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LGR4GM

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Everything posted by LGR4GM

  1. Matthew Schaefer, 6'2" lhd has 22pts in 17 ohl games and is garnering lots of top 3 draft pick love.
  2. Peyton Krebs had almost 200 games played and even though he wasn't that good, he was vigorously defended by many. Jack Quinn has 128 games and until the last 24 looked good. He lost confidence in himself and needs to reset. Jack Quinn will be fine.
  3. I think waiving jack quinn would be a massive mistake.
  4. Neither Quinn nor Cozens are waiver exempt. Neither can be sent to Rochester unless on conditioning assignments or by passing through waivers. Cozens should be Demoted off the 2nd line. He's a Pegula favorite so doubt it happens.
  5. Nah, they're thinking "okay, it will suck but in 5 years all be traded and win a cup"
  6. Misa and Martone still looking good.
  7. You kidding? They literally traded Sam Reinhart a 50g scorer and Stanley cup winner to Florida for... magic beans.
  8. You know what. ***** it.
  9. This encapsulates most of the internet these days. You "feel" something else is better because you understand it better. Granted, there's literally statistical testing that nhl teams use for this. There's all the public data that demonstrates xgf correlates better to on ice performance than +- but it's 2024, where everything's made up and the facts don't matter. That's right the facts are like a diet on Christmas. So "umm nope" your misinformation back to ignorance mountain. It's a statistical fact xgf is a better indicator of on ice performance when compared to +- whether your feelings are different or not. It has nothing to do with me at all. Here's a great xgf talk and it mentions the weaknesses. You should read it or take some classes on stats and probability https://insidetherink.com/inside-the-stats-expected-goals/ It's not.
  10. It's not. Statistically it simply isn't worse than +/- and that's a fact. It shouldn't be used for game by game comparison impo.
  11. Luke Richardson was fired by Chicago. Anders Sorenson is the new interim hc.
  12. Logan Stanley isn't good!?!?
  13. +/- doesn't correlate well to good v bad play. It's more flawed than expected goals.
  14. You are answering your own question. If he could do the job, he wouldn't simply be Terry's yes man because that isn't doing the job. He would find ways to convince Terry of his better ideas. If he can't than he can't do the job.
  15. Sidenote: Zach Benson is going to be amazing in this league for a long time. When you put him with Cozens and Quinn, they jump up to a 56.98xgf%. Thats shocking because their HDCF is awful at 35.29. Also, Benson rocks a 57.77xgf with everyone else not named Cozens/Quinn. The dude does 2 things better than anyone else on this team, gets possession of pucks, puts them in areas where teammates should be scoring.
  16. It tells us the +/- even strength goal differential and you are correct, it should not be used to compare across teams. The issue is there are just more stable and better stats that give us a better understanding. For example xGF%. Jack Quinn is 7th on the team (out of 15 forwards) in xGF% at 49.44 which is still below 50% so he needs to be better but he is about even at getting and giving x goals. However, and I couldn't find the exact number because I forgot where to look, Quinn is -4 or 5 expected goals to date. His plus minus does reflect that but at 5 on 5 he is actually not a major negative. He just hasn't scored to go with his chances which we could argue is the only thing that matters. Further +/- does not account for the teammates you have. Everyone wants to crap on Quinn because he isn't scoring, which is fair btw. However a closer look tells me that while Quinn isn't doing great right now, Cozens is a ***** boat anchor tied to his neck. Quinn with Cozens has an xGF of 44.92% but you put Quinn with anyone else and it jumps up to 54.95xGF% and Cozens stays right at 44.53%. They have a 2nd line center problem and Quinn isn't playing well enough this year to compensate. If I were Buffalo, I would be seriously considering whether or not we should keep Cozens. Basically +/- tells us a bit but there are more stats out there that correlate to good or bad hockey better. Quinn's on ice sh% is 4.32 which is worse than every single player not named Jiri Kulich. Because he isn't scoring goals, his line isn't scoring goals, and subsequently his +/- is awful. Our best forwards are Tage, Tuch, and Benson. They drive quality chances in favor of the Sabres. Peterka and Zucker are still looking okay there too. All these stats are at 5v5 where the majority of +/- comes from.
  17. Caveman got the most important parts right. He did Team A @ Team B and he put the time. The @ really helps with knowing if we are home or away without looking it up. Sometimes in my old age I forget.
  18. Jack Quinn played better than Jj Peterka last game.
  19. Sabres calling up Johnson like:
  20. Ryan Johnson was recalled so we can assume Dahlin is out.
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