
mjd1001
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GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
Interesting stat on the year...for the year the team is at its worst (performance-wise) when McDavid is on the ice without Draisaitl. Draisaitl and McDavid together: +9 goal differential on the season (1 goal scored every 14 minutes, 1 allowed every 21 minutes) Draisaitl without McDavid: +6 goal differential (1 goal scored every 23 minutes, 1 allowed every 28.8 minutes) Neither Draisaitl or McDavid: -2 goal differential (1 goal scored every 28.4 minutes, one goal allowed every 28.5 minutes) McDavid without Draisaitl: -12 goal differential (1 goal scored every 25.4 minutes, one goal allowed every 17.2 minutes) Those are even strength PP effectiveness is hard to look at statistically, they are both out there almost all the time. PK has neither of them out there pretty much ever. If you take stats back 3 seasons and look at the past 3 seasons combined, the numbers are more 'even' across Draisatl and McDavid. One thing is for sure, there is not an outperformance of McDavid over Draisaitl statistically. They contribute statistically equally to the success of Edmonton, with Draisaitl getting the statistical edge this season. -
No mention of Tage either way?
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Another 'rumor' from a former-player-turned analyst, take it for what you will, sounds more like conjecture than an actual source but here it is: “I truly do believe that Mitch Marner wants to be a Maple Leaf for the rest of his life, but he also wants to be the highest-paid Maple Leaf,” Colaiacovo said on "First Up" on Monday. “That’s what I’m led to believe, just because of how this whole contract is playing out right now.” The analyst thinks that Marner’s approach to contract negotiations, constantly delaying them and refusing to talk about it in-season, signals his desire to become the highest-paid Maple Leafs player. https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nhl/why-mitch-marner-is-delaying-maple-leafs-contract-talks-finally-revealed/ar-AA1AGCPL?ocid=BingNewsSerp
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At times I don't even know if he is playing wing or center. To me he is equally effective at both. His play and mistakes/lack of mistakes in the neutral zone and defensive zone seem the same to me...and his goal production when healthy is about the same. I think the issue is what is around him, play Tage either center or wing, depending on who you want on his line and where those guys are best suited to play. I think you are getting the same production and play out of Tage regardless.
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There is a denial, and there is a strong denial. That is on the stronger side of denials. I know 'journalism' is a loose term these days, but if you want to be a credible journalist, you should do a little more verification of your sources. Getting the soundbite out there though for him is more important than verfication.
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I don't really put much faith into what Bissonette says either. He seems more like a guy who likes to scream and yell on the set when he is on TV, he's the attention getter, the token Leafs fan on the broadcast. I didn't listen to the clip yet, but how would HE be the one with this info at all, or at least first, before any of the legit journalists with a lot more connections around the league or even the local guys that travel with the team and talk to the players and Adams on a weekly or daily basis? As others have said about Dahlin if this is true...he doesn't have much leverage in the matter. Is he going to leave and go back to Sweden and leave all that money on the table? Also, if this were true and he were really really frustrated, the person to express that to would be Pegula, not Adams. Tell that to Pegula. If you think Adams is bad, tell him you are frustrated with Adams. Tell Pegula to open up the checkbook and get him some help. As I brought up in another thread,
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And he does it on this team without a good playmaker....as brough up before his talent isn't just shooting, but he has the ability to 'create his own shot' better than many players in the league. That is why he is as successful as he is. A playmaker who sees the ice well would help him even more on the PP, where it is more about controlling a 'half court' set. His goal numbers and PP numbers would likely be better if the Sabres had someone line that on the wing or center to help. Not just 4th in goals...Even strength goals per 60...he is best in the league and way out in front. He is the league's dominant goal scorer (he's at 1.95 goals per 60 minutes, 2nd place is 1.57....its not even close) If you get a playmaker...a guy who handles the puck well and can make good passes, you would likely get more PP goals out of Thompson and he would be challenging for the overall league lead in goals. 2 words (or names). Mitch Marner. He might be the best star winger in the league at controlling the puck and distributing from the wing. Marner on the PP and/or Thompsons wing....and next year with a healthy Tage he probably approaches 60 goals. I think with Marner, Tage EASILY gets 1 more PP goal per month and close to 1 more even strength goal per month.
