
mjd1001
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Everything posted by mjd1001
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Its different teams so its hard to used advanced stats to compared players between teams...but... Jeff Skinner this year has better goals per 60, better goals per game, better shooting percentage, better plus-minus, Better Corsi%, better Fenwick%, better shots for-vs-shots against%, better goals expected%, better scoring chance %, better high danger chance %, better high danger shot percentage, has drawn more penalties and taken less penalties....than Dylan Cozens. Oh, and he is doing that with the vast majority of his time being on a 3rd or 4th line, not playing with McDavid or Draisaitl. He's not getting much power play time (about 1/3 what Cozens gets), he's playing mostly with their bottom-of-the roster guys. I wouldn't want him back, but the team got rid of Skinner and its probably better without him...now lets move on from a few other guys.
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No word from the Sabres yet? Maybe he's not out for the year, but Kyrpreos just wrote that he was because, well, its only a matter of time.
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You might be correct that it can't work anymore. I guess my thought is....make it affordable. Make SOME money off of it, but don't try to maximize revenue. Think of it as a small way to increase revenue, but more so as part of your advertising budget. I don't know the numbers, but my impression is the leagues, and owners, don't view these regional networks that way and set them up 'to fail' because instead of using them that way...they set up bloated businesses that aren't efficient but viewed fees and costs going up each year as a way to not maintain profits, but high profit margins. Again, I don't know the numbers, but start with an affordable streaming option for people on their phones and tablets and computers. Work to get an spot on the local cable network. Don't think you have to make $milliions and $millions off of it. Streaming you can have tons of other videos and interviews on demand. On a network on television...fill up the time with replays of your games and programming of other local sports. Maybe it can't work. I just think how those networks are run is more of a fuction of "lets do this because this is how its always been done" instead of injecting some creative thinking.
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Raw talent: -1 stretch of 17 game in a 330+ game career where he scored 10 goals which helped make him a '30 goal scorer' = Raw talent -Drafted in the top 10. Even though probably less than 50% of top 10 picks become stars, he was a top 10 pick. = Raw talent -6'3 and is willing to face wash a guy occasionaly. He may never be over 200 lbs and able to stay on his feet after he even throws hits but that height. = Raw talent -His shot looks good. More likely to hit the boards or the center of the goalie's chest than pick a corner, but his motion looks good! = Raw talent -You can see his top speed is above average. Not a burner, he can't stick handle at top speed, and he trips over his own skates, but that speed! = Raw talent Not just with Cozens....but with most players, us as fans tend to look at the absolute Ceiling and imagine that is the norm. Score 30 goals once? You can and should be a 30 goal scorer all the time. Make a great pass one time? Its not luck, it proves you have it in you! Its what we do with a lot of players. When a player has 'first round pedigree', we tend to hold onto those things even longer.
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I'm not sure how you are ruining my day. It was not only discussed on this forum but some of the 'so called' insiders on talk radio out of Toronto discussed a trade with Risto (maybe it was this one or a different one) that at the last minute other team pulled out of the trade due to 'changing their mind' on wanting him.
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I do not follow the Bills nearly as much as I did in the past, so maybe what I am going to say is because of that but.... A player on my team getting an award, even MVP? Its good for them personally, but it doesn't really mean much to me as a fan. I would give up every single individual award players on my team win, even multiple MVP's, if that meant they won just one more game in the playoffs in any given year (even if that didn't guarantee a title)
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I will throw something out there as a possibility... I remember when the Sabres were trying to move on from Ristolainen. Rumor (strong rumor from multiple sources) said the Sabres had a trade worked out for him (maybe it was Winnipeg??), maybe more than 1 with more than one team, where a trade was 'close' to happening, and then as it got closer and closer, the analytics dept. of those other teams got involved and said "No Way!". I know it was discussed on this forum. Basically, the traditional scouts and hockey guys wanted him, they saw the size, the skill, the raw ability, but as the trade got closer, the deeper dive into his game came up with the 'mental flaws' in his game. Maybe the same things is happening with Cozens? A lot of teams are interested on the surface. They GM's and traditional 'hockey guys" scout him and see the raw ability. Its only when the trade gets closer, they do a deep dive into his film, his tendencies, his analytics, they cool down on him. And that is why there are so many rumors but so little movement with him?
