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LGR4GM

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Everything posted by LGR4GM

  1. If there are 32 teams, and each team has a least 12 forwards, that means there are 384 forwards if all teams were playing give or take a few. That also means the top 1-96 would be the top 75-100th percentile, the 97-192 the 50-74th percentile, the 193-288 the 25-49th percentile, and the 289-384 the bottom 1-24th percentile or roughly 96 1st line, 97-192 2nd line, 193-288 3rd line, and 289 to 384 4th line forwards. While this is rough math, Zach Benson is closer to the 2nd line group than the 4th line group. Also saying someone was 201 without telling us 201 out of what? is almost useless. I graduated 201 in my class sounds terrible until I say my class was 20,000 ppl. Benson was tied for 219 out of 403 forwards who played at least 41 NHL games with 30 points. That puts him firmly into 3rd line territory. Benson was 225 in ppg (0.42ppg) which also leaves him in the 3rd line territory approaching the 2nd line threshold. Not bad for an 18yr old kid but certainly far and away above the 4th line level of production. He would need to drop about 0.1 ppg to get into the top of the 4th line land (287 overall) and if he went up a 0.1ppg would be firmly in 2nd line territory (171 overall).
  2. Has literally nothing to do with the conversation or what happened last night at all.
  3. I'm sorry, I just don't care what the Chiefs do.
  4. My Falcon friends are melting down.
  5. Oooooooo *holds out his pistol*
  6. Nah, but quick question... Hey what's that place you like with all the goofy ***** on the wall and the mozzarella sticks?
  7. Just order a large, farva. I don't want a large farva. I want a gd liter of cola!
  8. You boys like mex-ee-coo!?!?
  9. I feel same. Think it will be Dahlin but Tuch is possible.
  10. Literring and, littering and, littering and...
  11. Just quoting for posterity
  12. I hate the islanders.
  13. Ruff with Marty Biron yesterday
  14. Can I ask why? he had 11g, 19a compared to JJP with 12g, 20a in his rookie year and JJP was in the top 6 in year two and flourished.
  15. Or he was the only guy around because the season is over and Dahlin has already gone home to Sweden.
  16. as in he is heavier or lighter?
  17. If Taylor Swift were to buy the Sabres in this hypothetical, Ryan Reynolds would almost certainly be her co-owner. Bring on the deadpool and all of the swifties
  18. Somewhere in this thread there is a tweet about the names they put in a trademark application on.
  19. JJP had a good year. He went from 12g and 20a to 28g and 22a at the ripe old age of 22. He was durable playing all 82 games this season, the only Sabre to do so followed closely by Dahlin with 81gp. Lets take a look at his GF%, xGF%, HDCF%, and xGF/60 (goals for %, expected goals for %, high danger corsi for %, and expected goals per 60mins of toi) At 5v5: 57.01gf% (2nd), 51.46xGF% (2nd), 48.84hdcf% (3rd), and 2.75xGF/60 (2nd). JJP was one of the best forwards on the team this past season and outside of Quinn having a higher xGF/60 the other players above him are gone (Mitts and Okposo). While ever Sabre needs to better at hdcf% and should be under Ruff, JJP took advantage of his opportunities and we see that reflected in his 28goals this season. PP stats: 68.75GF% (8th), 81.63xGF% (8th), 75.76HDCF% (8th), and 5.1xGF/60 (8th). Once again we find one of our better producers just turning into muck on the pp. There is so much evidence the pp is just total ***** and should be burned and never spoken of again that the fact they did nothing all year to address it is... something. Why did this happen to JJP and Benson? Hard to say but it could be that the 2nd pp unit was just nowhere near as good as Tuch, Thompson, Cozens, Skinner and Okposo all come out looking better. I think for me it says that like Benson there is more scoring to unlock here and we should be able to next season. Final thought on the numbers is that once the line of JJP - Tage - Tuch was put in place they managed 156min toi and in that time managed a 72.22GF% while only having an xGF of 43.95. Interestingly that xGF goes over 50% when it is JJP with just Tage and when it is JJP with just Tuch in the limited minutes those players were paired together. I think there could be a case that the xGF% is low because they used their really good shooting skills more than relying on HD chances which would have pumped up the xGF more. It is a time when talent is beating out chances and to be honest, that might continue. JJP only shot at 12.4% so he isn't some crazy sniper with an unsustainable number (Reinhart shot 24.5% on a career avg of 13.6% for example, buyer beware). Peterka had about as good of a second season under the circumstances as we could have hoped for. He was solid defensively while being quite good offensively to the point he replaced Jeff Skinner. I think there is still more though and getting more pucks to HD areas will help some of the imbalance we see between actual and expected goals. Yes good shooters will outperform their xGF regularly but in JJP case, I want to see the uptick in assists I think he can generate. Still it appears as though JJP himself can get to the good shooting areas and convert. I hope it continues and I hope he continues to improve. He added 18 more points this past season, 16 of those goals, so there is a good chance that with more scoring and a better system his assists totals rocket up as well. I don't think looking at him as a 25g, 35a guy is too crazy. What a great 2nd round pick he is and what a great move up to get him (traded 38 and 100 to get up to 34).
  20. Sidenote: Benson had a 11.22sh% this season which is higher than I thought. do I mean the poster or Briere?!?!?!????
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