LGR4GM

I think it will be a lot less by the time the contract even starts. They bumped the cap 1mil this offseason, no way they don't generate enough revenue with a full extra team in the league to jump the cap at least 2-4 million next season.

Idk if I'd call them meaningless. There's risk with what the Sabres just did with Tage.

Yost should have done better research. "What makes Thompson such a fascinating player is, prior to the 2021-22 season, he was struggling to maintain himself as an NHL regular. But last season, in a contract year, Thompson’s play exploded to the upside. The winger-turned-centre scored 38 goals (68 points) in a new role" Tage wasn't in a contract year.

This is true. I fully agree it's a gamble. I'm oddly comfortable with it.

What if Tage keeps getting better. Maybe 68 points is his floor.

Leino is a bad comparison. He was 27 in his supposed breakout year. In every year prior, his sh% was very consistent with 7.8, 8.7, and 7.4. As important, Leino had never cracked 100 shots before his breakout and never would again. He had a grand total of 117 shots in that year with a 16.2sh% So you had a guy with about 50 more shots than normal and who was shooting basically double his career sh% to that point. Now compare to Tage. First Tage can play center because he did it this year but let's do numbers only. Tage had his breakout at 24 not 27. He went 5.5, 6.5, and 8.3sh% in the 3 prior years. The only other year over 100 shots is the only other year he played more than half a season. As noted, Leino never came close to 200 shots and tage hit 253. Now his 15% this year is almost double his pervious year, however that 15% accounts for almost half of his shots ever taken. Again, I think if it regressed to his avg of 11.6 that's normal but I'm curious if it will. So we have to believe that 24yr old Tage managed to shoot about 50% of the total shots he's ever taken at a sh% so high he can't repeat anything in the ballpark and it just doesn't add up. Tage shooting about 250 shots at 12% makes the contract work. If Tage stays at 15% and 250 shots, it's really good. Time will tell. This article is bad. It makes 1 variable the be all end all without any context. Did you know Skinner was at his worse under Krueger? Tage's move to center not mentioned. Stafford had 4 hat tricks that year and if you calculate his sh% to that point, he should have repeated. It's a really surface level take that doesn't deserve 3 ppl posting it over 3 days.

What's performing decently? He's gonna play 20 games but... idk if I'll call his .900sv% decent. I need an option between 2 and 3 I think. But I'll pick one.

Skinner spent 2 years under Krueger. He had his worst and 2nd worst sh% under that useless coach. If Jeff gets 30g 30a for the rest of the contract, I'll call it a win

Stop posting the sh% article from the athletic already. Especially since the article is bad

And Reinhart signed the contract in a different year. Holy crap ppl. This article has been posted 3 times now

Lol, it's all good

No I didn't. See.

Exactly

They add up. 30g, 35a gets you to 65pts.

He's being paid as a 25-30g, 65pt center. Less and we're overpaying, more and it's value.

Interestingly, more ppl like this contract than the Thompson deal. I find this funny because Miller's 1st 2 seasons mirror Tages shot% numbers with a big jump in season 3.

I think both Power and Dahlin stay right around 22 and 24 minutes respectively.

He never seems to be healthy. Idk, I'm hoping this year he stays healthy and gets 50 points.

You think Reinharts rookie year Sabres are better than the 2022 Sabres, guess we'll see

Idk how Boston can get out of where they are headed without trades and 3 good drafts. Maybe they can.

Quinn is a year older than Reinhart on a better team as well.

Just to add. Tage can shoot 20% but if he drops down to 150 shots, that's a problem.

I'm saying the pundits are only talking about half the goal equation and even if Tage drops some in sh%, if he continues to get 250 shots he'll probably still be a 20 goal scorer or a 30 goal scorer. Number of shots matter and I want to see Tage get even more than 250. Idk if that makes sense or answers your question.

Reinhart upped his sh% that much. I don't think the author looked hard.