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Everything posted by carpandean
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Well, that's how I'd sell it to the league, but not because I believe it is true.
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The Tank is Done (Now we're just bad)
carpandean replied to Johnny DangerFace's topic in The Aud Club
Not exactly right. Based on the historical data, if you consider an arbitrary (randomly-selected) draft, there is a 25% chance that the player chosen first overall will become a franchise player. Next year is not an arbitrary draft. It is a specific draft with a specific top prospect. While it is certainly not 100% sure that McDavid will be a franchise player, he also certainly has a better chance than an arbitrary top prospect. Crosby had a far greater than a 25% chance when he was drafted and so will McDavid. Sam Reinhart (or whoever is the top pick this year) probably has a less than 25% chance of becoming a franchise player. Several recent years have had top prospects who were expected to be great players, but not franchise players (i.e., very unlikely to happen.) Those years balance out the Crosby, Stamkos and McDavid years where top prospects are expected to be (and, more often than not, do become) franshice players to give an overall hit rate of 25%. -
The Charts (2013-14 Edition) - now featuring Tank Nation
carpandean replied to carpandean's topic in The Aud Club
That 65-point tank line is looking pretty good. -
Even if Dillon turns inside on the rush, he'd still be further up the ice when Kassian would have expected to hit him. He would have been closer to the faceoff dot (just outside the zone) than the end of the Canuck's bench. The only way Dillon ends up where he did is stopping to go off on a change.
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Here's why the "he turned at the last second" argument doesn't work for Kassian in this case: had Dillon continued on instead, he would have been six feet further down the ice from where Kassian hit him. The only reason he was where he was is that he basically stopped and turned to go back for a line change.
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And an assist.
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The Tank is Done (Now we're just bad)
carpandean replied to Johnny DangerFace's topic in The Aud Club
My initial reaction was "I wouldn't say that they are the same," then my second thought was "but, yeah, if/when the Sabres are really good, they probably won't have both of them on the the team." By "the same", I assume they mean some offensive skill (not elite), but not big, not physical and not strong defensively. One can be on the second line, but not both. -
Well, he said that he was the grumpiest guy to come here since Slava Kozlov. Said he was telling people not to get him stuff, because he wouldn't be here week. Later, Rob said he might just have been told that they might try to trade flip him.
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The Tank is Done (Now we're just bad)
carpandean replied to Johnny DangerFace's topic in The Aud Club
I would say that tanking and the roster purge are two different things that are highly related. Doing one helps with the other, but they are not perfectly linked. Purging the roster ends when you stop selling off your old assets; tanking stops when you start replacing them with assets that help now. The roster purge might be done (or close to it), but ... -
The Tank is Done (Now we're just bad)
carpandean replied to Johnny DangerFace's topic in The Aud Club
Yeah, we are setup to tank next year, as we should be. TM might dip the plane a little lower - down to the treetops - for next year, but he should be preparing to start pulling up in July of 2015. -
http://youtu.be/woxN0aenvhY
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Moulson + McCormick to Minn. Torrey Mitchell + 2014/2016 2nd rounders
carpandean replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
My McCormick jersey is now a classic! -
So, let's say that you're the Blues' GM, you missed the ECF this year, it's approaching the draft and you have agreed, in principle, to a deal with Miller. Do you hold off on filing the paperwork for a few days? Would you rather give up a (likely) late 2nd in a couple of years instead of trading your late first this year for a late 2nd this year and (likely) early 3rd in a couple of years?
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We should hire back Darcy Regier as the Assistant GM in charge of selling off s**t.
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Wait ... there's another deal?
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Sick, sick shorty from Oshie!
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Wrong thread, rook.
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Why would Montreal want a 5'9" defenseman with seemingly little offensive ability?
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"Increasingly Substantiated BS" rumor thread- 2014 Edition
carpandean replied to WildCard's topic in The Aud Club
But, if they want to keep "what they currently have in Rochester" in Rochester to let the Amerks continue their push for a Calder Cup, then is he good enough to fill the opening? -
"Increasingly Substantiated BS" rumor thread- 2014 Edition
carpandean replied to WildCard's topic in The Aud Club
:D -
To each his own, I guess. I love their Millionaire uniforms.
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William Carrier - via st.louis 2013 2nd round
carpandean replied to X. Benedict's topic in The Aud Club
It's like calling the big, fat guy "Tiny".