mjd1001
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Sabres added speed this offseason -Check the numbers
mjd1001 replied to PotentPowerPlay21's topic in The Aud Club
It is hard to take such raw data and translate it into on ice performance. With that said, I prefer to look at it this way: Measured top speed = How fast you are Number of speed bursts = How fast you play -
Agreed. I have said this for a long time. In the past 5-10 years, I have been to more events at other Arenas around the country than I have in Buffalo. The KBC really is way behind the other Arenas...and I'm not just talking about the Brand new ones. Look at the other ones that were built around the same time...I haven't been to all of them but I have been to TD Garden in Boston (older than the KBC) and Philly (the same age), Bridgestone in Nashville (I think the same age) Columbus (3-4 years newer I think). A couple of them had renoviations, but it isn't even close, their quality is MUCH greater. And I know those will say a hardcore fan doesn't need a nice arena, the game is enough. I would have agreed with that 20-30 years ago, but now with high def TV, all the camera angles, our computers/phones/tablets to check stats and news on as the game is ongoing.....with all that as a hardcore fan I can (most of the time) experience the pure game of hockey better at home than I can at an 'average' seat at the Arena. If they want to get me out of my house and to the Arena, give me comfortable seats, some nice (and different) places to eat, just an overall good experience. But with me, at this point it doesn't matter so I shouldn't complain. With the price of going to the game (tix, parking, food), they could build the greatest Arena in the NHL and i'm not going much, I'd rather save the money and have that gameday experience at home. If I could go with someone else (2 people) and have the entire experience that is good for under $100 then maybe, but those days are long gone. But to your original point...The KBC is one of the bigger 'dumps' in the league, and you really realize that once you go to other places. As others have said, seats that creak when you sit on them, broken or missing cup holders, concrete that is pitted and cracking, restrooms where 1/3 of everything in them is out of order, just not acceptable at all for the prices paid for tickets.
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No Montreal on the list (either side)? No Toronto? Sure Vancouver made the list, but the fact Toronto and Montreal are not on there leads me to think it was heavily influenced by polling of people from the United States.
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To me size matters in one way that I have noticed for the Sabres....Penalty killing (and yes I have mentioned this before) When you have 'smaller' guys, they tend to chase a bit in penalty killing, and to me, the majority of goals scored on you when you are short handed happen when guys are out of position 'chasing', creating openings for the other team. When you stay disciplined and don't chase the puck, the other team can have possession in your end for a long time, passing it around but eventually they might get frustrated and just take a perimeter shot that your goalie easily handles. So how does size matter? Put Tage and Greenway up front, Samuelsson in the back (and get another tall guy with a large reach), and they cover more ground with their reach (and usually the taller guys have a longer stick which, along with their reach, makes the ground they cover even greater). Now, we are talking about a few inches right? Well a few inches on each side and it makes a difference. Not only are the more likely to break up risky passes into the middle, but they aren't likely to chase as much, and to me, with the Sabres, THAT made a difference in their PK. Other than that, I'll take a smaller guy that hits hard 5 times a game in a way that impacts the play over a bigger guy that hits hard 4 times a game.
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It depends on what part of WNY you live in. Here in Niagara county, we finally got some decent rain the past week, but up until now, we needed it badly. Even with the rain of the last few days, most of the yards in our neighborhood still have some brown showing in the grass.
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Lets not forget his team was anchored by 2 of probably the top 10 forward under 25 years old (Hughes and Hischier) and both of them missed significant time with injuries. And they fired Ruff to see if it would 'jump start' the team, but I believe the team actually got worse once Ruff was fired. With Ruff: 30-27-4 (86 point pace, ahead of the Sabres at the time with a game in hand). With no legit NHL goaltender, Hughes, Hischier, Meier, and Dougie Hamilton missing 82 games between them) After Ruff fired: 8-12-1 (66 point pace) With having Meier and Hischier playing every game, and Hughes playing most of them. (still no good goaltending though.)
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Jack Quinn, what is your expectation for his 2024 season?
mjd1001 replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
26 goals, 65 points, if he is healthy the entire year. Possibly more if he becomes a fixture on the 1st PP unit all the time. -
The Sabres will make the playoffs this season if ___________
mjd1001 replied to #freejame's topic in The Aud Club
Biggest thing, yes -Tage gets back close to 45-50 goals.....likely imo. -UPL plays like he did at the end of last season...IMO likely. -Defense takes another slight step up ..imo likely. -besides Tage, the get 3-4 other 20-25 goal scorers ...imo iffy. -they have some luck with several other Eastern Conference teams having injury issues or starting to show age...imo Iffy. -
I just read a post this morning before mine on this very thread where someone advocated for it, and at least 2-3 times in the past week or two in other threads I have seen people suggest it.
