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Everything posted by Marvin
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GDT: Buffalo at Boston Apr. 13, 2021 • 7:00PM ET MSG-B WGR
Marvin replied to Doohicksie's topic in The Aud Club
I could deal with watching this kind of hockey the rest of the season. I could feel like hope for next season is well-founded then. -
GDT: Buffalo at Boston Apr. 13, 2021 • 7:00PM ET MSG-B WGR
Marvin replied to Doohicksie's topic in The Aud Club
Could it be that Staal and Hall could have got worse after their trades? -
GDT: Buffalo at Boston Apr. 13, 2021 • 7:00PM ET MSG-B WGR
Marvin replied to Doohicksie's topic in The Aud Club
How does this team learn playoff-type hockey? -
GDT: Buffalo at Boston Apr. 13, 2021 • 7:00PM ET MSG-B WGR
Marvin replied to Doohicksie's topic in The Aud Club
That is ****ing spectacular, PA! Favourite quote of his is from a Watergate documentary: "It was at that point that I suddenly remembered that the Solicitor General is the #3 man in the Justice Department." -
Who wins Lord Stanley's Cup in 2021?
Marvin replied to irregularly irregular's topic in The Aud Club
Lady Stanley's bra. -
Sadly, the bolded is wrong. The top engines are rated several hundred ELO points above top humans. The italicised makes sense: Baseball has easily defined segments which can be easily quantified and correlated. Hockey, as @pi2000 pointed out, is much more fluid and its only easily quantified numbers are goals and, to a lesser extent, shots. Hockey needs more hypothesis testing at sigma = 2+ standards. I feel more confident about the conclusions from the muon g-2 experiments than I am about many hockey advanced stats -- and I am a huge proponent of these kinds of expansions of the standard hockey statistics.
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GDT: Buffalo at Boston Apr. 13, 2021 • 7:00PM ET MSG-B WGR
Marvin replied to Doohicksie's topic in The Aud Club
I want to believe you. What is your reasoning? -
The Sabres are taking more chances. I would bet that they are worse under HCDG than XHCRK because the more aggressive mindset leads to a few more chances against. On the other hand, I bet if we measured the data more carefully than most current fancy stats, we would see that we are getting more shots which are open and in better position than before 5-on-5. I would love to see a spreadsheet of position, angle, "openness", etc. of shots before and after XHCRK. Always remember: models are an attempt to simulate reality; they are not reality itself. Things like how you feel about your system, how precisely you are executing it, etc. are notoriously hard to model. Those of you in Operations Research and Stochastic Modelling can attest to that.
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Damn. I read that as "Stankonia". BOB could be his nickname, I guess.
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GDT: Buffalo at Boston Apr. 13, 2021 • 7:00PM ET MSG-B WGR
Marvin replied to Doohicksie's topic in The Aud Club
We seem positively giddy compared to the sturm und drang of doom and gloom of yesterday. I would guess icing an almost legit NHL line-up has helped. -
GDT: Buffalo at Boston Apr. 13, 2021 • 7:00PM ET MSG-B WGR
Marvin replied to Doohicksie's topic in The Aud Club
We can guarantee the underlined, can't we? -
GDT: Buffalo at Boston Apr. 13, 2021 • 7:00PM ET MSG-B WGR
Marvin replied to Doohicksie's topic in The Aud Club
Just keep the Zamboni doors closed. What I am hoping is that having three line, centred by Reinhart, Cozens, and Mittlestadt, will give Boston problems. I hope that the depth will be more than illusory. Here is its first chance to shine. -
Two things: 1. People forget that Darcy Regier made a lot of mistakes his first year here and and there was another GM, John Muckler, who pounced on them or used his influence to work against Regier just to spite the Sabres organisation. I still think that Mike Peca's initial ask for $4M at the start of 2000-1 was from him. 2. I don't see why holding on to Hall was such a brilliant idea. It seems to me that a reputation for making the best of a bad hand is better than cutting off your nose to spite your face. It sends a terrible message to players who are doing well who are still in the organisation. And I wanted him and his mindset out of the organisation immediately.
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Here comes the gauntlet. Now we will see the real mettle of this team.
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Even with no additions, this team looks better built for that kind of game than the ones which Botterill built. And the one which was closest, well, he refused to help it try and make the playoffs.
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Something just hit me. Suppose the team continues its improvement, plays consistently well, and wins a few games from the division leaders. If you are Eichel, might that make you more interested in staying? You no longer have to do everything, so you can just take care of your business knowing that the team will still have a chance even if you have an off day. Might that, plus the hiring of a proven coach and some good AGMs, actually get you keyed up to play here?
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You put the finger on the rub: Can he guide them towards that kind of team?
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If that's his vision and he can guide people towards it, I will be ecstatic.
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If our youngin's hit all their ELC bonuses, it would be the best news since before The Tank.
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Fixing the Sabres Long-Term - Can it be done?
Marvin replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
What I am hoping is that GMKA has enough self-awareness that he can convince T&KP to pay for some help in his office. I also hope that the quality of play we are getting out of our youth will entice a good coach here. IMHO, the organisation finally is set-up properly to improve consistently without asking for anything magical or outrageous for a bit if we get the right Coach and AGMs.. Hiring them gives credibility to the franchise in the eyes of the league and, most importantly, in the eyes of the players. That would help immensely with keeping Ullmark for starters. -
Official Jason Karmanos Hired as Sabres Associate GM
Marvin replied to Brawndo's topic in The Aud Club
God, do I want this to happen now... -
Holy cow.
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Welcome to the board! Hall is an expensive supplemental player. He want the top money without the responsibilities. The Bruins can afford that luxury; the Sabres cannot.
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If there were a draft where I just wanted a few extra darts to throw at the board, this year's is it. On the other hand, I would move a couple in hockey trades which would give me more _next_ year.
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Assuming that our forwards next year are Skinner-Eichel-Reinhart, Ruotsalainen-Cozens-Olofsson, Asplund-Mittlestadt-Thompson, Girgensons, and Okposo *and* that the Alternative Minimum Tax Line on your 1040A, erm, Asplund-Mittlestadt-Thompson is at least passable the rest of the way, I would be looking for just solid 2-way players for the forwards and swapping the odd part for a better fit. For instance, is there a Centre for Girgensons and Okposo where I can get their defencive acumen and 40 goals? I need solid goaltending on defence. For the first time in a decade, I like how the team looks on the forwards.