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The Sabres need to move on from Mattias Samuelsson
mjd1001 replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Rasmus Dahlin I'm guessing. -
Movies / TV Shows - I Have Watched / Plan To Watch
mjd1001 replied to Sabres Fan in NS's topic in The Aud Club
We did watch So help me Todd. I liked it, my wife loved it. She was sad for 2 days when she heard it was canceled. -
Have Dylan Cozens & Mattias Samuelsson been stripped of their “A”s
mjd1001 replied to inkman's topic in The Aud Club
Maybe, but I can't see it happening. It makes the organization look a lot more dysfunctional, unless they have been 'stripped' of them simply because their is a trade imminent. Even then, why strip them when they 'automatically' are gone if they are moved. -
What will be the Sabres approach at the trade deadline?
mjd1001 replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
Well I looked at this years numbers, but multi-season tells a better picture. Dahlin and Power haven't played that much together this year. To me the majority of the numbers (per my other post), especially the ones focusing on actual production, show Dahlin better with Byram over Power....and to me watching the game and seeing how they play confirms that. I don't know, I think Dahlin and Bryam are the best pair on this team by watching them, and many of the numbers support that. -
Movies / TV Shows - I Have Watched / Plan To Watch
mjd1001 replied to Sabres Fan in NS's topic in The Aud Club
I'm going to post one I am guessing is not popular at all, it is new to netflix called "Younger". It kinda as a sex-and-the-city vibe to it (I do NOT like Sex and the city), but its a bit toned down and less crude. Anway, at times she'll watch shows with me that she has no interest in (Strang New Worlds, for example) that she ends up liking. This is my turn to watch one of 'her' shows and surprisingly, Its interesting to me. -
No exaggeration or hyperbole, it is probably the thing that pushed me over the edge to not listening to Buffalo Talk radio as much. Fantasy football, ads for gambling sites over and over during commercial breaks....and worst thing is them reading promo ads for gambling site DURING the actual programming, its too much. It started with the afternoon show. Mike Schopp talking about his own fantasy football team over and over a few years ago..to me its not sports and its not why I tune into WGR. I haven't listened to that afternoon show in years on WGR (I tune into 590 out of Canada) and I still listen on occasion to the WGR morning show, but not as much as I used to.
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Commercials on TV that are aired way too much. There are some good commericals, some annoying ones. I can deal with the annoying ones. But then they are aired over, and over and over, I begin to resent the commercial and the company that airs them. The Norwegian Cruise line commerical with the actor from Modern Family, the State farm commercials with Mahomes and Reid....I have seen them so much I never want anything to do with either of those companies again.
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Yeah, slightly more good than bad but.... Thompson good. With the higher cap this will look like a very good deal. Cozens Bad. Dahlin...decent, but probably on the good side of things as the deal goes on. I'd shade toward the good side of things. Power, TBD but not looking good now, but it was likely it was not going to look good in the first year or two. Samuelsson bad. But its such a low cost deal in the grand scheme, I can't fault a GM for taking a chance if it was only going to cost this and the thought they had something good. So yeah, as a whole with those deals he is on the bad side of things, but I don't think its so bad that every one is a disaster.
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What will be the Sabres approach at the trade deadline?
mjd1001 replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
I don't get those numbers. When I look at this year, I get Power and Dahlin together at XGF of 51.5 Last year they were 56.76 The year before they were 60.0 (in limited minutes) When I look at XGF% of Dahlin with Bryam I get 52.10% for last year and this year, not that much different than Power and Dahlin. But more importantly to me than XGF% is actual GF%, not expected (takes into account shooting percentage and is not what could happen, but what actually does happen, my preference). Byram and Dahlin the last 2 seasons are 58.46. Power and Dahlin over the last 2 seasons are 50.0. Now that is a measurable improvement of Bryam over Power when playing with Dahlin to me. Basically over the last 2 years, I found Bryam-Dahlin with a slightly better XGF% and a much better GF% than the Power-Dahlin pair. https://www.naturalstattrick.com/linestats.php?fromseason=20232024&thruseason=20242025&stype=2&sit=ev&score=all&rate=n&team=BUF&vteam=ALL&view=wowy&loc=B&gpfilt=none&fd=2023-10-10&td=2025-04-17&tgp=2000&strict=incl&p1=8482671&p2=8480839&p3=0&p4=0&p5=0 https://www.naturalstattrick.com/linestats.php?fromseason=20232024&thruseason=20242025&stype=2&sit=ev&score=all&rate=n&team=BUF&vteam=ALL&view=wowy&loc=B&gpfilt=none&fd=2023-10-10&td=2025-04-17&tgp=2000&strict=incl&p1=8481524&p2=8480839&p3=0&p4=0&p5=0 -
I actually think some of his moves have been pretty good. The Mitts for Bryam deal, at the moment, looks pretty good. The issue with Adams is not the moves that he makes, is the moves that he DOESN'T make. A lot of people on this forum say hes so bad they don't want him making any moves. I totally disagree. Make moves, please make them. If he's bad as a GM, its because he doesn't do enough.