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A lot of people have Tuch going down to the 2nd line away from Thompson. That is one thing I do not want to see. I see their games working well together. Tuch is probably the best forchecker on the team, might be one of the best in the league and he has the speed to do it. I think he works well with Thompson because Tage doesn't do that (or want to do that) as much. Cozens on the other hand is very aggressive, kinda like Tuch but in an even more 'all gas/no brakes' type of way. I just think Tuch works well with Thompson, and would not work as well with Cozens. Quinn and Peterka (especially Quinn) aren't the full speed ahead-all the time type players, so that works better with Cozens.
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Last year New Jersey was mid pack in goals scored (despite being ruined by injuries to their top players). The year before that when they were healthy with Ruff, they were 4th in the league in goals. Over the last 2 years they have outscored the Sabres. I think when you say "Jersey clone", you aren't referring to the Devils now, but maybe the team they haven't been for years and years and years. Now if you would have said the Islanders, that would make more sense, but Jersey? Not really.
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The 'new' NY state thruway rest stops. It seems the Millions and millions of dollars spent on rebuilding the rest areas on the thuway, well, they made them WORSE. Some of them only have a handful of stalls in the restrooms. The new rest stops have LESS than the old ones (5 or more people in the restroom, you are waiting in line.) And, I'm personally not driving an EV, but at a couple we stopped at they installed EV chargers, but I think I counted 4 chargers at one and 6 at another. If you are going to spend the money to install them, how about installing enough of them so that if EV's are a lot more popular in a few years, there won't be a line waiting to use them. But yeah, the restroom thing really gets to me. How do you have LESS than before? At a place that that majority of people driving who stop there do so to use the restroom?
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Grit Rankings 2: The 4th Line Strikes Back (2024 Ed.)
mjd1001 replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
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You can look at how he deployed guys in NJ 2 years ago (his last full season there with a 112 point team). And yes, some here will argue the success they had was less Ruff and more his assistants. I personally disagree with that but even if it is true, its likely Ruff had more input into ice time when behind the bench: His top pair D had about 21 minutes per game. Dougie Hamilton, his best D-man, was averaging in the mid 21 min range. 2nd pair guys around 19 minutes. 3rd pair guys (Ryan Graves and Brendan Smith) still typically 15-18 minutes per game. He spread his D-minutes out. As a reminder, Dahlin last year got almost 25 and a half minutes per game, Power was over 22 per game. Forwards? Jack Hughes was clearly at the top of the list. 43 goals, 99 points (would have had over 100 had he not missed a few games), yet he averaged under 20 minutes per game. Hischier also just above 19 minutes. Timo Meier? just over 17 minutes. He seemed to have spread it out better than what we have been used to here for a while now.
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I'm not sure if it is going to work, but the plan for this team long term might be to have a 'decent' forward group, but to have the best D-group in the league, at least top 2 pairings that can be out there close to 75% of the time and in virtually all critical situations. I think it was the 2014 Olympics, Canada played 6 games I think and allowed a total of 3 or 4 goals over that entire time. Yes, they had good goaltending and yes, they had great forwards, but they won because the d-pairings were suffocating. They played the game the right way, hardly made mistakes, and most importantly, once they got the puck on their stick in their own zone they skated or passed it out easily. My guess is the team's vision for when the Sabres will be really good is to have them play that way, total control of the game from the blue line. I'm not saying it will WORK, but that seems to be the play.
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Florida, Boston, Toronto, Carolina, Rangers. I think most think those 5 teams are a lock for 5 of the 8 spots. Tampa finished 14 points ahead of the Sabres. Did the Sabres do enough to pass them, PROBALY not. So there is 6. 2 spots left. Detroit finished 7 points ahead last year, they added. Washington, Pittsburgh, Philly, the Islanders also finished ahead of the Sabres. Can the Sabres finish ahead of all of them except for one? Then you look behind them. I personally think New Jersey is up there with the top 5. They were ravaged by injuries last year, and they might have the best maturing core. Ottawa is improving. Montreal also, but I think Montreal has farther to go. It could be this year, it might take 96-98 points to make the playoffs.
