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Everything posted by dudacek
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GDT Buffalo Sabres @ Florida Panthers Sat. 4/13 5pm ESPN+ MSG & WGR Radio
dudacek replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
But Adams thought he was making the playoffs this season adding the players he did. He's always told us his plan was collecting young talent and nurturing them toward success and promised us it will work. By specific conviction, do you mean acquiring clearly better players to push the Peterkas, Quinns, Powers, Byrums and Bensons further down the depth chart, or even moving some of those players to acquire more established ones? Not arguing, just wanting you to expand on what you're actually hoping to see. -
GDT Buffalo Sabres @ Florida Panthers Sat. 4/13 5pm ESPN+ MSG & WGR Radio
dudacek replied to HOUSE's topic in The Aud Club
I realize that for most of us right now, it’s all about ending the drought. From a league-wide perspective, the Sabres are no different than a dozen other playoff bubble teams in the mix for the final few spots. Next year a couple teams from that group will be next year’s Vancouver and Nashville and a couple teams above that group will be next year’s New Jersey. I don’t think the Canucks jumped because they became urgent, or the Devils fell because they didn’t. 3 teams are tied for the last wild card spot right now: Detroit had about as “urgent” an off-season as any team. Philly and Washington looked like they were writing the year off to rebuild. Identify the holes and fix them as best you can. -
Don’t need to tell you guys about the flaws of +/-. But within that context it does give you some indication of how successful a player has been in his role and relative to his team. On a team that is -7, 20-year-old Nikita Novikov is +19, far and away the best on the Amerks. He has 23 points in 62 games. No idea what the underlying metrics and eye test is saying, but the numbers look promising. Mattias Samuelsson had 12 points in 23 games as a 20-year-old rookie, and was -8 on an inferior Amerks team.
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Why should Granato and the assistants be brought back?
dudacek replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Whatever should happen, what will happen is Granato will be back with a few new assistants, most significantly Seth Appert, who will be the coach in waiting if the Sabres are sucking in November. That’s how Adams rolls. -
Breaking: Hoppe says to expect firings, trades
dudacek replied to PASabreFan's topic in The Aud Club
Is this mostly or entirely about Leinonen? Forton has overseen 3 drafts. This kinda feels like you're arbitrarily deciding he got talked into "good" picks and owns the "bad" ones. I've always kinda thought Leinonen was a Kevyn Adams call; as in Adams decided he desperately needed to draft a goalie that year and was going to reach off his list to do it if he had to. The guy(s) who honed in on Leinonen specifically to be that goalie, I have no idea. Well, actually I have no idea about any of this; it's just the impression I got from talk in and around the pick. -
I haven't particularly noticed the "against stars" thing, but I'll watch for it, and it fits. Owen Power still across as a baby in terms of his maturity. He comes across as a responsible, polite, kinda nerdy introvert whose mom and dad always loved him, and is quitting his job packing groceries to head off to college.
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No. Do you think what any fan thinks about that matters much in the context of this conversation? Do you think him saying “I believe in my teammates and I’m not going to rest until we reach the playoffs” is not representing the team well in the community or the media, or setting a good tone for his teammates? I know some of you look at the “youth” thing as an excuse and I buy that in terms of Adams could have and still can get older players. But in terms of the locker room, I see it as simple truth: many of these players are talented and inexperienced and should get better. And if I’m leading this group, that’s an integral part of the message I’m sending the Powers and the Peterkas and any other kids Adams sends my way: I believe in you guys; if you keep working and learning, you will have success. And then I hold them accountable for getting better. There may be flaws in its execution, or the players receiving it, but there’s absolutely nothing wrong with the message.
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Well there’s this unforgivable comment “I want the Buffalo Sabres in the playoffs, and I’m never going to give up, and I think we’re close,” Dahlin said prior to Thursday’s 4-2 win over the Washington Capitals in the home finale at KeyBank Center. “I think we are a really good team. I think we’re the youngest team in the league, so, well, it sucked that we didn’t get in, but we have learned so many things from this year that we have to bring into next year and get better.”
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This is amazing to me: The Sabres, Devils and Red Wings each have 38 wins. The Islanders, Flyers, Penguins and Capitals each have 37. Three of those teams will make the playoffs. Four will not. Anybody who watches hockey knows the difference between each of those teams is a few deflections here and a few bobbled passes there. What’s been so confounding about the current team for me is not that they are terrible like most Sabres teams of the past decade, it’s that they are finally good enough to be part of the great band of mediocre that comprises about 40% of the NHL. And they still didn’t make it. Twice. It simply shouldn’t be that hard to find the one straw that pushes them to the front of that pack.
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Breaking: Hoppe says to expect firings, trades
dudacek replied to PASabreFan's topic in The Aud Club
Hoppe has gotta be at least 2 decades younger than Terry. Are you sure you aren’t mixing him up with another suburban sportswriter, Chuck Pollock? https://www.oleantimesherald.com/sports/pollock-don-t-expect-me-to-criticize-bills-sabres-owners/article_8e94de6e-27ca-11e7-940b-1b83486bdd3c.html -
I’ve given up responding, but all the homework is on the site somewhere. He did trade a ton of draft capital, but he also acquired a ton of draft capital. I believe the net was he acquired more than he dealt. No one remembers Chris Stewart for a 2nd, or Matt Moulson for 2 2nds. Not sure if this is comprehensive but it will give you a general overview. http://www.nhltradetracker.com/user/trade_list_by_GM/Tim_Murray/274
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My point was that Dahlin hardly seemed “not in it with them” like Inky suggests. He was engaged the entire time with 2 caps and a linesman. (Unlike a certain #8) This one shows Dahlin starting things in response to Oshie’s hit on Tage.
