rakish

There's a book out there called the Genius of Crowds by Charles Bukowski. Though I've been drinking, I will try to make my argument coherent. Bukowski argued that if you poll the voters, you will get a better prediction of the results than any particular analyst. So for example, if you poll movie watchers as to who is going to win the award for best film, they will come up with a better prediction than you. The problem here is that they are talking about prediction of who is going to be voted best movie, which doesn't interest us. What we are looking for is what the actual best movie is, which, if you look at the history of the Academy awards, does an embarrassing job of valuing the actual best film. So what Genius of Crowds predicts is who will be selected, not the value of the selection. Hiring a bunch of scouts to come up with a composite list, works very poorly. They do tell you the order they will be selected (like in the Genius of Crowds), but they have no ability to tell you the quality of those picks (like the Academy Award results). You can go to thedraftanalyst.com and look at the last 20 years of Central Scouting and see how terrible Central Scouting is. I would love to hear your argument that Central Scouting has value because... I like changing my mind. I call my project of comparing Sabres drafting to other pundits Mom's Basement Stakes. My conclusion, so far, is that analyst that use group valuations, like McKenzie, are losing about 1/2 player per year to those not, like Pronman. For me, Pronman, Liger, Me, and Button are about a half player per year ahead of McKenzie and the Sabres. I believe that if you understand what Charles Bukowski is telling you, that wouldn't be a surprise. https://hfboards.mandatory.com/threads/2020-moms-basement-stakes.2769630/

Berggren?

Buffalo friends in Virginia for golf, this is picture day. I am, of course, 2nd from the left

Worrisome isn't the right word. Frost crumpled over like he had a dislocated shoulder. I think it was the Philly announcers who said that McCabe bumped into both of them.

I believe McCabe injured both, neither seemed worrisome at the time, but I'm biased

In a week it'll be 'Him'

It was the US Fin game that was fierce. The US was toasted by the 3rd period against Canada, who looked like were coached by Kreuger

Are you running a VPN?

I'm not saying I'm making a good argument, or even the correct argument. I'm saying I watched the Toronto Montreal game last night from a few hours south of dc

I got the Leafs Habs game last night on nhl.tv. I'm a few hours south of DC. My guess is that you didn't get it because it was a nationally televised game in Canada and you are too close to Canada. That's only a guess

I talk to @triumph_communes for about 45 minutes, covering the usual topics. https://youtu.be/I2Ah03SKR-k

the 11 part.

really? That's amazing if true

What's interesting to me is that Pronman wasn't a Mittlestadt guy at the time of the draft. His draft list would have selected Vilardi at 8 (probably the right answer), so his ownership of Mittlestadt began later. I like his 17 year old valuation, his 18 and 19, not so much.

think it's two enns, or three?

Skinner had a very good year with Larsson last year, in about 80 minutes, I have Skinner getting about 5 pts per 60, almost Kahunnian.

Merriam Webster says the Cleveland Browns owner from 1945-53 also owned a taxi company. He hired drivers as ready replacements for his football team https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/taxi squad

The Sabres should steal Nascar's flyover to start the game

I think the answer to this is no. I've believe the only options are 1: your cable company carries NHL network. 2: You get a fake cable company, like sling, that carries NHL network. I don't think Center Ice or NHLtv helps. I expect TSN ($20) (used with a VPN ($10)) will not work because TSN will reject your American payment, but I haven't tested this.

Last year @Taro T, I have Risto and Dahlin playing 105 minutes together with on ice GF 5 and GA 9. The minutes aren't very accurate, as I've talked about before.

I forgot Taylor Hall, above list edited

My model doesn't go back that far, and since Vanek was drafted as an overager, I don't even have him. I don't really compare forwards to defensemen, so getting the top two wrong doesn't bother me so much. I wiffed on Okposo, Myers, probably Risto and Pysek, and certainly Cozens and Quinn. Armia, if I recall correctly, had concussion issues. Oh crap, did I just get myself into the Reinhart/Skinner argument? Rasmus Dahlin SHL 3252 JACK EICHEL NCAA 3107 Taylor Hall OHL 2211 SAM REINHART WHL 1788 JOEL ARMIA Liiga 1766 JEFF SKINNER OHL 1547 ALEXANDER NYLANDER OHL 1484 MIKHAIL GRIGORENKO QMJHL 1462 Dylan Cozens WHL 1275 TYLER ENNIS WHL 1241 DENNIS PERSSON 1026 CASEY MITTELSTADT USHL 1023 ZEMGUS GIRGENSONS USHL 1010 Jack Quinn OHL 1004 MAREK ZAGRAPAN QMJHL 901 ZACK KASSIAN OHL 891 CURTIS LAZAR WHL 792 KYLE OKPOSO USHL 731 RASMUS RISTOLAINEN Liiga 720 MARK PYSYK WHL 654 TYLER MYERSWHL 322

@Radar, look at the Standard Player Contract in the CBA. Item 17 is what is called the Force Majure clause, I do not know how to spell it 17. If because of any condition arising from a state of war or other cause beyond the control of the League or of the Club, it shall be deemed advisable by the League or the Club to suspend or cease or reduce operations, then: (a) in the event of suspension of operations, the Player shall be entitled only to the proportion of Paragraph 1 Salary due at the date of suspension, (b) in the event of cessation of operations, the Paragraph 1 Salary shall be automatically canceled on the date of cessation, and (c) in the event of reduction of operations, the Paragraph 1 Salary shall be replaced by that mutually agreed upon between the Club and the Player, or, in the absence of mutual agreement, by that determined by neutral arbitration. I believe, and not being a contract lawyer I can only advise you to not take my advice, the contracts won't roll over to next year.

I'm not taking any Gates related vaccine without a MalwareBytes premium account

I think, calling myself rakish, I overpromise and underdeliver