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Trade: C Ryan McLeod - Oilers for Matt Savoie
mjd1001 replied to tom webster's topic in The Aud Club
You disagree that he SHOULD be gone? or that he MIGHT be gone? I didn't intend my post to say he SHOULD be gone, I'm at the very least for an open position in camp....my post was intended to say regardless of whether, myself, you, the fanbase wants him here, he might be the odd man out. -
I understand your view, and I go back and forth, but I'd rather give UPL a longer deal. If you overpay Cozens or Power and they turn out to be 'average', its a MUCH bigger financial penalty than if you UPL turns out to be 'average' and not your starter. My thinking is you aren't going to pay UPL a 7 year deal for 7-9 million. If you give him 3 years for 4.5....that is hurting you a lot less. Its a gamble, but I'd think..risking 4.5 million for the potential reward/failure is a much less risk than spending long term on the other deals. Goalie is the ONE area I would take a risk, especially if its likely to be half the length of a deal and maybe 60% the money of those other guys. UPL reaching his potential helps you just as much, if not more, than those other guys for likely less of a cost.
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Trade: C Ryan McLeod - Oilers for Matt Savoie
mjd1001 replied to tom webster's topic in The Aud Club
I agree there. When they were healthy, the Sabres PK of Tage and him up front, Samuelsson in the back end worked well. Put the tall guys out there with a lot of reach. They can pretty much stand in their spot and not 'chase' the puck that much because they covered so much ground with their reach and stick. I actually like that method of PK. When you have too much movement on the PK, when you chase the puck (my personal issue with Cozens), you leave areas open and that is when teams take advantage of you. Now the question is...does Ruff want the same kind of PK? Big guys, don't move around too much to let the other team get you out of position? Or does he want a pressure based PK (where someone like Cozens might excel and guys like Tage and Greenway might not be as good?) -
Trade: C Ryan McLeod - Oilers for Matt Savoie
mjd1001 replied to tom webster's topic in The Aud Club
He was better there, but still not 'fast'. But even if the Sabres 'system' was slow, he still ranks toward the bottom on the team of players that played in the same system. Its not just skating speed as I said above. He clearly isn't as fast as most of guys they are bringing in for the 3rd and 4th line. But for those bottom 6 spots, it is becoming a numbers game, and someone may have to go. Greenway was brought in as someone who played for Granato in the past, he doesn't have that history with Ruff. I'm not saying he is gone for sure, I'm just saying it won't surprise me if he is gone..or at least spending more time in the press box. -
Trade: C Ryan McLeod - Oilers for Matt Savoie
mjd1001 replied to tom webster's topic in The Aud Club
According to NHL edge, he is one of the very slowest players in the league for top speed and speed bursts over 20. If you look at the previous year, he was closer to average, but he is no where near the guys they are putting together right now. -
Trade: C Ryan McLeod - Oilers for Matt Savoie
mjd1001 replied to tom webster's topic in The Aud Club
I know many disagree with me, but I think Greenway may be the odd man out. They obviously want guys who are fast, VERY fast on those bottom 2 lines (all are except for Zucker and Zucker is "OK"). Greenway doesn't fit. Also, I know its not the main reason Skinner is gone, but he was one of the slower forwards on the team (Skinner) and he's gone. There is just a chance Adams/Ruff for some reason want to put together one of the fastest skating teams in the league, at least the bottom 2 lines, and Greenway doesn't fit.. Plus he was brought in as one of 'Granato's guys'. Again, he has a role and he has some good qualities, and I know a lot of people here like him....just to me it wouldn't be surprising if he isn't on the 3rd line, or even a regular on the 4th once the regular season starts. I think he is going to have to have one of the best training camps ever to convince Ruff to be a regular in the lineup. -
Trade: C Ryan McLeod - Oilers for Matt Savoie
mjd1001 replied to tom webster's topic in The Aud Club
Not really. One group was clamoring for a trade and they made their voices heard in the past. Another group was quiet then, they were happy because there was no over pay. Now the group that wanted the trade is quiet (they got what they want) but the group that doesn't like overpaying is sounding off. Schizophrenice not really....just different people speaking up when they do/don't get what 'their side' wants. -
I sure am. Again, we know he had an arm/wrist injury last year, that was admitted to, and again, the drop in production mirrors what Matthews did a couple years ago. Its not 'coping'. Its taking data that is given, applying a similar data set to it and drawing a logical conclusion. That may be correct, it may be incorrect, but to me it seems most of the 'coping' being done on this board is by the perma-negatives that just want to make fun of anything they don't agree with.
