Who did the charts for points in relation

[Done]

I was wondering who did all the Excel charts in February?? I think it was Carp, but I forget. They really...really worked well, and I thank you again.

 

With 60 games or so played, he charted every team's standings in relation to the amount of points it took to be the 8 seed in the East. I took a look at them with no bias, and treated each team as if they were a stock. I used technical analysis just like I would a stock, and gave predictions. There were a few cases of different scenarios that could play out....but on a whole, the theory worked.

 

At the time the Sabres were on their hot streak and right at the playoff level. I called a tank in the short-term, and if they were going to make the playoffs, they would have to hope that Boston missed and the Sabres just snuck in. Worked perfectly.

 

Philly- at the time I was calling a short term bounce back to a playoff level, and eventually sticking in the playoffs with not too much worry. The went on a pretty bad streak, but made up for it in the end.

 

Montreal- Chart was the most consistant. They went up 2 steps and fell back one. At the time they were 8 points or so out of first, but the chart made them out to be consistantly the best team.

 

Pittsburgh- Was really starting to get their feet under them, and the chart called a possible volatile breakout. That is what happened...right to the moon. The thing with their chart is, they can lose their mojo at any moment and get in trouble. Just as they sweep the Sens.....they may get to a point and lose 3-4 games in a row.

 

NY Rangers- At the time, the Rangers were underperforming and were hanging flatline around 8th for a while. I said the chart told me that whatever direction they moved, it would be big. That is what happened as the Rangers coasted into the playoffs.

 

New Jersey- I was surprised they continued to play well, because their chart told me they were overperforming and a pretender. I guess in the playoffs that showed, but it didn't help in the regular season.

 

Ottawa- They started their downfall at the time, and they were a team that had a sharp bottom put in. I didn't think they were in trouble at the time, but said even if they continued down, which was possible, they would run out of time to break through to the other side of 8th. They were another tough one short term, but the theory held in the end.

 

Wash- didn't chart them

 

 

It was a really good system. It isn't going to help you wager much the first half of the season, but once some history gets put on paper....it is a legitimate tool to use.

 

As for the rest of the playoffs.....I would bet Montreal against Boston, then keep with them against the Rangers. If Montreal gets by Boston, there is a good chance they can go up 3-1 on the Rangers.

 

If Philly wins and get Pittsburgh, there is a chance that Philly can make a run on Pitt at some point, but I am not overconfident. Your best bet to get rid of Pitt would be if Montreal beats the Rangers in 6 or 7, and Pitt dusts off Philly easy if they make it. It would set up for an early Montreal drubbing, just like the Ranger series.

[Knightrider]

If you go back to about Mar 14th in the threads, you might notice a small hicup... :ph34r: I can't remember eho did them, but it would be kind of cool to get them reposted.

[carpandean]

I was wondering who did all the Excel charts in February?? I think it was Carp, but I forget. They really...really worked well, and I thank you again.

Indeed, twas I.

 

Here is what I posted:

 

 

Here's a final look with the top 10 teams (hard to see all, but if you look closely, you can track each team) with the pace adjusted for 94 games instead of 92, since that's what it took this year:

 

What is amazing is Ottawa and Washington -- polar opposites half way through that met in the middle at the end.

[Done]

Cool.....you can really see where certain teams hit a level and then go the other way. It really is interesting.

 

After looking at these......If Philly somehow gets the Pens next series, it looks like Philly has enough room to knock off Pitt. If Pittsburgh is just some amazing team, then I guess they can keep going gangbusters, but at some point, Pitt is going to have a setback of consecutive games.

 

On a longer term chart, the Rangers rebound doesn't look as impressive as it looked obvious coming out of the first chart. The Rangers look like there is a good chance that they are breaking out and could win the next series...but even if they lose the series it will go 6 or 7 games. It depends on who they play. If these guys get the Pens, there may even be a better chance of them knocking off Pitt.

 

If Boston gets Pitt, Boston should really have hit a peak, and Pitt should spank them.

 

If it is Montreal and Philly, Montreal has a better shot and would probably win in 6.

 

Notice I don't mention Washington.....they look like their goose is cooked.

 

It is tougher to rely on these in the playoffs as you only get one opponent for a bunch of games. In the regular season it is balanced and more reliable. As far as the Sabres went, the thing worked perfectly. Thanks again.