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Interesting Emotional/Betting Angle


Ghost of Dwight Drane

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Posted

In an effort to try and watch the Sabres with a slightly more positive attitude this year, I passed on wagering against them tonight.

 

However......I did find an ineresting statistic which I may try to use.

 

In the 40 games FOLLOWING a game where the Sabres played in an Overtime and/or Shootout the past 2 seasons, the Sabres are 11-29.

 

I don't know why that is.....I can speculate it is being a little tired, or emotionally drained from a close game. It could be chance. But it is what it is. They were 6-15 in '07/'08 and 5-14 in '08/'09.

Posted

In an effort to try and watch the Sabres with a slightly more positive attitude this year, I passed on wagering against them tonight.

 

However......I did find an ineresting statistic which I may try to use.

 

In the 40 games FOLLOWING a game where the Sabres played in an Overtime and/or Shootout the past 2 seasons, the Sabres are 11-29.

 

I don't know why that is.....I can speculate it is being a little tired, or emotionally drained from a close game. It could be chance. But it is what it is. They were 6-15 in '07/'08 and 5-14 in '08/'09.

 

Interesting. The next question would be, of course, how many of the 2nd games were played on back-to-back nights. Of course, if you were to use those numbers as a means to bet against the Sabres for the next game, I would think it would be somewhat skewed, since there is 6 days between games 1 and 2.

 

That is a horrible stat though, regardless of the time between games.

Posted

Interesting. The next question would be, of course, how many of the 2nd games were played on back-to-back nights. Of course, if you were to use those numbers as a means to bet against the Sabres for the next game, I would think it would be somewhat skewed, since there is 6 days between games 1 and 2.

 

That is a horrible stat though, regardless of the time between games.

 

Good point...

 

In back to back games after an OT they are 1-6

 

However games 3+ days after an OT game they are 3-10

 

That leaves them 7-13 with a day of rest in between.

 

 

Home......5-15 (0-3, 1-5, 4-7)

 

Away......6-14 (1-3, 2-5, 3-6)

Posted

Good point...

 

In back to back games after an OT they are 1-6

 

However games 3+ days after an OT game they are 3-10

 

That leaves them 7-13 with a day of rest in between.

 

 

Home......5-15 (0-3, 1-5, 4-7)

 

Away......6-14 (1-3, 2-5, 3-6)

 

Eeesh...That is definitely not what I thought it was going to be. I expected a number closer to .500 for the 3+ days number. Not good.

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