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TrueBlueGED

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Posts posted by TrueBlueGED

  1. 13 minutes ago, Scottysabres said:

    Sekera being bought out.

    I would not mind him on a 2 yr x 1.5 mil deal. He's injury prone but as a 3rd pairing LHD I'd be happy very with that.

    Unless we move McCabe, so we really need a 3rd pair LHD? 

    5 minutes ago, tom webster said:

    As you said, I believe cap considerations are over rated but you have to be smart. I don’t think you can pay Sam, Skinner and Hoffman all $9M and still have a viable 2nd center.

    Not this year, but maybe next year. I think it all depends on the price of the 2C we (lord willing) acquire. Can we get someone on a $5M contract for a few years and Casey signed cheap after this year? If so, I think we might be okay unless Sam, Hoffman, and Montour all have bank-breaking seasons. Might have to pay someone to take Okposo off our hands though. 

    2 minutes ago, Brawndo said:

    I would love Hoffman, but the Sabres Current Cap Situation dictates he will not re sign in Buffalo. So giving up two players who are RFAs seems like a lot for a player on an expiring contract.

     

    Mike Russo is reporting that the Wild are poised to sign Mats Zuccarello to a long term deal 

    ...bring me Zucker! 

  2. 2 hours ago, tom webster said:

    You really want three wingers making $9M or more going forward? I think that only works if you can count on Casey and Dylan being centers two and three on ELC and Bridge. Otherwise you’ll have five forwards making about $47M if you find a second line center at $10M.

     

    Where have you taken Tom "the cap doesn't matter" Webster and what have you done with him? 

    22 minutes ago, Ogelthorpe said:

    27, 29, 26,22,36 goals the last 5 seasons for Hoffman, and people are worried about losing Erod. This fan base is broken. Lol

    I don't think that's the proper framing. Eros is nice because he's good and cheap. He's not untouchable, but I think most would simply prefer to keep him. 

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  3. 1 hour ago, jsb said:

    Fair point but the Sabres issues are far more complex than just trading a very good player. The organizational depth is and was terrible. Until it gets fixed and our young guns mature, we're just spinning our wheels. With ROR we still were the worst team in the league. He wasn't our savior and we weren't dealing from a position of strength on that trade. The trade may be the flop you're alluding to but it may not be as bad further down the road.

    Of course he isn't a savior, no one player is. If we traded Jack for 2 cap dumps and a handful of magic beans, would that be okay under the reasoning we won't know for 4 years and we finished in last with him anyway? Of course not. And we were dealing from a position of strength because he had 5 years left on his contract. Botterill didn't use that leverage, and that's on him. The trade was an abomination from the time it was made, and any attempts to frame it otherwise are really trying too hard. It doesn't have to define Botterill's tenure as GM, and I've said before plenty of GMs have made really bad trades and still be successful on the whole. But I really wish people would stop trying to frame or rationalize this trade in anything but a negative light, because the evidence simply doesn't support anything but it sucked.

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  4. 1 hour ago, jsb said:

    Well there's little question that the immediate winner of that trade was St. Louis but let's sit on this for 3-4 years and see the progress of Johnson, Tage and Miller and see where this goes then. Those guys will be  starting their prime years while ROR will start the inevitable decline. Then we'll see if this trade evens out some or is truly the terrible trade it looks like now. Tage still has time to turn it on and Johnson looked like a potentially skilled D man at the development camp. 

     

    While technically true (except for Miller, who is already in his prime), let's be honest: the likelihood of either Thompson or Johnson becoming O'Reilly-caliber players is incredibly low. So low, in fact, that I don't think we reasonably need 4 years to judge the trade a flop. 

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  5. 20 minutes ago, Taro T said:

    Granted, it's an if, but if Kreuger is good, that's a huge step in the right direction.  They've also, since being eliminated last season added Montour, Miller (who I still expect is a replacement for Ristolainen, rather than an addition), and a 1 year older/ experienced Dahlin.

    Bring in Aho and a 2RW for Ristolainen and this team challenges for the playoffs.  Get the goaltending from the 1st 30 games last year and this team should make the playoffs (even with the moves other Eastern teams will make the next couple of days).

    If we were to do this, we damn well better do more than challenge for the playoffs. 

  6. 34 minutes ago, Randall Flagg said:

    A 2C, any 2C, get creative Jason! 

