TrueBlueGED
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Posts posted by TrueBlueGED
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9 hours ago, WildCard said:
Bring me Huberdeau!
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5 hours ago, #freejame said:
I like the deal but just wanna make sure I have this right: Miller has good fancy stats as the most protected defensemen in the NHL and will be fine taking on more responsibilities without having it change his fancy stats too much. But Risto would not have his fancy stats improve from taking on less responsibilities and moving on from being the most overmatched defensemen. Because he is who he is at 24.
Yes. Risto blows defensive coverage against bad players just as much as against good players. Existing evidence suggests underlying numbers don't vary much with quality of competition, and my eyes tell me Risto's problems aren't competition relation, but Risto related.
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55 minutes ago, Randall Flagg said:
Wow i forgot about my second favorite Sabres defenseman. Let me retry this
Dahlin - Montour
Pilut - Ristolainen
McCabe - Miller
They're probably going to start Pilut in Rochester if anything just for rehab and stuff. But I think this is our best six. If you don't believe me on LP, watch him and Risto together against Toronto just after the win streak. They were both incredible, because of each other. They are perfect complements for each others' weaknesses.It's actually pretty hard to get the fit just right stylistically here. We're definitely trading a defenseman
I need to see Pilut and Risto together for more than half a cup of coffee before I'm convinced of anything. And I'd much rather trade Risto than find out the cup of coffee wasn't sustainable.
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3 minutes ago, Randall Flagg said:
Dahlin - Bogosian
Pilut - Ristolainen
McCabe - Miller
Scandella, Nelson for injuries
Use all three pairs roughly equally.
It's weird to me you have Risto where Miller belongs, Bogo where Montour belongs, and Miller where Nelson belongs. Yes, my new wet dream is we emerge from this offseason having jettisoned both Risto and Bogo.
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14 minutes ago, Neo said:
Gotta think so. “I can’t make the Risto deal until I replace a RHD.”
Any fancy staters have Risto vs Miller?
Miller's #fancystats are significantly better than Risto's.
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15 minutes ago, Taro T said:
So, does this increase the odds of a Ristolainen trade?
Probably.
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Just now, Brawndo said:
Excellent trade. More of this please.
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11 minutes ago, Randall Flagg said:
At the same time, contacting a lot of UFAs should be part of a GM's job description, not evidence of ability or lack-thereof
We will have plenty of time this summer to evaluate his competence based on what the team looks like after he makes the moves he does
Does anyone actually believe he isn't doing this? And I'm not talking obvious #dosomethingbotterill snark.
10 minutes ago, WildCard said:Depends on what you're after. FA can certainly be used to acquire depth
Well yea. But when I hear "aggressive," I think "get the guy I want with big money and/or term."
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26 minutes ago, WildCard said:
Really shouldn't be that surprising that we're being aggressive
15 minutes ago, ... said:I guess that's what you'd expect from a competent GM, something many around here do not credit Botterill for being.
I'm glad it looks as through we're being aggressive.
I would actually argue that aggressiveness in unrestricted free agency may be inversely related to GM competence.
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15 minutes ago, Hoss said:
As it stands I disagree pretty strongly with the Stralman hate. Anybody got some fancy stats to show he’s not a capable top six dman right now? I also like the impact he appears to have had on that room and defense group. If you can get him on a two-year deal I would be good with that.
Sort of like Turris, Stralman had a notably worse 2018-19 than other recent years. I figured it was more blip than gradual decline, but I could easily be wrong.
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33 minutes ago, dudacek said:
Great feed. Being me, I also have to point out the terrific stick and body position on the zone exit by 23 to set it all up.
But 2ndary assists mean nothing right?
Edmonton fans say he was notably generous with ice time to the kids and very common sense with player usage in general.
I don’t recall another fanbase ever saying the latter about any coach ever.
Said nobody ever. I'm sad that your love of Samson pushed you to an uncharacteristic strawman.
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@Randall Flagg Seeing you so wildly optimistic about a Sabres prospect is just weird. Unusual, but in a good way.
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3 minutes ago, Randall Flagg said:
(I hope we don't sign Stralman)
Even if it's relatively low-risk? I get not wanting to commit long term and concerns about durability, but he'd instantly be our best RHD defensively and a decent stopgap when we trade Risto.