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Cozens, from what I saw, actually didn't play that well. As someone else posted, when he was on the ice the opposition had more shots and more chances than his line generated from Ottawa. The other game when he threw a lot of 'hits', some of them were little more than casually bumping a guy that he was given credit for a hit. 2 of them I actually saw were 'same old Cozens', he followed through on a hit well after the puck was gone and took himself out of the play as the puck went back up the ice (maybe that is still the reason why Ottawa was outshot and outchanced so badly when he was on the ice). Like the Eichel and Reinhart deals (and Mitts to a certain extent), I'll check in on how Cozens is doing...because as fans that is what we do....see how the traded player is performing. 2 games is....well....a super small sample size, but in that small sample size.....what I have seen and the stats I have read...he's not really any different there through 2 games overall. You mentioned Ulmark. That is years ago already...but the Sabres would be MUCH better this year having Ulmark back on the roster than Cozens.
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Agree on alot of what you said. I do not like fighting in the game anymore. I can live without it as I have said many times. But, it is still part of the game so you need someone, I think, who is better than what you have. I have come around on Krebs a lot. If he isn't playing next year I won't shed too many tears, but for what he is, he is better this year than last year. Quinn, ugh. Something has to change. I posted yesterday he has stopped going to the front of the net almost totally. Other wingers like Tuch and Peterka have something like 45-50 for Tuch and 20-30 shots from the front of the net on the year, Quinn has 5. Some people have said Quinn is hurt. Maybe. But right now no other forward has actually hurt the team as much as Quinn other than Cozens, so Quinn moves to #1. As far as a playmaking center...yeah, it won't hurt. I think part of that is negated by the fact that Tage is your most dangerous forward, and he makes his own plays...he really doesn't need a playmaker to set him up as much as many other scorers, he creates his own high danger chances. As for line 2 or 3..yeah, could probabably use one there. Can it be Kulich? Maybe, but it is WAY too early to tell and you could really use a back-up plan in case it isn't. As I just mentioned above, maybe Quinn is playing hurt and that is why his play is so bad, and with an offseason he improves. But with just how bad he has been, I'd offer him the shortest, cheapest deal you can and tell him to 'prove it'. If he says no, then you aren't missing much if he sits. I mean I don't know if the team wants to push things that far and look more 'player un-friendly' than they do, but you really can't commit to him UNTIL he proves it because he has been so bad.
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I posted this earlier or in another thread... I'm not saying the organization is not at fault for a lot of stuff. They are. But to me why this is more on Cozens? -Tage is a 45+ goal per 82 guy. Tuch is closing in on his 2nd 30 goal season in 3 years here while being a plus player. Peterka and Kulich are showing early signs that they are better and/or more complete players than Cozens. If those guys can do it at Forward, why has Cozens game never developed through 5 years away from the puck? And why has his overall game regressed? Yeah, the organization has a lot to do with it...but if Cozens and Quinn were really the ONLY 2 forwards on this team that have regressed and been so bad they are deeply negative players...that has as much, if not more, to do with the players. The failure of the organization is putting him in a role he cannot handle and is not suited for. The actual act of failing is is his. If he succeeds someplace else in a different role, it might very well be that it is because he was placed in that different role.
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No, not dogging it. I saw him try, he just wasn't that good in his role here. Here he was put in a position where he was asked to be a 'complete' player. Score, and make your linemates involved, and be on the 1st team power play, and penalty kill, and be responsible on the ice to defend a lead late in the game. He's just not good enough to do all that. Give him less to do/focus on....and/or put him out there with guys who already do those thing and are good at it and he might function better in that role. He just wasn't good enough of a player to do all the things this team asked him. As much as I wanted him gone, that was primarily because SOMEONE in this organization (Pegula? Adams?) insisted he keep being put out there in all those roles. If he would have been taken off the PP and moved to wing, I would rather have had him stay. That wasn't happening here. He tried to succeed in a role he simply wasn't good enough for...or wasn't a 'fit' for, so he failed. So I don't think he wasn't trying. But if he WAS, all the more reason you wanted him gone. Tuch is getting close to 30 goals and is a positive player (AGAIN) on a negative team. Tage is pacing for 45-50 goals per 82. Dahlin is fighting 3 guys at once and carrying the D-unit. That is most of your core leadership group..they aren't dogging it...if Cozens was then he needed to be moved simply for that reason.
