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Everything posted by Broken Ankles
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Ignoring the Coyotes, are the Sabres the worst run team in the NHL?
Broken Ankles replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
That’s what he said! Or she said. -
Escape from New York 3: Sabres 2024 “The name’s Meatballs, Donny Meatballs” ”I heard about you. I heard you were dead”.
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Nice to get over the hump of finally beating the Kraken but more importantly, a road victory against an evenly matched opponent is key. Money Puck had Seattle’s expected goals 4.12 to Buffalo’s 1.86. Didn’t seem that distant but the heat map shows their chances in close were much higher. Sabres dominance at the dot tonight was noticeable. Byram continues to impress. The “concept of Will Borgan” was -2 and quite pedestrian. Congratulations to the East Coast fans who stayed with it until the end. Sleep fast, because it’s happening again tomorrow. Same “bat time, same bat channel”.
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What are they doing on the back to back games? Does Levi get a look at NJ at home if Comrie fails in either Vancouver or Seattle?
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GDT / Islanders @ Sabres, Thurs 3/14, 7pm MSG, ESPN+ & WGR Radio
Broken Ankles replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
Krebs had 7 FO wins and 1 loss. The line he shared with Skinner and JJP had the most even strength ice time. They had the second best XG% and second best CF%. Obviously the Cozens Greenway Benson has been solid but Krebs is centering two guys who were stapled to the bench for seemingly poor defensive play a few games ago. Sheltered a bit with almost all O-zone starts but solid, and appears to be skating faster with JJP and Skinner vs KO and Zemgus. Could this 3C tryout change his stock from Underperform to Hold? -
GDT / Islanders @ Sabres, Thurs 3/14, 7pm MSG, ESPN+ & WGR Radio
Broken Ankles replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
“I’m born on the prairies”, as in I am born. Present tense, about a past event? Unless, you always have been, and always will be. And your birth is metaphysical insofar as you existing as AI Kevyn. Watergate does not bother me, does your conscience (if you have one) bother you? -
Nothing even close it now. Agree with @thewookie1 that SJS were the closest, even though Karlsson was on his Ottawa deal and that was only $6.5M. And look what happened after they came up short. Retaining salary on Karlsson, retaining $2.7M on Burns, and waiting with bated breath to get out from under Vlasic. This is a view of all D-men making $7M + AAV. It’s only 26 players. Only one team has multiple players and it’s Carolina with Burns who really only counts 5.6 million towards their Number because of the retention from San Jose. https://www.capfriendly.com/browse/active/2024/caphit/all/defense?stats-season=2024&limits=caphit-7000000-14000000 I did the math a few days back and the point is not only would that be the highest % of the cap for three defenders, they have 4 others with Mule, Johnson, Clifton and Joki (if he gets an offer). That’s another $14M. It’s 48% of a $91m cap 2025/26. If they trade Matias and Joki and replace Jags, bridge UPL, tender Levi as backup, they would have $19m to sign/bridge Quinn and JJP and 6 other forwards. Which if their draft picks graduate and are on ELC’s is plausible but is it smart? I’d love to see Kev’s whiteboard trying to piece this together.
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He has arbitration rights, which if he performs equal to or better than Dahlin he could demand more than $6M. And those scenarios offer either 1 or 2 year options. Two years walks him to UFA (7 years service - this contract takes him to 5), and then you get nothing after the deal. Plus I don't think the Sabres are competing for the Cup in year three of his tenure (aka Year 16 of our suffering).
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Money. Last year, the highest paid blue line in the NHL was $34m. If you assume he is a top pair, then with an elevated cap he would slot in between $10.5m-$11.5m. If that holds, then with Power, Dahlin, Mule, Joki, and Clifton the 2025/26 AAV of this six would be $42-43M. This does not include Johnson would be also be coming off his ELC that would increase to around $2-3 on a bridge deal. Half your cap cannot be spent on 6 defenders. I would add that I’m not sold Adams wouldn’t extend him either. Not saying he would keep all three massive salaries. It gives him options next year. Rasmus for example is not an Adams draft pick, and he has until June 30th next year before his NMC kicks in. Kev likes to it young around here. Or, if Byram has a breakout year, he could garner much more than you mentioned next offseason if KA decides to keep Dahlin and Power. Think close to the return that Calgary got for Tkachuk. A defensive D (Weegar), a top line player and a 1st. Obviously health and performance are assumed.