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Straight Talk: 1st Line: what do Sabres really have on this roster?
pi2000 replied to Spoonman's topic in The Aud Club
Your top guys, Dahiln and Thompson, need to be at the top of this list... not the bottom. ============================================================== BUF even strength goal differential through 27 games = -17 BUF even strength minutes played through 27 games = 1364.21 exp+/- is a function of %min played at ES and team ES goal diff TRpm(team relative +/-) is the diff btwn actual+/- and exp+/- %min is % of ES minutes played ============================================================== Team Player TRpm GP +/- exp+/- %min BUF Mattias Samuelsson 11.89 25 6 -5.89 34.6 BUF Alex Tuch 7.74 27 3 -4.74 27.9 BUF Noah Östlund 4.76 19 2 -2.76 16.2 BUF Zach Benson 4.45 14 2 -2.45 14.4 BUF Ryan McLeod 2.65 27 -2 -4.65 27.3 BUF Jacob Bryson 1.37 17 -1 -2.37 14.0 BUF Owen Power 0.61 26 -5 -5.61 33.0 BUF Josh Doan 0.36 27 -4 -4.36 25.6 BUF Bowen Byram 0.17 27 -6 -6.17 36.3 BUF Tyson Kozak -0.30 19 -3 -2.70 15.9 BUF Isak Rosen -0.46 10 -2 -1.54 9.1 BUF Mason Geertsen -0.74 5 -1 -0.26 1.5 BUF Jack Quinn -1.36 27 -6 -4.64 27.3 BUF Michael Kesselring -1.39 9 -3 -1.61 9.5 BUF Jiri Kulich -1.80 12 -4 -2.20 12.9 BUF Beck Malenstyn -1.93 26 -5 -3.07 18.1 BUF Rasmus Dahlin -2.02 24 -8 -5.98 35.2 BUF Conor Timmins -2.53 27 -8 -5.47 32.2 BUF Tage Thompson -2.94 27 -8 -5.06 29.8 BUF Jason Zucker -4.12 19 -7 -2.88 16.9 BUF Peyton Krebs -4.60 27 -9 -4.40 25.9 BUF Jordan Greenway -4.98 13 -7 -2.02 11.9 ============================================================== -
GDT/ Buffalo Sabres @ Flyers, 7:30pm TNT WGR
pi2000 replied to Shoot da Puck's topic in The Aud Club
And with fuzzy rule it's absolutely asinine that a failed goalie interference challenge results in a penalty. You want to protect the goalies? Make the crease bigger and go back to the "foot in the crease" rule of the 90s. -
UPL is serviceable.... IMO he's good enough to be a starter on a playoff team, but not good enough to get this Sabres team to the playoffs. Considering their recent play I was shocked when Ellis got the start last night. UPL hasn't give up more than 3 goals since his first game of the season in late October. Both Ellis and Lyon have given up more than 3 in 4 of their last 6 starts... since Nov 1st, they both rank near the bottom of the league in goaltending metrics, while UPL is in the top 3rd. It seems obvious that UPL should be the #1 moving forward.
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GDT/ Buffalo Sabres @ Flyers, 7:30pm TNT WGR
pi2000 replied to Shoot da Puck's topic in The Aud Club
welp -
GDT/ Buffalo Sabres @ Flyers, 7:30pm TNT WGR
pi2000 replied to Shoot da Puck's topic in The Aud Club
ellis starting smells tanky -
it feels like they've soured on Levi... wouldn't be surprised if he's moved and Ellis is sent down to take his spot.
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i'd be concerned if he didn't want to play more
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Based on recent play, I don't see how you can justify starting Ellis or Lyon over UPL at this point. That said, UPL's numbers at home are far better than on the road. It feels like this road trip is UPL's chance (his last?) to finally establish himself.
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League wide rankings since Nov 1st for goalies who have played at least 185 mins (66 goalies).... UPL (416 min) Sv% 21st GAA 18th HighDanger SV% 36th MediumDanger SV% 15th LowDanger SV% 13th Goals Saved Above Expected/60 21st Ellis (303 min) Sv% 39th GAA 52nd High Danger SV% 58th MediumDanger SV% 48th LowDanger SV% 31st Goals Saved Above Expected/60 39th Lyon (185 min) Sv% 59th GAA 64th High Danger SV% 50th MediumDanger SV% 28th LowDanger SV% 61st Goals Saved Above Expected/60 61st UPL has separated himself, he should be the clear #1 moving forward. A decision needs to be made on the backup.
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GDT: Sabres @ Wild November 29 2025 @ 8PM EST on MSG and ESPN+
pi2000 replied to SABRES 0311's topic in The Aud Club
just re-watched OT... had Buffalo at around 55-56 seconds of possession -
GDT: Sabres @ Wild November 29 2025 @ 8PM EST on MSG and ESPN+
pi2000 replied to SABRES 0311's topic in The Aud Club
Was surprised to see Quinn pull away from Kaprizov in OT. He's developed an extra gear, good to see. -
GDT: Sabres @ Wild November 29 2025 @ 8PM EST on MSG and ESPN+
pi2000 replied to SABRES 0311's topic in The Aud Club
I thought they played just OK, lucky 2nd goal and hung on in OT. I'd argue they played better against New Jersey, but that's hockey sometimes.