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Wrong. It may be an idictment of the organiztion, but as I said it wasn't happening here. For 5 years he has been a negative player defensively. For 5 years he has not made his linemates better. For 4 of those 5 years, he has been put in a situation where he has been a regular on the PP and a #2 center and has been one of the absolute worst players in that role in the entire league. Peterka and Kulich are young and while not perfect, early signs are they are better (Peterka) and MUCH better (Kulich) than Cozens ever was away from the puck, and better overall with shooting scoring. They have been in this organization their entire careers so far. Thompson turned into one of the best scorers in the league while here. Tuch blossomed into one of the better clutch players/best forcheckers/30 goal scorer here (and it looks like it may be more than one year.) This organization and the development staff here is bad, they should be turning out more good players than they are. But some players have succeeded here and gotten better. Cozens was never that good and he was getting worse. He needed to go. Cozens was a BAD hockey player here. 2 coaches, 3 'system's in the past 3 years. It was NOT changing here.
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GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
Yeah on that call...the Sabres are losing because they have been playing bad. But they are for sure in a stretch where they aren't currently on the right side of some calls. -
GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
Just a follow up on this. Quinn wasn't always that way. 2 years ago he had 42 shots on net from the front of the net in 75 games (1 every 1.8 games) Last year he had 12 in 27 games (1 every 2.3 games) And its not like he doesn't do well from there. Like most players, that is his zone with his highest shooting percentage. If you don't go to the areas or take shots form the areas where you shoot the best, you aren't going to score much. This year 1 out of every 11 games...its not only a small sample, its over the entire season. And its not the system, as mentioned above the other wingers are going to those areas. Quinn has, this year, just turned into one of the most 'perimeter' wingers in the league. -
GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
Jack Quinn this year: 55 games played Shots from the 'high danger' areas (in front of the net, up to a few feet out). 5. FIVE the entire year. He goes to and gets off a shot from that part of the ice once every 11 games he plays. For comparison, other wingers on the Sabres: Peterka has 26 of them. Tuch has 47. Quinn 5. He is alergic to going to the front of the net. -
GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
I know its been brough up Quinn might still be recovering from his surgery (surgeries). That may be true. But when I watch him, its also he isn't make good decisions. He's staying away from the slot. Its more than just physical with him. I did think he was decent in the first period though. -
GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
When you watch the replay of Tage's goal....it is impressive for him that basically he got off 2 shots himself where it was basically a 1 on 4. Of course, the 2 Edmonton D-men didn't look like they had any idea what to do on coverage. 1-0. NHL.com is pretty good with putting up replays of the goals just a couple minutes after they happen if you can't watch live. -
GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
1st period, no penalties so its all 5 on 5. A few things surprising with ice time: -Benson with 5:20 (on pace for 16 minutes). He has only been getting 10-12 minutes per game lately -Quinn with 5:53 (on pace for almost 18 minutes). He's been in teh 13-15 minute range usually. -4th line (Malenstyn, Lafferty) with only 4 shifts and about 2.5 minutes (on pace for 7.5 for the game) Oilers with 6 blocked shots. Sabres haven't been credited for blocking a single one yet. -
GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
Yeah, the post is saving the Sabres now, they are beating UPL, but not the post. Or, if you want to be positive, you can say UPL is playing the shots SO PERFECTLY that is all he is giving them is the post. -
GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
I was going to post about the sound. The commercials sound fine, but the broadcast is very 'tinny', like way too much treble? Anyone esle have that issue? Also, the video seems to be a bit behind the broadcast. I'll hear "Quinn takes a shot" and then see him take the shot 1/2 second AFTER they said he took it. -
GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
Thompson has scored in 4 of the last 5 games now. -
So Bills sign 2 players today and both are Canadian citizens....coincidence or something to it?
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GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
I'm giving it a shot, but having a hard time getting into watching this game. -
GDT-Edmonton Oilers at Sabres Monday 3/10/25-7pm, ESPN+ and WGR
mjd1001 replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
Thanks. I spend more time on Bluesky than Twitter now, but I still find more info on Twitter, I might not be following the right people yet.