LGR4GM

I suppose you could use a players sh% as some kind of multi plier or you could compare that player to league average from that spot and adjust. So if Tage has 100 shots from the spot and 7 go in but the league only has 5, you could average the two and give it a .06xgf. Hmm, I'd have to think about it and would need a statistician to really do that work. Yes goals are the end all be all but goals are rare. Cozens for example just had a strange season he's gonna bounce back from but his xgf helps there. It's also why last offseason everyone public model predicted a Sabres scoring regression. Sure, shooting talent matters and you can consistently be above your xgf but if you're multiple standard deviations above, that doesn't work. The other thing if I were a team, I'd classify each player into a cohort 1-4 based on their shooting talent. You could then adjust the xgf by player cohort. If you're a top 25% shooter in the league the avg sh% is .08 but if you're a bottom 25% it's .04 and that would really help adjust the xgf. I'm unsure of how granular the private nhl tracking data is. Once you have 3 years of data though, I'd bet the numbers could be stabilized with a confidence interval because they should fall on a bell curve.

The catch is I don't think they account for shooting talent. Meaning a Krebs shot is worth a Tage shot in xgf because it's based on league average. Maybe team models do? That's why you need a data engineer in your analytics team.

He's alive. Oddly one of the only ppl here I've ever met and I ran into him yesterday.

They look it shot data from around the league. So if 100 players take a wrist shot from spot X on the ice and 5 go in, then wrist shots on that spot have a .05 chance of being a goal or a 0.05 expected goal. So you add all the shots in a game up. The more advanced models can take into account things like puck movement before the shot and player in front of the net but you still get a percentage.

I hope you find something better Brawndo. It really is awful they did it while you're on vacation and via zoom. It's also ridiculous with how short staffed Healthcare already is. Take luck.

He has a contract for the 24/25 season so 1 year.

Benson is a rare kid. I don't see finding that in this draft at 11. I'd add that if, with our prospect pool, the 11 overall pick is on the Sabres in the fall, then Kevyn Adams has failed miserably. I would call the offseason a dumpster fire if that happens.

Sorry, that sucks

Not offended. Should have added a tongue out emoji 😝

Comparing the two players sharing the crease next year is silly? I did

Yea, he's played 60 SHL games over the last 2 years.

The Sabres need to add UFAs or players via trade that make it highly improbable any rookies make the team. Ryan Johnson should be a Sabre full time. They have a massive logjam at lhd now and the Byram trade just looks bizarre tbh. I'm not sure I'd return any ufas and I'd look at trading Krebs and Jokiharju for nhl veteran players

The Sabres drafting has improved under Karmanos, Ventura and company. We're starting to see that as these guys trickle over to NA.

I've seen parts of this. I should read it but the general gist is investment growth outpaces productivity growth Terry gets about 1 billion in cash and yes the 25% owner would probably get first right of refusal for 100% when Pegula sells.

Why would they be forced to sell? Hmm?

Wasn't signed long term and the writing was on the wall for a long time he might be traded. I mean someone that has term left and is still here.

You think Pegula is going to sell both teams because of Estate Taxes. Oh man, ppl really do buy the crap rich ppl shovel. "Forces the family to sell" give me a break. Pegula will owe estate taxes regardless of the Bills or Sabres. The guy is worth Billions of dollars.

I think they need to pick a rostered player under contract and part of the "core" and make a hockey trade. Send the message that this isn't a beach club.

I heard Ryan Reynolds likes hockey. Maybe Terry should call him.

You talking about the fans that picked Hasek over Puppa and Fuhr or the fans that picked Miller over Biron? Just asking so I know.

lmao "estate taxes become more burdensome" go home Tim, no one gives a flying F about Pegula eventually having to pay an estate tax.