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Yep, 26 was basically grabbed by the official from the beginning but he was swinging and his gloves come off. Basically, it should have been him and Oshie, but Strome and the ref grabbed Dahlin and Clifton grabbed Oshie
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Guess I gotta rewatch, but my memory was Dahlin being heavily engaged with someone in the scrum while the linesman was draped all over him and TJ Oshie was jumping on his back. Then he and Oshie got engaged directly with more official interference. He was definitely in the thick of things.
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Not something I personally put a ton of stock in. I was actually most interested in the fact of how close the three were using that calculation given how hard it is to compare their three different leagues. I think we all have our favourites when it comes to playing armchair GM, but until they're all Sabres — or at least Amerks — it's pretty hard to tell which is better kept and which should be dangled.
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Points per game projected over 82 games for each
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I saw Kulich, Savoie and Östlund's stats this year run through an NHLe calculator this week: 24, 24 and 28 points respectively over a full NHL season.
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He did it because he was the Rick Martin Award winner. Anyone who doesn't think it's going to be Dahlin hasn't been paying attention. Neither has anyone who doesn't think it should be Dahlin. I honestly wonder if there's some weird mix of Euro-bias and people who are still thinking of 18-year-old Dahlin when this conversation happens. He's the best player, the hardest worker, the guy who sticks his nose in the most, and the guy who cares the most. I hope the "stand-up for his teammates" crowd was watching how that meeting of the minds at the end of tonight's game got started. If his name Stemhavolinski and he had a five-o'clock shadow the poll would be unanimous.
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Maybe. But if you applied a similar exercise this year to Thompson, Tuch, Cozens and Skinner I doubt the results would be nearly as shiny, especially when you add the power play to the equation. Whether it's commitment, culture, coaching or circumstance at fault, a significant portion of the failures of this season can be laid at the feet of our top forwards.
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Absolutely this. Power still plays the game too often like he's a full-grown man playing against a pack of 12-year-olds and he doesn't want to hurt or embarrass anybody. What I need to see from him is less about punishing people and more about defensive assertiveness. His is a game is built on patience, finesse and thinking one step ahead, but there are so many instances where what's needed is just the simple elimination of "your" man. You don't need to hurt him, you don't need to worry about your next play, you just need to step up with authority to prevent him from making his.
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I thought this was interesting: ES points Adam Fox 37 Owen Power 26 Hits Adam Fox 43 Owen Power 43 Blocked shots Adam Fox 116 Owen Power 109 giveaways/60 Adam Fox 1.18 Owen Power 1.29 penalties taken/60 Adam Fox 0.67 Owen Power. 0.36 ES ice time Adam Fox 18:26 Owen Power 19.:29 Possession Adam Fox 53.7 Owen Power 51.8 Goals for % Adam Fox 54.4 Owen Power 54.2
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Here are some things people should know about contracts before they dig in about Owen Power: This year he had the salary cap hit of a 7th defenceman ($916K) This year, the median 1st-pairing defenceman cap hit was about $6.5M Next year he will be paid like an above-average 1st-pairing defenceman ($8.35M) Next year, the median 1st-pairing defenceman cap hit will be between $7-7.5M (depending on free agent signings) Every year for the next 7, Power's contract will likely be passed by a handful of players until at the end of his contract he will be getting paid like a good 2nd-pairing defenceman Here are some things people should know about performance before they dig in about Owen Power: he produced total points like a 1st-pairing defenceman he produced ES points like a 1st-pairing defenceman he ate ice time like a 1st-pairing defenceman he threw hits like a borderline 2nd/3rd pairing defenceman he blocked shots like a 2nd-pairing defenceman he avoided giveaways like a 2nd-pairing defenceman he forced takeaways like a 2nd-pairing defenceman he avoided taking penalties like a 1st-pairing defenceman he had the shot attempt possession numbers of a 1st-pairing defenceman he had the goals-for-% numbers of a 1st-pairing defenceman he had the expected-goals-for numbers of a 1st-pairing defenceman he had the expected-goals-against numbers of a 2nd-pairing defenceman And by 1st, 2nd and 3rd, I mean he ranked in the top, middle or bottom 3rd of the league's defencemen who played at least 60 games. He's also apparently the NHL's best stretch passer but I could not find any stats on zone exits created or prevented. He was one of just 6 U22 defencemen to play 70 NHL games this year.
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Haven't really watched Novikov this year so it's hard for me to compare. But Samuelsson was a noticeable stud at the AHL level: offensively fine and defensively dominant. If Novikov is near that level as a rookie, I'd be pleasantly surprised and pretty excited.
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For context, the article ranks Samuelsson 15th in the entire league. His peers include Hampus Lindholm, Brandon Carlo, Brady Skjei and Brayden McNabb Mattias Samuelsson’s promising defensive profile explains why the Sabres signed him to a seven-year, $4.285 million AAV extension at the start of last season. The problem? He can’t seem to stay healthy. The hulking 24-year-old defenseman was limited to 41 games this season and 55 the year before. Durability, not talent, is the concern with Samuelsson and his contract right now. The model weighs heavily for tough matchups and top 4 ice time and is only about shot suppression during ES play. The author (Harman Dayal) says: This is, of course, only an analytical perspective. The numbers obviously can’t capture everything, especially for defense. That means this exercise isn’t so much a definitive ranking, but rather a conversation starter. You can look at the initial list and then apply your own eye test, context and knowledge — it’s all about how you interpret the data. There will be plenty of quality shutdown defenders who don’t land on this list.