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Coldest city to live in (its going to be -20 this week and that isn't all that rare for winters), long flights wherever you need to go. Lack of a major city within hundreds of miles. Winnipeg just has a combination of other factors that no other city has. Winning can't overcome all of those things, and they win the regular season so they are better than Buffalo there, but they don't exactly have a stellar record of contending to cups, with early playoff exits most of the time.
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I'm going to do my best to be quiet on Cozens for a little while. Honestly, he hasn't been that much of a liability the last few games, at least for a bit he has cut down on his egregious mistakes.
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The Sabres need to move on from Mattias Samuelsson
mjd1001 replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Well, stats can't take everything into consideration, but the interesting thing....as far as goals allowed his numbers were similar last year: 2023-2024: Sabres goals allowed even strength as a team: 1 goal every 22.39 minutes Jokiharju goals allowed even strength: 1 goal every 26.86 minutes. So yeah, whether it is who he is out there with, where he starts his shifts, or just him playing smarter than we think...the team simply allows less goals per minute, a LOT less goals per minute, when Jokiharju is out there compared to anyone else, both this year and last year. Just because Cozens is my favorite whipping boy, I looked at the numbers (total goals for and allowed) over the last 2 years with him and Jokiharju on the ice at the same time vs not... Cozens with Jokiharju: +7 goals Cozens without Jokiharju: -14 goals Jokiharju without Cozens: +10 I mean...the numbers are the numbers. -
What will be the Sabres approach at the trade deadline?
mjd1001 replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
I personally think how the forwards play/backcheck/help out the 2 guys on defense is just as much of an issue as the defensemen themselves. Now I'm not saying the D-men are perfect, yeah, they could use a good vet back there, but... I haven't said this in a while but I'll do it now...when I look at goals allowed, it seems the D-men often look worse than they should..because they are in a bad situation where they have to decide whether to cover 'their guy' or stay in 'their position' or to move away to cover for a forward who is leaving guys wide open. Often times, they have to play things 1/2 way....and a quick watch of the replay makes the D-man look bad when the breakdown started with the Sabres forwards awful coverage. -
What will be the Sabres approach at the trade deadline?
mjd1001 replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
This is why these rumor are usually a bunch of B.S. 3 times in the past 1-2 months on 590, their 'insiders' brought up Cozens and the Maple leafs and every single time I heard the Leafs had ZERO interest in him at all. So, its either Weekes or the 'insiders' on 590 out of Toronto, but someone is either outright lying or just throwing **** against the wall. Could be both. -
The Sabres need to move on from Mattias Samuelsson
mjd1001 replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Ok, I know there is alot more than the raw numbers here (game situation, who is on the ice with you, usage etc.) but some numbers on goals allowed when on ice: -The Sabres as a team this year allow 1 goal for every 19.2 minutes played even strength. The guys on defense ranked, from 'best' to 'worst' of how often goals are scored against when they are on the ice: -Jokiharju, one goal every 28.28 minutes -Connor Clifton, one goal every 23.28 minutes -Bowen Byrum, one goal every 21.59 minutes -Rasmus Dahlin, one goal every 20.44 minutes -Bryson, one goal every 20.00 minutes -Samuelsson, one goal every 18.89 minutes -Ryan Johnson, one goal every 17.66 minutes -Owen Power, one goal every 16.21 minutes -Denis Gilbert, one goal every 13.38 minutes -
I don't know myself, Its interesting, but I'd have to see one in person and it would depend on how good it is and what the cost is. Buffalo/WNY is probably pretty far down the list of getting one. Can you imagine if the Sabres were really good, having sellout games and one of these right near the Arena? (I suppose they could put one near the new Bills stadium. Sold out game? Tailgate with everyone and then watch the game at one of these attached to the stadium.)
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Not who is better long term, not who do you like better.... Simply this year's current team...which staff would have them higher in the standings? Ruff and the current staff? Granato and last year's staff (if they were still here with the exact same roster that Ruff has now)? Not sure if this will go anywhere but i'm curious. I know a lot of people will say "no difference" or "it doesn't matter" or "about the same"...but if you had to pick one, which would you rather have?