WildCard

Right, that all makes sense. How does it differ from my example though? Sorry, this is actually just interesting to me :)

Right

Can you explain what you mean more? Each permutation has the same probability, sure. But that doesn't explain why my example is incorrect; there is a reason Ottawa had the highest chance coming down to the last ball

Sounds about right. And it's depressing. Wonder how long it takes for Dahlin to take the 2nd pairing

I mean that's exactly what I said, just with an example ;) Kinda figured not everyone would know what a permutation is

How about from a guy who's created the technology to let spiders talk to cats?

Say Buffalo's number was 1523, Ottawa's is 1524, Arizona's is 1525, and Vancouver's is 1526 So the last ball would be the number 3, and we have already selected 152 (hence why each of the 4 teams above are still alive) For some reason, there are more 4's left than 3's, 5's, or 6's. So Ottawa has the highest chance of winning But a 3 was selected, so Buffalo won

@reporterchris More Chris Johnston Retweeted Sportsnet Ottawa had the highest chances of winning the No. 1 pick headed to the last ball. Vancouver, Chicago and Arizona had the same odds as eventual winner Buffalo.

Ripped form 26CB post on TSW (thanks 26CB) from Beane's interview on WGR today

Is Dahlin supposed to be playing in the World's?

Feels good to be back :beer: Same. And I've already run out of Dahlin material to digest. All I'm doing now is restraining myself from the 30 different threads I want to make. Gotta save some juice for the summer

I'm happy we don't have to debate Svechnikov/Whalstrome/Hughes/Zadina all summer

That and being GM for a team mired in mediocrity with a poorer fanbase and an owner that will not spend to the cap can't exactly be a fun job. I'm guessing he gets another offer next offseason and leaves us

Great news for us, but that's really odd to me. How do you not come to a deal to be a GM?

Which makes trading Ristolainen insane to me

Right. It's the same story with out forwards. We have the top end talent, now we need the depth. The good news is, that should be the easy, and faster part to pull off; adding depth

I think Scandella can definitely fit in a top 4 on a cup contender today

Was counting him and Guhle as my 'maybe'

You lost me

3 of them. Potentially 4 of them

I'm with you on this. Which sucks too because he's young and our rotation is not great Still, better than Tyler Clippard :beer:

Nailed it :lol:

Right, my mistake. He only played 7 games his draft year, and posted 1 goal. And Hedman only posted 4pts in 39gp in his draft year. Meanwhile Dahlin posts 20pts? That's absolutely insane

Erik Karlsson had 5-5-10 in 45gp for Frolunda HC in the SHL during his first full year in the SHL, the year after he was drafted. He posted 1g in 7 games in his draft year Victor Hedman had 7-14-21 in 43gp for MODO in the SHL during his first full year in the SHL, the year after he was drafted. He posted 2-2-4pts in 39gp in his draft year Rasmus Dahlin had 7-13-20 in 41gp for Frolunda HC in the SHL during his draft year. Karlsson's first 3 NHL seasons: 5-21-26pts in 60gp 13-32-45pts in 75gp 19-59-78pts in 81gp Hedman's first 3 NHL seasons: 4-16-20pts in 74gp 3-23-26pts in 79gp 5-18-23pts in 61gp Hedman really didn't break out until his 5th season, posting 13-42-55pts in 75gp Another comparison Dahlin has drawn is Drew Doughty. Doughty's first 3 NHL seasons: 11-29-40pts in 76gp 10-26-36pts in 77gp 6-16-22pts in 48gp (lockout) Honestly I'm expecting a Karlsson-like trajectory. First 2 seasons with good production, 3rd season becomes an All Star

Gonna have a hard time paying all these stars if we go after Karlsson