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LGR4GM

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Everything posted by LGR4GM

  1. I like Olofsson but 30goals would be an amazing season, 40 seems like a bridge too far for a guy who has never eclipsed 20goals
  2. Andrew Copp and Dylan Cozens are really interesting to compare. Copp in the last 2 years has rocked a 0.28gpg and a 0.72ppg where Cozens last year comes in with a 0.17gpg and a 0.48ppg. Copp was 26 and 27 in those years and just turned 28. Cozens was 20 last year primarily and will be 21 this year (until February). It is worth noting that Copp had .9g and 1.4a per 60 compared to Cozens at .6g and 1.2a per 60 so when adjusting for TOI the numbers edge closer. Realistically then can we hope/expect Cozens to play at 21 near the level Copp is offensively at 28? I want to argue yes. Cozens has only played 120 games compared to Copps 555 so I would hope Cozens hasn't hit his ceiling yet. I bring all this up because the idea that Detroit is better hinges somewhat on the 2nd line. Skinner- Tage - Tuch matches well with Detroits top line but the 2nd line of ???? - Cozens - ???? can match well with detroits 2nd line. For example Mitts - Cozens - Olofsson would really have as much potential as Detroit. I wrote all of this because I wanted to get to the 3rd line where I think Buffalo really starts to tilt the table. If Mitts - Cozens - Olofsson can be equivalent to Detroit than when we get to the 3rd line we can be truly better. Quinn - Asplund?Krebs? - Okposo easily has more potential than DOMINIK KUBALIK- PIUS SUTER- FILIP ZADINA as realistically Quinn should top Zadina's 30ish points (yes, he should), Asplund Krebs should get 40 like Suter, and than Okposo is easily matching Kubalik IMPO. Idk, this was really just a thought exercise for me. If Cozens breaks out and Mitts stays healthy the 2nd line could be great. If Quinn is what he looks like and Krebs or Asplund hold down that 3rd line center option, we are sitting pretty. Should be interesting but at worst I see parity with Detroit.
  3. Simon Edvinsson might not even make the team. Seider is good for sure but I don't think he can carry that team and they remind me an awful lot of the 2020 Sabres where you can role out 2 decent lines and then have some JAGS filling out your roster. Here is Detroit's projected forward lines LUCAS RAYMOND- DYLAN LARKIN- TYLER BERTUZZI (solid first line with upside) JAKUB VRANA- ANDREW COPP- DAVID PERRON (I think Copp overachieved last year even though I do like him. He shot 25% in his NYR games which is absurd and realistically he is probably a 15g, 30a center. I do like Perron still and he's good for 60pts. Vrana shooting 20% seems unlikely but he's probably a 55pt player if he can stay in the lineup for 82 games) DOMINIK KUBALIK- PIUS SUTER- FILIP ZADINA (Suter might hit 40pts so he's an okay 3rd line center. Zadina has yet to breakout and has major questions, maybe 40pts but that would be a career high for him after only 24pts last year. Kubalik isn't the 30g player his first year makes him look like and is most likely a 15g, 15a guy so again, decent 3rd line but nothing really exciting here.) ADAM ERNE- MICHAEL RASMUSSEN- OSKAR SUNDQVIST (Rasmussen has breakout potential but so far we are talking a better Zemgus level of player with 25pts likely. Sundqvist is a 20pt 4th line winger. Erne is a 20pt 4th line winger) Really the only 2 good lines they have are the first 2 and that 2nd line really will depend on Copp being good and Perron not declining with age. The defensive pairs are this: BEN CHIAROT MORITZ SEIDER (Seider is really good but Chiarot is not and much like Ristolainen or Jokiharju he won't be good in a top pairing role. Chariot had good possession metrics in Florida where there is enough offense to offset what he is but in Montreal he was bad. If this was the 2nd pairing, I could see it working but Seider isn't a 2nd pairing guy so unless Chiarot can just get the puck to him, I hate it.) OLLI MAATTA FILIP HRONEK (Maatta is okay-ish but nothing spectacular. He is probably good for about 20pts and he is probably okay defensively on the 2nd pairing. Hronek gets points and at 