LGR4GM

You are familiar with sh% then. For example if TNT has a sh% of 15 that means on every 100 shots he takes we expect him to get 15 goals. Sh% is a function of Goals/Shots. For GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) instead of applying sh% to a player, it gets applied to type of shot + location on ice where shot is taken. Instead of TNT having a sh% of 15, Wrist Shot from the Right Circle has a Sh% of say 10%. That is every wrister from that spot on the ice across the league. You then take the decimal for that (0.1) and over the course of a game, you add that up. So if there are 10 wrist shots taken from the right circle, that would be 10x0.1 and get you 1 goal. If your goalie saves all those shots, they would have 1 goal saved above expected because we expected 1 goal out of those 10 shots. Basically you are replacing a players sh% with a % that is (Type of Shot + Location) and then using the decimal point to cumulatively count up the value of those shots. League wide shots on average shots are usually worth like 0.1 goals per shot taken (roughly) so over the course of a game where a team shoots 30 times, you end up with 3 goals on average. If your goalie allows fewer than 3 goals, that gets subtracted so they saved say 1goal above expected. I am using simple math here because usually you see an GSAx at like 3.27 or something like that. Hope that helps. Just think of Shot Type + Location as a player and apply sh% to that, then add that up over the course of a game. There are more complicated GSAx formulas but they all basically have this underlying them. Some take into account individual players taking the shot or shot speed, or pre shot movement etc... but they still look at Location and Shot Type.

No he didn't. This thread is based on nothing. Literally nothing.

There's a Czechia and Slovakia Sabres fan group that has been here for a week and the Sabres have done a bunch of stuff with/for them. They've been very fun at games if anyone has seen them.

UPL

Ftr, the dumbest thing I've said here was that Zemgus was as good as ROR, and I was very very wrong. Shootout to @TrueBlueGED our long lost friend for being right.

I would agree that he hasn't been very good. I just think he's still giving you more than Bryson but maybe not. Bryson hasn't played so he could surprise us.

Sorry MVP I lied. Hadn't seen this post from Johninminn yet. I had my cat, Alfonso, read it to me.

Well I can't read so, idk what you want from me.

Zemgus, loving it.

No, I have never read any of my own posts. Didn't know one could do that. Thank you for your wisdom and bravery.

This is the dumbest ***** post I've ever read on this board.

I was trying to figure out if hell froze over with how cold and snowy it's been, but the Sabres still don't go to the slot so... nope.

Or Cozens is injured and Mitts is already the teams 2nd line if not 1st line center... Or what you said.

Thumb? Think you mean boot. Stop, you are absolutely talking politics. NBC shouldn't have edited the clip the way they did. We can all move on.

Yup, totally stupid at this point.

Hearing Rick hurt a little. I remember where I was and who I was with when the goal was scored.

It doesn't matter because what I said is still true. I am using the word true because correct isn't the correct word. Levi's last start was against Seattle where he was bad, that was 8 days ago. The Sabres have played 3 games since then and all of them went to UPL. So if they do give Levi the start we have about 8 days in between starts and sure enough it is 1 game out of 4.

No it doesn't. It comes down to Levi being terrible over the last month and instead of getting starts and development, starting every 4th game and looking like flaming trash. So either way that 4th Sabres game gets trash goaltending except now, Levi doesn't get game reps because he plays once every 10 days. You're shortsighted in this and I'm not inclined to both sides that.

Levi played 4 good games after coming back from Rochester. He then had 5 of 6 bad games with his only decent performance against a terrible Montreal team. He should be in Rochester.

Sending Levi to Rochester is what serious organizations focused on winning do. He's been bad in Buffalo this year. Not really, no. No he hasn't. I like Levi but anyone defending his overall play this season is delusional, he's been bad in every game but like 6. He needs consistent starts in Rochester. Adams ***** up.

Why? They Sabres have never even made the playoffs under Pegula.

Worried about the defensive injuries. The Chiefs will target Elam all day cuz he's that meh. Really hope we get some positive injury news and go Bills!