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rakish

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Everything posted by rakish

  1. Where do you play Olofsson?
  2. Let's move to the right thread
  3. No, Thompson became a borderline NHL player at 19, Olofsson became a borderline NHL player at 22. Either may become a valid NHL, but from my perspective, I don't trade Thompson for Olofsson.
  4. bottom is age left is just a metric of your scoring, based upon scoring, the league that you're in, the relationship to the scoring of the best player on the team, how good the team is, the size of the player (I'm not sure forwards get scored for this anymore) , actual age (important at 15 or 16, not factored at 20 or 22). 1000 is a borderline NHL player
  5. I haven't done charts for this year, I'm waiting for the year to end, but before this season, Olofsson and Thompson aren't comparable prospects.
  6. There's a great Sabre story at the head of 31 thoughts the podcast this week. I had never heard the Tortorella tie story.
  7. Housley isn't lying, he's just wrong. The Sabres have outshot the opponent 4 of the last 5 games (I got bored looking further than that). Corcateers earnestly believe they are playing very well. It's a shooting percentage game.
  8. Leivo is playing big minutes in Vancouver, Gundstrom is playing big minutes in LA. Jeremy Bracco leads the AHL in scoring.
  9. One day, not many years ago, Terry Pegula stood in front of a collection of energy executives and stated "I don't care if this oil well makes money, if it doesn't, I'll just buy another hockey team"
  10. When I first started doing the draft stuff, I would subtract age 16 from age 17, in the thought process that I was looking for players that were getting better. For a while, I thought I was looking for Sam Bennett, who got a lot better between 16 and 17. A couple years later I decided I wasn't looking for Sam Bennett, now I add 16 and 17, and I think I get better results. That said, I think the stakes are really small signing college free agents, I'd sign a couple. It's my inkling that the CHL ends a couple years too early, and a lot of prospects who go to college develop better. I'm pretty sure Botterill sees it the same way. I'd like to see NCAA rules changed so you can go CHL to NCAA, which, by my understanding, you can't do now.
  11. I think that's going a bit far, I meant no one is ready right now. The top 4 or 5 guys are comparable to CJ Smith, Conor Sheary, and Jimmy Vesey at this age, Vesey didn't have his big year until age 21. Sheary not til 23.
  12. Finally got my software together for the year. I entered the 30 or so from the initial post. It likes mostly forwards. No one is NHL ready, but the favorite is Mitchell Chaffee. The top defenseman, Cooper Zech, who is really tiny, was signed by Boston's AHL team. Saccoman is interesting because he had a very good freshman year, then a terrible sophomore, then a better junior year. The image is 4 or the better forwards
  13. My memory is that there's a video of the Sabre's draft room where they were very worried that the Predators were taking Risto at 4, meaning the Sabres would have taken Risto at 4. Not sure about 1, 2, or 3.
  14. Eliteprospects.com is pretty good at family relations. There is none mentioned between Marco and Nico. Marco would have been less than 17 at Nico's birth.
  15. Imagine the perfect game for you. You hold the puck all 60 minutes. You of course, have zero hits. I had 22 hits. You win 12-0, because my team never had the puck. And this, of course, proves nothing as to whether hits correlate to winning. To find whether hits correlate to winning, you would have to know the score if I had had 34 hits, or zero hits myself, which, of course, you don't know. You're taking stats that don't line up (you only hit when you don't have the puck) and your coming to a conclusion as if they did.
  16. When Pominville plays with Eichel, they have a good record. If you cut off at 4 min, it's 13-6-3, if you cut at 5 min, is 12-6-3, at 6 min 12-5-3.
  17. Previous to this year, what I have on Thompson and Nylander. 45b.us/hockey/2.php?year=2016,2016&pick=8,26
  18. 22 in this case is Kevin Shattenkirk, for an empty net goal against the Rangers
  19. No, 22 is on the other team
  20. Lets look at the most recent goal against team: team 9,23,53,21,26,55 opponent 55,26,17,8,33,37 These are the six players on the ice for the Sabres, Eichel, Reinhart, etc. 37 for the other team would be the goaltender. It's more difficult to tell you the opposite, the Sabre goals that 55 is on the ice for, because, to look at an example goal by team: team 9,10,23,6,55,40 opponent 20,36,72,93,17,22 I don't know if 22 is a goaltender. I wrote the code to answer a similar question, so it would take me some time to rewrite it so I knew who 22 was.
  21. I don't understand the question
  22. I thought Skinner waived his NMC, thereby losing that clause.
  23. I think you guys are confusing the value of draft picks with the results they create. If you look at the raw data (the pointy lines), I read it that the 40th pick has better results than the 30th pick. The 40th pick will generally have more opportunity to progress than with the really good teams (picks 29 and 30), and isn't being selected by poor selectors (picks 32 and 33). The people creating this chart flatten the regression lines to hide this, because having the value of the 40th pick higher than the 30th pick ruins the narrative.
  24. I really don't have an opinion yet. My best synopsis you can read 4 posts up, the one that begins with rosetta stone.
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