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Everything posted by LGR4GM
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No this is what the owner wants cuz because he's a nostalgia fruit. That and it's a pr move to sell season tickets.
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When you boil that off you get a coach who's only made the playoffs in 3 of what 8 years? Never passed round what? 2, 1?
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Must be nice. I'm depressed over the easy lazy hire.
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What's his win% since leaving?
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Why?
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The bar in Buffalo is so low its pathetic
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What's his record since leaving Buffalo?
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... they did not.
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Who will be the next Head Coach of the Buffalo Sabres?
LGR4GM replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
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Thanks for the years and the goals. If the Sabres want to take the next step, olofsson can't be on this roster.
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I argued for this all year. Play the puck from low and behind the net.
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I mean, I love Ladd McConkey so I have no issue with this. There's about 3 guys in this window I am good with. McConkey is the safest probably.
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Samuels is a slot receiver and McConkey is not. And I don't mean, he sorta isn't, I mean flat out McConkey was not used much at all in the slot. At Georgia there simply is never a reason too. James Cook took those snaps, Bowers takes those snaps, other less talented WR take those snaps (Lovett). Ladd was primarily used on the outside, I think I saw something like 76% of his routes were outside routes. That all said, I would trade up for Brian Thomas Jr. because while McConkey has great speed and hands, I think Thomas has very good speed and hands but also has that extra height and weight. You are trading McConkey's YAC and excellent route running for Thomas Jr size/speed combo. Indianapolis would be a great trade up target.
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General comments on End of Year Locker Clean Out Interviews
LGR4GM replied to Pimlach's topic in The Aud Club
I lot of us tried to point out why it was a giant red flag but a vocal minority yelled about how the stick salute didn't matter. It was a red flag, this team doesn't get it. -
If Buffalo had made the playoffs, they'd have gotten boat raced. There's a league of differences and an offseason of self reflection and script reading ain't getting the Sabres jack *****.
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Who will be the next Head Coach of the Buffalo Sabres?
LGR4GM replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
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I suppose you could use a players sh% as some kind of multi plier or you could compare that player to league average from that spot and adjust. So if Tage has 100 shots from the spot and 7 go in but the league only has 5, you could average the two and give it a .06xgf. Hmm, I'd have to think about it and would need a statistician to really do that work. Yes goals are the end all be all but goals are rare. Cozens for example just had a strange season he's gonna bounce back from but his xgf helps there. It's also why last offseason everyone public model predicted a Sabres scoring regression. Sure, shooting talent matters and you can consistently be above your xgf but if you're multiple standard deviations above, that doesn't work. The other thing if I were a team, I'd classify each player into a cohort 1-4 based on their shooting talent. You could then adjust the xgf by player cohort. If you're a top 25% shooter in the league the avg sh% is .08 but if you're a bottom 25% it's .04 and that would really help adjust the xgf. I'm unsure of how granular the private nhl tracking data is. Once you have 3 years of data though, I'd bet the numbers could be stabilized with a confidence interval because they should fall on a bell curve.
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The catch is I don't think they account for shooting talent. Meaning a Krebs shot is worth a Tage shot in xgf because it's based on league average. Maybe team models do? That's why you need a data engineer in your analytics team.
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He's alive. Oddly one of the only ppl here I've ever met and I ran into him yesterday.
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They look it shot data from around the league. So if 100 players take a wrist shot from spot X on the ice and 5 go in, then wrist shots on that spot have a .05 chance of being a goal or a 0.05 expected goal. So you add all the shots in a game up. The more advanced models can take into account things like puck movement before the shot and player in front of the net but you still get a percentage.