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Just now, Derrico said:
I don't think it needs to be stated but I have no illusions TT well end up nearly as good as Stamkos (arguable one of the great goal scorers in the game). I'm just saying that I think the shot could be very good one day. Yes he gets leverage with his huge stick. That's part of the appeal to him and not something that should be just dismissed. He will always have that big long stick.
Paging @inkman to the development camp thread..
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The following obviously comes with a mammoth sample size warning for Nylander, but...
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Tage is terrible by eye test and metrics. Nylander was better in the preseason and in his very limited NHL action.
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2 minutes ago, Derrico said:
TT has shown much more potential IMO than Nylander. He played a bunch of games for the Sabres and there was a stretch in the middle where he was playing pretty good hockey. Nylander has never come close to showing that IMO.
I don't think there was any stretch that Thompson was playing well. He scored a few goals in a short period of time, but I don't re actual good hockey from him.
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29 minutes ago, WildCard said:
Couldn't they have terminated his contract for failure to report?
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1 hour ago, Derrico said:
Maybe I’m drinking the koolaide but instigators talking up Thompson leadership at development camp and saying how his hands, shot and size is unbelievable. Apparently he’s working on his legs all summer to work on skating and positioning (maybe net front presence). ROR return is garbage and I’m not rehashing it here. But I have to remind myself he is still only 21 years old and has an unreal shot that takes too long to take. If he can figure out the release and get stronger on his skates than I’m hopeful.
If the sabres and not blues drafted TT and he’s a 21 year old tweener looking to take that next step then I feel we’re way more optimistic on his outlook then we currently are.
*glances at popular opinion of Nylander*
I honestly don't think we would be more optimistic.
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46 minutes ago, Weave said:
Yeah, those former Penguins signings have been difference makers.....
...are you talking about the players or the staff?
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1 hour ago, Hoss said:
Certainly. Vogl has been pushing all summer that the team may very well want Samson to anchor his own line.
The team should want Samson to anchor his own line. The team should not plan on him doing that from the center position.
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15 minutes ago, dudacek said:
What do analytics say about Turris?
Separately, is it reasonable to think that NHL analytics departments use different types of analytics that put emphasis on different thing? Could, for example, a heavy emphasis on even strength scoring have led to the acquisition of and big contract for Skinner?
This year? Bad news bears. Before this year? Pretty good. At the time of the trade, there was actually a reasonable argument to be made that he was better than Duchene.
Turris this season vs. the past 3 seasons combined paints a pretty stark picture.
While I have no doubt that different teams have proprietary measures and methods, I'd be shocked if any team's analytics department didn't emphasize even strength scoring. Even strength play has been all the rage in the analytics community since its infancy, and is one of the things that causes a disconnect between analytics types and broader observers who focus on traditional counting stats.
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8 minutes ago, dudacek said:
So what’s scarier?
Turris at $6 million for 5 years, or Duchene for $9.5 million for 7 years?
Turris is 18 months older. Duchene blew him out the water last year, but they scored roughly at the same pace over the five previous years.
Duchene, especially since you probably get salary retention on Turris.
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4 minutes ago, Zamboni said:
Prediction ... no GM this summer does an offer sheet where the team being offer-sheeted doesn’t match and keep the player.
Second prediction ... no player gets offer sheeted this summer.
one of those is likely to be true.
but I get it... every summer it’s nice to fantasize about offer sheets.
I would like to offer a 3rd prediction: it snows in Buffalo again before January 1. ?
But yea, I don't think we see anything fun.
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3 minutes ago, dudacek said:
Point Aho Tkachuk are the three I’d blow four 1sts on.
Some other great targets, but they are three best players AND the three best fits.
It just doesn’t seem like a Botterill move, but that Athletic report about other GMs suggesting Buffalo as a possibility to drop an offer sheet sure caught my attention.
IMO, between the cap space and the number of good players on our roster under 25, we will never be in a better position.
Conceptual question: if Botterill actually signs an RFA to a four-1st offer sheet, do you think it might mean he feels more heat internally to win now than the conventional wisdom holds? Because I agree, it doesn't strike me as the sort of thing he'd do unless he felt he had to.
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Trade:Defenseman Colin Miller to Sabres for Picks
in The Aud Club
Posted
Dahlin continues to be underrated defensively.