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Doohickie

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  5. Around the NHL 2025-26 Season

    in The Aud Club

    Posted

    On 11/26/2025 at 2:19 PM, Archie Lee said:

    Well, the Sabres will be out of it tomorrow morning (standings-wise) regardless. 

    The Thanksgiving thing is really just a self-evident observation that 1/4 of the way through the season there will be clear good teams and clear bad teams. Last year at Thanksgiving, Boston, The Rangers, Calgary, and Vancouver were in playoff positions. They missed, replaced by Montreal, Ottawa, Edmonton, and St. Louis. So, it is entirely likely there will be some changeover between now and April. 

    In program management, cost and schedule variance at the 15% mark of a project's timeline are difficult to overcome.  So if a project is overrunning at 15%, barring some radical change, the project will end in the red.

    I think the Thanksgiving benchmark is a similar thing:  By November, a team is what it is, and barring a radical change, that's hard to alter.  If there's any hope for the Sabres, it lies in the fact that the Sabres to this point have lost more games to injury than most teams.  If they can get healthy and stay healthy (looking at you, Josh Norris), maybe they can overcome the slow start.

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  7. GDT: Sabres @ Wild November 29 2025 @ 8PM EST on MSG and ESPN+

    in The Aud Club

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, shrader said:

    Predictably unstoppable. You wouldn’t think those two words should go together, yet there was every single Kotalik shootout attempt. 

    People are throwing around the idea that the team wants to play better in front of Ellis and not UPL. I feel like the numbers say the exact opposite. UPL has the worse save percentage but the best goals against average. I’m. It going to dive much deeper, but that to me says he’s facing the least amount of shots of the 3. 
     

    But yeah, as you’re suggesting here, it’s mostly a wash across the board. We have 3 of the same guy, at least statistically. 

    I had an error in the post you quoted and corrected it, FYI.  

  9. GDT: Sabres @ Wild November 29 2025 @ 8PM EST on MSG and ESPN+

    in The Aud Club

    Posted · Edited by Doohickie
    Somehow I read the chart wrong and said we were 7th in Sv% in original post. That is now corrected.

    1 hour ago, Crusader1969 said:

    I would say, we don't know.  How many games has he played in his career? 

    we do know that UPL and Lyon aren't "it" 

    so play Ellis and see how he does over a long stretch of the season 

    According to the numbers, we don't know that UPL and Lyon aren't "it".

    I think Ellis still represents the Shiny New Toy so everyone is flocking to him.  I feel the same way emotionally; I like him.  He was a good pickup.  But a year from now will he be the new whipping boy?  Who knows?

    On the completely other hand, it does show that the both Lyon and UPL could be the help a team with weak goltending needs.  They're not as awful as Sabrespace likes to think.

    But really, that's the problem:  based on those numbers, we've got three pretty good, not great, goalies.  Out of 78 goalies in the NHL stats, our goalies are ranked 36, 39, and 47 in terms of Sv%.  As a team, we're ranked 21 in Sv%.   

    Maybe it's time to move one of these guys and get something that will improve the team in front of them, now.

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  12. GDT: Sabres @ Wild November 29 2025 @ 8PM EST on MSG and ESPN+

    in The Aud Club

    Posted · Edited by Doohickie

    5 minutes ago, PerreaultForever said:

    Ellis is obviously a keeper. 

    Is he clearly better than the other two?

    Player                                  SV%   GAA
    Colten Ellis                         .896     3.41
    Alex Lyon                           .899     3.23
    Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen   .891      2.73

    (including tonight's game, Ellis is up to .898)

  14. GDT: Sabres @ Wild November 29 2025 @ 8PM EST on MSG and ESPN+

    in The Aud Club

    Posted · Edited by Doohickie

    22 minutes ago, Crusader1969 said:

    Rosen should be around right now 

    His time is at hand.  We know he'll be back. 

    I kind of like our pipeline; the players on the edge like Östlund and Rosén are mature prospects, ready to graduate to NHL play.  There are others behind them that will be ready soon. 

    The Sabres also have AHL vets that are creditable tweeners who can fill depth roles should injuries demand (Johnson, Metsa, Dunne), who don't hurt you too bad when pressed into service.

    Jacob Bryson will never be a top 6 D, but at this point he's fine as a 7D.  He's played most of the Sabres games this year and has a +/- of -1 which isn't awful.  It feels like he's taken a positive step over the last year or so.  He feels more NHL vet and not so much a tweener trying to hang on.

    It feels less like rushing the young talent up too quickly and ruining them, and more like timely development.

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  15. GDT: Sabres @ Wild November 29 2025 @ 8PM EST on MSG and ESPN+

    in The Aud Club

    Posted

    15 minutes ago, quill said:

    I love watching Ellis in goal with the way he will move every limb of his body to fight off a goal. I think he is the quickest of our goalies when it comes to how fast he recovers from the initial shot to get back in position to make a follow-up stop. He's quick like a cat.

    There were a few saves tonight where he looked like Charlie Brown on the pitcher's mound when a hit comes zooming through:  All limbs, everywhere at once.  And yet in a split second he's in place for the next shot.  His utter commitment to the save is second among Sabres goalies only to Dominik Hasek.

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