So soon it will get cold, and Russians will have to survive a winter in the cold ? I can see them pull back if nothing major happens by October.
But most important the price of oil is plummeting. From 122 to 88 few days ago, starting to get difficult to finance this war still. Production cost for a barrel of oil is 50 dollar , if the price drops down to 70 he can't sell anymore at the discounts India and China want for the trouble of dealing with them.