5v5 but man are his possesion numbers bad. He is young and could take a step with Maatta as his partner but I would label them at best an average 2nd pairing. I would in no way say they are better than Power and Boosh.) SIMON EDVINSSON GUSTAV LINDSTROM (if Edvinsson makes the team it will be NA ice and as a rookie so idk what that will look like but I have concerns here. Lindstrom is a 5/6 defender that can play up in a pinch but nothing special.) When I look at Detroit overall I see a team that is relying on vets they signed in UFA to fill holes and also is relying on not much as else going wrong. Their center depth is bad and idk if Copp is a true 2nd line center. On defense Idk how I could argue that Dahlin - Muel, Power - Boosh, Bryson - Joker is not as good as their defense and honestly, I think the top 2 pairings can be better than their defense. Dahlin is lesser defensively than Seider but better offensively. Muel IMPO is a better defender than what Chiarot will bring. Idk, I just don't see Detroit as a really good team, they remind me of the 2020 Sabres where lines were filled out with UFAs or guys that you had to bank on being good. The difference is Buffalo is relying on youth to improve in the form of Cozens, Krebs, Quinn, JJP as opposed to looking at Copp, Kubalik, Perron to maintain their play. We will find out soon enough I suppose.
  4. The team added more players than the offseason would imply and this isn't a team learning Granato's system while unlearning Krueger's. So either they majorly overachieved at the end or that is a reflection for who and what they are.
  5. I see no way the Sabres are worse than Montreal, Seattle, Arizona, Philly, Chicago, Islanders, and the RedWings (I don't believe in the redwings). Toss in Anaheim, San Jose, and Winnipeg as other teams I think we will be better than.
  6. I will bet you money the Sabres are not a bottom 5 team in the NHL.
  7. I think Dahlin will wear a letter as well.
  8. Just remember, every team has excuses for why they didn't succeed.
  9. For the CHL, if you turn 20 on or before December 31st, you are eligible to be assigned to the AHL.
  10. No one outside of Buffalo cares about the Sabres. They have been largely irrelevant to the rest of the league for a decade.
  11. I don't understand how anyone looks at Detroits defense and thinks it's good.
  12. How do I bookmark a post?
  13. Im not convinced they send Kozak back to the WHL but they can if they want. Will depend on his tournament and what's best for his development.
  14. If someone has a stroke, is it ischemic of hemorrhagic? Ischemic is far more treatable, from my understanding, than a brain bleed (hemorrhagic).
  15. I'll take the over but hopeium and the like might make me wrong.
  16. Half-empty: Skinner: scored only 21 goals in the 2 seasons prior to last year combined - Krueger seasons Tuch: has topped 18 goals and 37 points just once in his career - Buried in Vegas Thompson: just 35 points in 145 NHL games prior to last year - Move to center Olofsson: has never topped 20 goals or 49 points - Injuries but I will take a 50pt olofsson Okposo: averaged just 8 goals and 12 assists over the 3 seasons prior to last year - Finally healthy Cozens: 13 goals is his career high - Primed for 3rd year breakout Mittelstadt: career highs of 12 goals and 25 points came 4 years ago - ummm fingers crossed? Asplund: career high for goals is just 8 - He's fine Krebs: career high for goals is just 7 - he was a rookie Peterka: has played only 2 NHL games - well ya, it's his rookie year now Quinn: has played only 2 NHL games - well ya, it's his rookie year now Ralph Krueger is an aggravated hernia
  17. I would add that Kyrou also had the Tage shooting percentage arc of bad the first year and then improvement up to around 14%.
  18. He played for: Michigan from 10/8-12/4/2021 (18gms) WJC Canada from 12/26-12/282021 (2gms) Michigan from 1/8-1/22/2022 (6gms) Olympics Canada from 2/10-2/16/2022 (5gms) Michigan from 2/25-4/7/2022 (9gms) and Buffalo from 4/12-4/29/2022 (8gms) That is 4 different teams and 48games
  19. Aren't 2 of those defenders injured to start the year though?
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