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Thorny

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Everything posted by Thorny

  1. Can see why KA has apparently decided it’s time to push forward a bit. Our top 2 lines are ready to win now. Would be an objective mistake to not attempt to harvest that now with adequate supplementation
  2. If I was Kevyn Adams I would simply fill out the other three lines with exact replicas of Cozens Quinn and JJ
  3. Me neither, that’s why i was hesitant to post it, fearing potential reaction. But it’s already up.
  4. Imo anyone below 30 is a rook thats the definition I use anyways - - - I also refer to these players as “castles”
  5. I mean, no, I didn’t, that’s kinda why I was asking for info.
  6. Re: accounting for assists, too: I *believe* liger’s chart, due to the “impact on” verbiage does include/allow for assist creation for expected impacts, but waiting on confirmation. The biggest difference re: looking at the chart or just pulling raw stats off the scoring leaders chart is the “expected” and “per 60” designations. Ie it’s attempting the usual “advanced” component of advanced stats with the “expected” component ie levelling the playing field by accounting for things like randomness/luck where the shots are being taken from/ teammate/opponent etc etc. Then it adds the further component of the per 60 designation, supposing to again balance for production differences due merely to ice time. Even a cursory analysis of why per 60 might represent a meaningful distinction yields a readily apparent justification: it stands to follow that the players being paid the most will get the most ice time and the opportunity to produce that comes with it, logically stands to follow that breaking production down to a per-minute basis lends a more level playing field for analysis. Its another valuable way of looking at the numbers, raw totals will also always provide value
  7. I believe Quinn has actually been lining up on the right and JJ on the left of late, but otherwise, this is accurate I think
  8. I don’t want to post the video cause it just feels wrong to do so but, there is documented social media video of his significant other talking about how much disappointment there was in going to Rochester. He definitely asked out. It’s not a big deal. He’s an older dog. Edit nm the video was already posted lol
  9. Wayne did?
  10. Any idea if the curves change when looking at expected goals FOR and not just expected goals? The current chart is using just individual expected, correct? And it also includes PP mins in the per 60, correct? Edit: actually, it says “impact on” so perhaps this is representative of expected goals for and not just individual expected goals. I feel like sometimes people are a bit loosey goosey with the terminology which leads to confusion
  11. The chart is saying that prime offensive output is 23 By expected goals for It’s not that confusing of a chart
  12. Wait , we’re still counting Mitts as a “1st equivalent”?
  13. The game is obviously leaning younger over time so it’s important to remember things like, just because Tage is putting up a 40 goal pace now at 25 doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll be putting it up in 3 years once Levi is finally ready. Also fits the idea it’s better to pay early rather than for past performance. Of course plenty round out their full games to a greater degree at a later age, hopefully those are the guys who could be available at a slight shave of cost do to declining raw production The very best of the best I think are in their primes a bit later. Crosby became a truly elite, top 10 worthy all time player later in his career when the production technically wasn’t as high. But your average guy peaks a bit earlier.
  14. That’s why I said prime offensive output lol
  15. I agree with the bold, as most players do not have no trade clauses, but what will be said is that KA is artificially granting one to all who speak up re: wanting guys who are dying to be Buffalo Sabres
  16. Very interesting and definitely lines up with the word nowadays that on average, offensive prime output comes at a much earlier age than often thought. Win when your guys are young
  17. Do we legitimately face more back-up goalies than starters? Needs to be a consideration when we try to map out expected improvement moving forward
  18. We’re always pulling fast ones on GM’s eh, it’s true. It’s cause we all know more than they do, duh hopefully there isn’t a GM reading this RIGHT NOW
  19. ^ that’s why I’m thinking. Sheehan probably thought he’d be playing more and prob asked to explore options elsewhere. Granted.
  20. @Buffalonill in this thread
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