    Lol I'm pretty bad at accurately judging trade value, but I can try. 

    Ristolainen, Nylander for Granlund
    Ristolainen for AA from Detroit
    Risto for Kadri
    Ristolainen, stuff for Trocheck
    Ristolainen, Mitts for Cirelli, cap dumps to make it work (tampa cap dumps would likely be productive NHLers still) 

    The value needs to be tweaked on all of these, of course, but I just want them to identify a 2C that can be here for a while, and build something to make it happen. I know "it takes two to tango" and blah blah blah, but I have high expectations for somebody who turned our center depth (which was our only strength) into the worst in the league when ranking spines below the 1C. Teams are out there struggling with contracts and the cap, teams really like Ristolainen, something GOOD at that position, this offseason, is possible and I hope he's a go-getter. 

    If we're not trading Ristolainen to do it, there are some freaking glorious RFAs worth emptying the vault for. 

    You'd trade more for Cirelli than Trocheck? Or is your "stuff" in the above scenario significant? 

  7. Just now, Randall Flagg said:

    I think that's why our discourse feels like a debate - I'm fine with moving Risto (not for Miller!) but am purely talking under the assumption that the current roster is what we'll see in October, and what I'd do with that. I'll adjust accordingly when moves are made.

    Right now the other options are 
    Dahlin - Risto (Yuck!)
    Scandella - Risto (YUCK!!!)
    McCabe - Risto (not as yuck, but still a far lower ceiling than 24-55)

    And I'm not even remotely confident in Krueger picking the 1 combination out of 4 that might work. Part of why I'm so gung-ho about trading Risto is to prevent coaches from being their own worst enemy.

  8. 1 minute ago, Randall Flagg said:

    I'm quite comfortable making a lot of claims based on Nylander's minutes. For example - he should have been up over Tage at least for large stretches of time. 

    It'd be one thing if it didn't make sense that Pilut and Risto do well together....but Risto can't move the puck, it's all Pilut's good at. Pilut can't handle physical play, while Risto can move mountains. It worked because Risto didn't even bother trying to move the puck, and Pilut wasn't the focus of an overwhelming forecheck - he made himself the outlet for Risto and got the puck out from there. When I say they LOOK amazing in addition to all of their metrics being good, this is what I mean. They look like a smoothly-functioning NHL machine back there. That's not an accident, and I don't believe it's a fluke just because we know over larger sample sizes that by themselves they're good at those things. 

    If Risto stays here, I don't see how you could possibly want him to play with anyone else.

    I trust your eye and I don't have any issue with them playing together if Risto stays, but I'd have a major problem if part of the reason for not making a move is that stretch of hockey. Pilut is injured to start the season, and there's absolutely no guarantee Krueger sees what you saw or values Pilut enough at all to pair him with Risto. There's a lot of "ifs" in the keeping him scenario. 

  9. 21 hours ago, ... said:

    Sir, please proceed with your argument.

    Some of it depends on how you interpret "aggressive." I basically view it as having targets and going after them without much regard for cost. For example, Tim Murray was aggressive in going after the best winger on the market (Okposo) when, long-term ramifications aside, he probably would have gotten much better value for similar on-ice impact by going to the second tier of free agency. I think being aggressive in UFA more often causes GMs to pay good players as great players than to secure great players. It's not always bad, but I think this is a pretty common consequence of the approach. If somebody aggressively pursues Panarin and matches his ask, I don't think it's inherently a bad move because he's a truly elite player. 

  10. 15 hours ago, Randall Flagg said:

    I mean, it's not rock hard evidence, but it's over 200 minutes, not ~50 or something. We regularly make decisions and opinions about, say, which prospects we want up and where, with far less to go off of than 230 NHL minutes at even strength. And I'm not trying to dissuade a Risto trade, I'm just presuming with that lineup that he's here. If he's here, he needs to be with the guy who, outside of the late season dreck that killed everybody and made even our best players look awful, has been able to help him more than anyone else in his career, and who isn't as good away from him either. 

    Jason is still more than welcome to use Ristolainen to get a 2C. 

    200 minutes is about what Nylander has played. It's not nothing, but it's close. I bet you could find a random 200 minute stretch elsewhere in Risto's career where both eyes and metrics say he played well. 

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