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Everything posted by DarthEbriate
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Goaltending remains this organization’s biggest question mark.
DarthEbriate replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
Tend or do not. There is no goal. -
An all-Canada Stanley Cup Final. Very interesting. I think he's pretty spot-on with the Sabres though. I had them at 86 points until Sens' Talbot got hurt and now I'm seeing Buffalo take advantage 11/16 in Ottawa and finish with 88. I also think Boston doesn't make it to the playoffs. They'll be right in the low 90s though. Speaking of oddly specific predictions. Nice blend, Fozzie. Thank you, Fozzie. https://theathletic.com/3673871/2022/10/11/nhl-predictions-down-goes-brown/ DGB/McIndoe states this for his specific Sabres prediction: "Ryan Miller is scheduled to have his number retired on January 19. Hopefully he sticks around after the ceremony, because he’ll get to watch a shutout." That's 1/19/2023 hosting the NY Islanders. Who has the shutout? Buffalo or the Isles? Bonus question if the Sabres get it: which goalie earns the shutout?
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Goaltending remains this organization’s biggest question mark.
DarthEbriate replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
Goaltending has been the concern since Hutton's eye year after his hot start. Ullmark wasn't great and had some injuries, but he's a .915 guy every year. This team is in the playoff chase with a .915 guy playing 55 games. Question is now: is Comrie capable of that? If not, pray UPL ascends (and also stays healthy), and that Levi and Portillo flunk out of school by January. -
I love your avatar, but I too thought he was destined for Rochester, especially with Okposo recovered to health for the opener. We'll see what happens when Sheahan is off IR. I can't see any way in which you prioritize an NHL roster spot for Bjork over Sheahan except a GM's hubris that Bjork was acquired in the Hall trade. Bjork was disappointing all last season and invisible in the preseason (games that I saw).
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I didn't have Power starting on PP2 in my preseason projection for him. He'll be up over 40 points now (health permitting). Throw in Goalofsson on his PP and he might really surprise. Quinn will be on the left dot on PP2 by midyear. So then it becomes -- of Krebs and Mitts, who gets to be on the opposite half wall from Tage on PP1? It should be fun.
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Everything hopeful Sabres fans are saying about Comrie, Sens fans are saying about Forsberg. He's been steadily improving the last few seasons and is ready for a larger role after a good 2021-22. Last year: Forsberg: 46 gp, 22-17-4, .917 sv%, 2.82 GAA, and 14.5 GSAA Comrie: 19 gp, 16-10-5-1 .920 sv%, 2.58 GAA, and 7.2 GSAA Where the goaltending skews dramatically pro-Ottawa is in the veteran/backup role. Talbot is a solid 1B-type still in his prime. Anderson is a savvy backup whose numbers have fallen sharply off from his prime years in Ottawa (5 years ago). Compared across the last 3 seasons: Talbot: 108 gp, 63-30-10, .914 sv%, 2.69 GAA, and 20.1 GSAA Anderson: 69 gp, 30-30-4, .900 sv%, 3.14 GAA, and -16.0 GSAA That's a lot of faith to have to put into Luukkonen this season, considering even UPL's current AHL numbers pale in comparison to all 4 of these other goalies.
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With Ottawa, it's all about how long it takes for the team to gel and how long Talbot is out with injury. The top 6 will be excellent. The 3rd line is youthful and should improve as the season goes on. Defense: Zub is underrated and Sanderson should be electric and move into the top 4 by season's end. The difference is goaltending. Once Talbot is healthy, Ottawa has an up-and-coming starter in Forsberg and a proven starter in Talbot. They shed their poor goalie and awful contract with Murray. That's what gives them the edge over Buffalo in 82 games. But in one game at the beginning of the season where Buffalo has line continuity and the opening night crowd? The Sabres should win.
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^ Only 20 skaters on the roster. They'd best hope no one tweaks anything during any warm-ups or road trips in any game because there's no one else to dress.
