone, unless they lose last 2 against NY in which case tie break goes to NY (4-2-0 hth). I expect whoever wins the h&h in the last 2 games next weekend probably ends up in 7th.

 

NY: 82/36 – 90/40 Currently in 9th, could finish any slot as high as 6th, could fall to any slot as low as 12th. Win tie break against Boston, Atlanta, and by sweeping last 2 games Philadelphia. Lose tie break to Montreal and Philadelphia if last 2 aren’t W’s.

 

Atlanta: 81/34 – 87/37 Currently in 10th, could finish any slot as high as 6th, could finish as low as 14th (depending on 2nd tie breaker w/ Florida and Tampa). Lose tie break against everyone currently in 12th or better. Very tough schedule remaining. Extreme long shot to make it.

 

Islanders: 76/33 – 84/37 Currently in 11th, could finish as high as 8th if they win out, Boston loses out and only 1 of NY and Philadelphia reach 84. Another extreme long shot, but I like their chances better than Atlanta's.

 

 

Edited to include Phlyers/Wings result.

Posted

Ottawa: 91/43 – 97/46 Currently in 5th, could finish in 3rd, could finish in 6th or 7th by losing out w/ Montreal &/or Boston winning out.

Heh, if Buffalo wasn't playing NJ, Ottawa would still have the possibility, although ridiculously slim, to finish 2nd.

Posted

all these numbers I think are an illusion. If the Sabs end up in first, they may get the false

illusion that they had a good year and then run up against a buzz saw in the first round.

I see danger ahead.

Posted

all these numbers I think are an illusion. If the Sabs end up in first, they may get the false

illusion that they had a good year and then run up against a buzz saw in the first round.

I see danger ahead.

Oh my fu&^king God--danger ahead. Don't poop your pants.

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