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I think we're past the JAG horizon. There's true JAGs (good AHLers/tweeners) like Bjork. Or an even better example --- our 2nd liner in the tank: Seth Griffith, or the Matt Ellis of JAGs: Matt Ellis. And then there's actual NHL-caliber 4th-line grinders who get to the big league and stick: Girgensons. Lazar. Sheahan. I'll throw out a name to whom Sheahan compares very favorably: Dan Paille. Both late 1sts, both became good defensive forwards, and both (have) had decade-long careers. The difference is one was on a perennial contender and the other broke into the league on a team heading into its twilight. Could Blidh become as good as Sheahan or Paille? Maybe. But I'd keep Sheahan over him for the next couple seasons. We all love JJP and Kulich, but based on where they're selected, if they become Paille or Sheahan, and play 10 NHL seasons: that's a win. If they're 4th liners on a good team they'll be beloved. If they play on cellar-dwellers they'll be mistakenly called JAGs. We're underselling Sheahan's capability. He's a low-mistake vet with good enough size and wheels. He'll stay in the suite until needed, help settle rookies on a 4th line, kill penalties, and calm things down. He's a Zemgus-insurance plan if the Locomotive needs repairs. Some numbers on Sheahan last season in Seattle: 69 gp. 17 points, 60% D zone starts at 5-on-5. And a ridiculous +6 on a team with a -69 goal differential. (Soucy, Sheahan, Tanev, Blackwell, Borgen... those are the only plus players for Seattle with over 10 gp and they're all defensive/bottom 6 grinders -- Tanev/Soucy with mid-tier potential-- who take care of their end first.) This Sabres team needs a few of those Sheahan-level players while the kids improve their games in all 3 zones.
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Nadeau for sure. But probably every prospect needs to work on their skating.
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We can only hope. I don't know how they even have a profile page for Kriukov. He never ever left the KHL or even came across the pond that I can recall. Good #15 overall selection.
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That stinks for Subban and the Amerks. And... 0 shots on goal in the first period of the (second and) final preseason game? Being outshot 15-0 is not really a recipe for success.
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I don't think Cozens was rushed. I do think Cozens didn't have to do much to make the team. He beat out Ruotsalainen and Ogelvie as the final cuts. Asplund and Mitts were placed on the taxi squad. This was HC Krueger's opening night roster on 1/14/20: Hall - Eichel - Thompson Olofsson - Staal - Reinhart Rieder - Eakin - Cozens Skinner - Lazar - Sheahan (Asplund) INJ: Okposo Skinner should've been in the top 6. Then-winger-giraffe-Tage should have been bottom 6. Okposo was hurt. Every other player [edit: in the bottom 6], yes, rookie Cozens should play over. I contrast that with JJP in this year's preseason. Hino had one egregious turnover to Crosby (and was that an AHL D communication error, or Comrie not communicating, or did Crosby call for it and fooled Hino? -- anyway, Hino has to use his speed and carry the puck) but otherwise showed he's in the top 12 on this roster and has a role and speed. JJP didn't pop this preseason and until he does, he gets to hone his game in Rochester until he comes up and pops. He'll get many chances to do so. (I'd also argue Krebs didn't pop this preseason, but I'll take his passing on PP2.)
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It's a 6-1 cakewalk preseason game. It's boring from their POV. They're just praying no one gets hurt. Every one of these AHL defensemen is <6' and 185#. They're going to have to possess the puck better and make very quick and decisive passes to break the forecheck even in Rochester this year. Because otherwise they're going to get hunted down and destroyed. All the size on defense on this roster is in the top 4.
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There's more to prove in the AHL. Defensive positioning, being the go-to guy on the top line (no Quinn), and consistency across the board. He'll get there. Hino had a horrible turnover in the first, but I think Comrie can prevent that reversal to Crosby by yelling at Hino where to go. Hino can float the lineup where needed. Right now I think he's the 12, Sheahan is the vet 13 who can play any position, and JJP gets to go be a top line forward in Rochester and skate 19+ minutes/night. He'll be fine.
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This is what many road preseason games look like. Look no further than last game when Carolina sent their B squad up to Buffalo. The Sabres were ahead 3-0 in similar fashion. The question is: how does this Sabres B squad respond? That's what this game is about; it's an ideal situation to assess effort and teamwork. Who rises to the occasion, who folds, who rides the bus to Rochester?
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Perhaps it's meant to be 6th round pick Gustav Karlsson... but that's the magic of the worldwide leader in sports. No Tsujimoto though.
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Ha-hey! Casey Nelson is no longer on ESPN's Sabres roster. They got it updated for training camp! Wait... wait... https://www.espn.com/nhl/team/roster/_/name/buf/buffalo-sabres What's this? Artem Kriukov! Age 40. 6'4" 193. He's in camp this year? Right there between Kozak and Kulich. ESPN NHL, you are the gift that keeps on giving. https://www.espn.com/nhl/player/_/id/2413